Financial Times - 20.08.2026

🟢 已通过两轮自愈质检 & 证据链核验
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🌐 本篇已纳入【2026-08-20 全球报刊态势报告】深度研判矩阵 查看全日战略态势总览 ➔

全球报刊态势与全景学术研判总览 — 2026-08-20

📚 第三部分:全景报刊分卷学术档案与精粹汇编

📍 英国及英联邦 (United Kingdom & Commonwealth)

📰 《Financial Times - 20.08.2026.pdf》

  • 来源板块:Newspapers - 20.08.2026
📝 核心要闻精要
  • 深度阅读 / 战争升级:伊朗对欧洲目标的潜在威胁:伊朗已评估打击保加利亚境内美国资产及塞浦路斯英国基地的可能性,旨在应对美国可能扩大的战争规模;分析师认为该威胁真实但程度有限。
  • 医疗健康 / 黑色素瘤治疗突破:疫苗制造商Moderna公布一项实验性皮肤癌疗法的积极晚期试验结果,该项目由Moderna与默克共同开展。
  • 国际政治 / 泽连斯基解雇高级助手伊琳娜·马丁:因反腐败部门搜查其住所并涉嫌通过国有银行套现,泽连斯基解雇了助手马丁;国防部长波多沃夫警告腐败正削弱乌克兰对抗俄罗斯的斗争。
  • 经济 / 燃料成本上涨威胁美国中期选举:柴油价格飙升至每加仑1.82美元的历史高点,引发工业成本上升及通胀激增;燃料通胀导致美债抛售,收益率升至多年高点。
  • 商业 / 贝莱德与Oaktore接管MBS Group:由于娱乐行业削减预算导致债务危机,为Netflix等提供设备的MBS Group被贝莱德私募信贷部门及Oaktore Capital接管。
  • 监管 / 英国监管机构调查“滴定定价”行为:英国竞争与市场管理局(CMA)调查Trainline和维珍航空等公司在购买后期添加额外费用的行为;违规者最高可被处以全球营业额10%的罚款。
  • 文化/艺术 / 贝蒂·弗里曼与戴维·霍克尼的友谊:回顾艺术收藏家贝蒂·弗里曼与艺术家戴维·霍克尼之间长久的友谊,探讨弗里曼作为其重要女性朋友的内敛性格及其对艺术家的支持。
  • 评论/经济 / 越南借鉴韩国模式促进私营部门发展:越南致力于通过设定严格目标来支持私营企业,试图摆脱对外资依赖;但目前面临中小企业能力不足及资本过度流向房地产的挑战。


🏛️ 哲学与批判理论深度研判 ➔ 立即阅读

透视本期报纸背后的结构性权力机制、普遍概念与具体事件之间的非同一性辩证摩擦。

⚖️ 理性与情感辩证深度研判 ➔ 立即阅读

解构冰冷制度治理(Logos)与民众真实痛感/集体情绪(Pathos)之间的断裂与隐性诉求。

Financial Times - 20.08.2026.pdf

英国金融时报

2026年8月20日,星期四

美元 $7.75:爱尔兰共和国 $4.30

集装箱运输的时代已经过去了吗?

深度阅读:第 17 页

艾希利对时尚廉价商品的敏锐眼光

贷款上限:第 21 页

德黑兰将欧洲境内美国基地列为目标

10 联盟,德黑兰,伊朗。据接近该地区的人士透露,如果美国总统扩大战争规模,伊朗已经确定了在欧洲的潜在目标。

内部人士告诉《金融时报》,德黑兰已经评估了打击保加利亚境内美国资产的可能性,保加利亚已批准使用其,因此必须是美国加油机。塞浦路斯,那里的一处英国基地在3月遭到了一股力量的打击,除非它在战争的审判中成为一个国家。

这些威胁反映了德黑兰的观点,即战争的重启只是时间问题,而且它。军事指挥官警告称,在任何新的全面冲突中,伊朗将超越其攻击中东美国资产的战略,将目标转向。

我们的分析师将针对欧洲目标的威胁描述为“真实的,但有限的”。 战争升级(续) 凯瑟琳·汤普森(续)

img-0.jpeg

来源:第二次世界大战,美国空军

Moderna 定制化皮肤癌疫苗取得成功,股价翻倍

黑色素瘤治疗突破 晚期试验结果积极 与默克共同开展的项目

PATRICK TEPHIL-WAIT • 纽约 STEPHEN RYAN • 伦敦

美国疫苗制造商 Moderna 的股价在公司公布一项实验性皮肤癌疗法取得成功的结果后,昨日价值增长了一倍多。

这项与默克(Merck)共同开发的实验性疗法在癌症治疗领域将是前所未有的,它能根据每位患者的具体肿瘤提供定制化疫苗。深入专家美国监管机构将于明年批准。

“今天的研究结果代表了受影响的黑色素瘤治疗的一个里程碑时刻,”该研究的主要研究员兼澳大利亚黑色素瘤研究所医学主任乔治娜·隆(Georgina Long)教授表示。

该试验的结果在纽约早盘交易中推动 Moderna 的股价上涨了 144%,使其市值达到 65亿美元。随着股价飙升,Moderna 成为 1997-1999 年交易中截至 2016, 表现第二好的公司,仅次于存储器集团 fundals。

这家马萨诸塞州的公司一直是信使核糖核酸(mRNA)技术的领导者,该技术旨在教导人体的免疫系统识别

“今天的研究结果代表了黑色素瘤治疗的一个里程碑时刻”

乔治娜·隆教授

并攻击诸如新冠肺炎(Covid-19)之类的疾病。该公司希望开发这种实验性疫苗技术来治疗不同类型和阶段的癌症,并将此次结果誉为为该疾病患者接种疫苗的一个里程碑。

其 mRNA 癌症疫苗将接种给已被诊断出患有黑色素瘤的患者,并专门设计用于攻击其肿瘤。

“我们已经开始展示一个全新类别药物的潜力,以及一种全新的癌症护理思考方式:利用单个患者癌症中编码的信息来设计特定的疗法,帮助训练他们的免疫系统与之战斗,” Moderna 首席执行官斯特凡·兰塞特(Stéphane Rancet)在昨日的一篇博客文章中写道。

Moderna 和默克表示,该疗法是“首个国家级”的联合疗法,在阻止黑色素瘤切除患者的癌症复发和扩散方面显示出“具有统计学意义且临床显著的改善”。该方案涉及 Moderna 的 mRNA 疫苗和默克的药物 Keytruda。

Moderna 在匆忙开发新冠肺炎疫苗期间成为了企业之首。但其运气随后发生了转变,面临社区需求的减弱。去年,它成为了 1997-1999 年中最受关注的股票。

该集团寄希望于新的癌症疫苗来推动业绩反转,并与默克合作研发该疫苗已有数年之久。即便在昨日股价大幅上涨之后,Moderna 的交易价格可能仍低于其 2015 推出新冠疫苗后的峰值的三分之一。

美国制药商默克的股价在早盘交易中上涨近 30%,创下新高。另一家 mRNA 领导者、总部位于德国的 BioPEX® 在 Moderna 发布报告后,股价上涨 20%。

“这是一个里程碑时刻,”TD Cowen 的分析师表示,并补充说 Moderna 已在马萨诸塞州建立了一家制造工厂,开始生产该疫苗,在获得监管批准后,该疗法可能会向患者提供。

简报

  • 人形机器人制造商 Kappa 在上海上市 Indiver 的股票在首次亮相后上涨超过 600%,购买基础数量(三名投资者)以尝试发展公司。该股票在 Bankbit (2015) 的定价将该集团估值为 5075万美元 —— 读取:1.1x,读取:0

  • 物价上涨速度加快 7 月的通胀率为 5.9%,高于 6 月的 2.6%,中东冲突引发的能源成本上升推动价格增长进一步高于英格兰银行的目标 —— (cont.)

  • 调查后期的“滴定定价” 针对包括 TraxGen 和维珍航空在内的这些公司的调查正在启动,原因是担心在购买过程中后期添加产品费用 —— (cont.)

  • 为 Revelet 首席执行官设定 10 的限制 首个 1. 已准备将金额提高至 100,000,并反对该州 10 名儿童至 1000万美元,这将增加其获得该集团估值项目更多现金的机会 —— (cont.)

  • 泽连斯基贪腐问题上升 10s 审查提供的文件在反腐败部门对其住所进行搜查后提交了一份高层报告,因为他正因其盟友的一系列贪腐指控而面临压力。 • MONEY & PAYER & REVIEW (cont.)

  • 激增的收入面临风险 用于旅行的 e-sites 卡需求预计今年将增长三分之一,因为旅行者在寻求比漫游协议更便宜的替代方案,从而影响债务运营的收入。 • DAILY PARTNERS (cont.)

  • 加沙士兵面临调查 针对被指控在加沙战争期间杀害平民和小型驱逐者的部队,正启动常规种族环境导向的诉讼程序,包括枪击一名巴勒斯坦儿童 —— (cont.)

  • EQT 押注橄榄球 这家瑞典私募股权集团已获得墨尔本风暴队(Melbourne Storm)的多数股权,该队是澳大利亚国家橄榄球联盟(National Rugby League)的顶级俱乐部之一,其得分是该国体育系列赛的两倍 —— (cont.)

img-1.jpeg

前幕僚长 Gray 表示斯塔默缺乏“愿景”

李·格雷男爵夫人(Baroness Lee Gray),24 曾是第 10, 号唐宁街斯塔默的资深助手,她表示他作为首相的领导时间较短,因为他缺乏愿景,且未能让具有更丰富经验的人员发挥作用。在她被强制离职后的首次公开评论中,这位资深公务员在一次 PMR-UK 货币播客中表示,她在其余高级投票中感到“未被重视”。但她补充说,继任者 Gray 同样对“他想要做什么有清晰的看法”。 Partner aide (cont.)

美国财政部将增加长期债券购买以努力遏制抛售

FLANK JONES • WES WRITTEN 每日市场与 早间市场 • 伦敦 GEORGE STEER • 纽约

美国财政部昨日表示,将使长期政府债务的购买量翻倍,因为政策制定者正采取行动遏制一场导致全球最重要债券市场借贷成本上升的抛售。

该部门表示,将把期限在 10 到 20 年以及 20 到 30 年的国债回购规模从 2000万美元 “至少翻倍”至“至少” 4000万美元。

此举正值 32万亿美元 的国债市场压力增加,且投资者对总统唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)发起的贸易战所引发的通胀以及华盛顿日益增长的债务负担感到担忧。

“政府对曲线的长端感到紧张,并希望尝试阻止下跌,”EFC International 的首席投资官 Daniel Murray 表示。

PUDS 的首席投资策略师 Robert Tipp 表示,此举是“向市场发出的一个重要信号,表明财政部对收益率曲线后端的抛售感到担忧”。

财政部表示,将于 9 月 9 日开始的回购反映了其“旨在为长期债务提供更大流动性支持”的意图。

公告发布后,美国政府债券价格大幅上涨,30 年期债券收益率下降 2 个基点至 3.19%。作为全球 10.8万亿美元 资产基准的 10 年期债务收益率下降 6.04 个基点至 4.45%。30 年期收益率在周二下降了近 3.24 个基点,为 2007 年以来的最高水平。

回购公告后美元下跌,该货币兑六个主要 G7 货币的指数下降了。德意志银行(Deutsche Bank)外汇研究主管 George Saravelos 表示,在采取措施支持国债市场后,货币市场将被分散。“这些举措被认为在多大程度上干扰了市场定价,美元就越有可能走弱。”

在对回购策略的一次早期测试中,昨日下午的 20 年期国债拍卖需求旺盛。彭博数据显示,该债务的销售收益率为 3.204%,较二级市场的 3.199% 略有溢价。

“这次拍卖既没有特别弱也没有特别强,相当平庸,”TD Securities 的美国销售策略主管 Connolly Goldberg 表示。

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工业资助

世界市场

股票市场

16年8月 前值 瑞士
标准普尔500指数 7,718.88 7,901.15 2,120
斯托克顿,利物浦 10,000.00 10,000.00 0.00
星,香港 10,000.00 10,000.00 0.00
太阳,香港 10,000.00 10,000.00 0.00
2015年第一季度 10,000.00 10,000.00 0.00
富时100指数 10,000.00 10,000.00 0.00
富时100指数 (自) 10,000.00 10,000.00 0.00
德尔塔 10,000.00 10,000.00 0.00
德尔塔日 10,000.00 10,000.00 0.00
德尔塔 10,000.00 10,000.00 0.00
德尔塔 10,000.00 10,000.00 0.00
德尔塔 10,000.00 10,000.00 0.00
德尔塔 10,000.00 10,000.00 0.00
德尔塔 10,000.00 10,000.00 0.00

综合

16年8月 前值 瑞士
美国 1,188 1,158 415
美国 1,188 1,158 415
美国 1,001 1,000 415
美国 1,001 1,000 415
美国 18,215 18,185 414
美国 17,433 17,417 11,000
美国 2,826 2,806 1,000
月份
16年8月 前值 瑞士
达沃斯 10,000.00 10,000.00 0.00
蒙特利尔 1,000.00 1,000.00 0.00
综合
16年8月 前值 瑞士
美国 2015 90.00 90.00 1.00
美国份额 2 90.00 90.00 0.00
美国 2015 1,000.00 1,000.00 0.00

政府奖金

16年8月 前值 瑞士
美国总计 4.18 4.17 0.00
1.95 美元 4.05 4.11 -0.00
1.95 美元 3.25 3.20 0.00
2.15 美元 4.25 4.25 0.00
2.15 美元 3.25 3.20 0.00
2.15 美元 3.15 3.20 0.00
2.15 美元 1.00 1.00 0.00
2.15 美元 1.00 1.00 0.00
2.15 美元 1.00 1.00 0.00
2.15 美元 1.00 1.00 0.00
2.15 美元 1.00 1.00 0.00
2.15 美元 1.00 1.00 0.00

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•

金融时报

2024年8月20日,星期四

国内

经济

能源成本上升导致通胀率升至2.9%

天然气供应中断导致7月读数进一步超出燃料目标

萨姆·克莱曼 (SAM KLEHMAN) 和 艾米莉·赫拉德 (EMILY HERRARD)

7月份通胀率加速至2.7%,能源成本上升推动价格增长进一步高于英格兰银行的目标。

国家统计局的数据显示,这一增长较前值的3.6%有所上升,且符合经济学家对7月份的预测路径。

通胀率的跳升将给政府带来压力,因为在承诺推动全国更高增长后,预计将面临强烈的压力。

此前,英国央行在7月16日将其关键利率维持在7.77%,尽管通胀读数持续高于其2%的目标。

通胀上升是由能源价格驱动的,包括自2022年以来最剧烈的天然气成本上涨。由于大宗商品价格上涨,能源价格从7月起生效上涨了12%,影响了此次读数。

康沃尔分析师预计,价格上限将在10月份上涨约4%,达到自2023年7月以来按百分比计算的最高水平。

该咨询公司昨天表示,在欧洲发电对天然气需求较高以及生产中断的情况下,全球天然气供应的波动是主要原因。

由于冲突,价格上限在期末首次出现波动。

一些经济学家认为,尽管7月份通胀数据如此,央行仍可能维持借贷成本稳定,直到政策制定者采取行动抑制抛售。

“只要潜在的价格压力保持在可控范围内,MFC 可能会忽略这一点”

指数公布后,omega 交易市场表现出的 beta 显示,Bell 将在 9 月的下一次会议上维持利率不变。

在最终数据发布后,加息 25 个基点的可能性已降至约 10%,而此前为 27%。该期间几乎没有变化。

虽然整体通胀率跳升,但一些潜在压力目前有所缓解。Bell 密切跟踪的服务业通胀率在该月从 3.6 降至 3.6。

包括能源和食品在内的天然气通胀率在截至 7 月的 12 个月内为 3.6,略高于经济学家预测的 2.3。食品通胀率较为低迷,截至 7 月的 12 个月内价格上涨 3.2,年度峰值为 1.7。

“虽然能源价格上涨给整体通胀带来了上涨压力,但只要潜在的价格压力保持在可控范围内,MFC 可能会忽略这一点,”EPRL 首席经济学家 YouTublin 表示。

“我们预计利率在今年剩余时间内将保持不变。”

由于 bias 冲突,7 月的数据之后整体通胀率可能会进一步上升。在最新的预测轮次中,Bell 预测通胀率将在年底前升至 3.2,然后在 2023 年回落至 2.7 的平均水平。

财政大臣 John Henley 表示:“尽管通胀继续影响国内价格,但英国经济具有 realistas。我们已经削减了电费单上的 5 / 15,并主张减少 factor,42 以给那些处于困境的人提供喘息空间。”

但影子财政大臣 Smith 表示:“I almost 的加税和商业银行业务推高了生活成本,然而 body fears 仍然坚决排除进一步加税的可能性。” 附加报道来自 Rachel Milford 和 Jim Pickard。

政治。首相职权

Gray 表示,Starmer 在 10, 号街缺乏“愿景”

前任幕僚长认为前首相身边需要“更有能力的人”

JIM POLRARD

据苏·格雷(Sue Gray)在被强制解除其幕僚长职务后首次公开发表的评论称,他之所以成为那样一位前首相,是因为他缺乏“愿景”,且未能聘请“经验更丰富的人”。

格雷是一位长期任职的公务员,在 2024 年大选前被斯塔默(Starmer)挖掘。她表示,对于上个月其管理团队的瓦解,她感到“相当遗憾”。但在今天播出的 PoliticalCurrency 播客节目中,她表示:“我认为我们需要更有能力的人,在常规事务、政策或战略方面,需要经验更丰富的人来提供建议。政府运作是非常、非常不同的。”

“那里有优秀的人才,而且我认为每个人可能都在尽力而为,但你知道,你需要领导力,需要愿景。”她补充道,相比之下,首相安迪·伯查姆(Andy Burcham)对于“他想要做什么有着非常清晰的看法”。格雷曾帮助伯查姆在数月内获得成功,但拒绝了他在政府中的职位。

格雷在进入唐宁街仅三个月后就离开了斯塔默的团队,这是 2024 年高层人事变动的一部分,且她与一些政治同事发生了冲突,后者指责她未能为相关人员做好充分准备。

接替她的是摩根·麦克斯威尼(Morgan McSweeney),一名党内战略人士,他后来因彼得·汉密尔顿委员会(Peter Hamilton-council)事件而辞职。

在播客中,格雷告诉前工党领导人、财政大臣埃德·阿迪布(EdAdib),她在 2023 年被接替,作为进入 10 号唐宁街会议室的快速通道。

“我不记得曾被告知过这类讨论,然而我发现自己身处其中……到了一个地步,你觉得你说的每一句话,都有人在记录,”她说。

媒体泄露的一则报道暗示,格雷想要麦克斯威尼的协议,从而使自己远离首相。

格雷告诉鲍尔斯(Balls),她只是

img-3.jpeg

背景:苏·格雷表示新首相安迪·伯查姆对于“他想要做什么有着非常清晰的看法”

想要给同事们更多空间。“实际上,那是真心的,你知道。我不相信你们这么多人要挤在这个小房间里,我为你们找了一个更好的房间,”她说。

格雷表示,她曾多次向斯塔默投诉负面简报,但没有效果:“我很失望没有采取更多措施,因为我认为本可以做到的。”

当时有关于格雷的文件被引用,指责斯塔默的团队是一个排斥女性同事的“封闭俱乐部”。

“这绝对令人难以忍受,对我来说尤其如此,而且我要说,那些简报没有一项出自我之手,”格雷说。“我认为那非常困难,而且它影响到了我和我的生活……那是一段非常、非常、非常困难的时期。”

格雷 17 岁离开学校,在加入公务员队伍之前曾从事福利工作。在北爱尔兰纽里(Newry)经营一家 经历职业中断后,她回到了公务员系统,并在劳工办公室升至高级职位。

她告诉播客,她从未渴望出名,但在被指派调查鲍里斯·约翰逊(Bech Johnson)在新冠肺炎(Covid 19)疫情期间在 10 号唐宁街举办的派对时,她“在没有任何支持的情况下”被推向了公众视野。

批评者质疑,考虑到格雷后来在工党任职,她的调查是否客观。但她的报告并未将所有责任归咎于约翰逊,而是描述了某种认可。她说:“哪里有食物-结束和判断?”

她告诉鲍尔斯,在调查“派对门”(Partygate)期间,她没有与工党讨论未来的工作机会。

在格雷离开 10 号唐宁街后,斯塔默仍然给了她一个贵族院职位。她现在担任北爱尔兰(NPC)主席,以及贝尔法斯特女王大学的副校长。

“就到了这样一个地步,你知道你说的每一句话,你都觉得有人在记录”

快速。一些工党人士表示,在 2024 年大选前未能做好执政准备,是导致斯塔默成为工党七位首相中任期最短的关键原因。

前唐宁街通讯主管马修·多伊勋爵(Lord Matthew Doyle)声称,缺乏心脏病专家以及一份明确的就职前 100 天计划,导致情况非常严峻。

但她坚持认为,大选前已经进行了大量的政策和外交准备,并补充道:“媒体可能对我产生了一些结果。”

关于她应对斯塔默执政初期的困难承担多少责任,格雷表示:“我认为最终,你有一个政党领袖,你有一个首相……我相信我们看到了你的愿景和议程。这绝对是每个人都在寻找的。”

有害内容

Pornhub称互联网年龄验证机制使违规网站获益

DANIEL THOMAS

美国新闻(US News) 认为,互联网年龄验证机制已成为那些不遵守立法且未能保护儿童免受有害内容影响的车辆的工具,该国最大的年度也提出了这一观点。

政府去年夏天根据《在线安全法》(Online Safety Act)对成人网站提出了严格要求,以防止儿童在不知情的情况下接触到。对于未能通过扫描和信用卡检查的成人用户,已退还资金。

作为该国访问量最高的成人网站,Pornhub昨天向约 500 000 人写信,称政府应意识到在保护儿童方面所产生的“使用 huil”“haled”。

它认为,现在不合规的新网站(不检查用户年龄)经常在搜索结果中显著出现。流向这些网站的流量已在信用额度上被广播,一个公众。

根据Pornhub提供的数据,在“free print”的前 10 个搜索结果中,有 77 个且投诉尚未签署。

此次游说正值政治家和监管机构考虑互联网卡的有效性之际,包括即将实施的禁止儿童进入现有社交媒体的禁令。

通信监管机构英国通信管理局(Ofcom)表示,年龄验证导致访问此类网站的预计日访客数下降至大约 school ,并补充说,美国长期生存的新闻网站以及前 100 强中的大多数现在均已合规。

监管机构承认,人们仍然能够通过搜索引擎访问无需年龄验证的网站。该机构表示,将与 Google 和微软的博客合作,试图阻止这种情况。

Asks (即 Pornhub)去年表示,自《在线安全安全法》实施以来,该网站的流量下降了 77 per cent。

这些数字不包括使用虚拟私人网络(VPN)将互联网服务路由到其他国家以规避法律限制的人员。

英国通信管理局(Ofcom)表示,自实施强制年龄限制的法律以来,使用 HTML 访问所有内容的情况增加了一倍。

监管机构的研究发现,4 per cent 的儿童有强烈的积极 ascerogents ,但其中约一半仅能访问设有年龄验证的网站。

今年,Kyle 为新用户关闭了 Pornhub,理由是无法与“Raced system” 的年龄验证系统协作,随后它向在设备上确认了年龄的 Apple 用户开放了该网站。

Asks 认为,设备级检查是判断年龄并阻止儿童访问露骨内容最常见的方式。而《在线安全法》则将义务落在网络服务提供商身上,要求其证明所使用的任何年龄保证措施都是高度有效的。

英国通信管理局(Ofcom)表示,年龄验证有助于在英国儿童中创造一种新生活,并补充道:“但女孩们单独行动 ,我们不确定是否需要科技行业采取进一步行动来提高年龄验证的有效性。我们不确定我们是否实际上在考虑政府计划针对 16 岁以下人群的社交媒体限制。”

该监管机构补充说,这可能意味着在设备或年龄商店级别实施更广泛的系统级年龄保证,但证明其有效性的义务仍由服务提供商承担。

img-4.jpeg

东萨塞克斯郡脱轨列车轨道被发现存在“异常”

ELIZABETH BRATTON

调查人员在列车上周脱轨地点附近发现了一处轨道“异常”,此次事故导致 20 人需要住院治疗。

昨日公布的第一份事故调查报告称,在对上周四从伦敦维多利亚站开往东本恩(Eastbourne)的班次进行解密后获得的监控录像显示,“在脱轨点的紧前区域存在轨道几何形状异常”。

在一份中期报告中,调查人员还表示,他们观察到了“与脱轨后方车辆车轮爬过轨道”相一致的痕迹。在该列车运行的铁路路段上,被发现事故前并未经历任何“显著”的(all),但调查人员发现了“此前曾发生过某些位移的证据”。

事故发生后,RCM 表示已收到多起关于“颠簸滚动”的报告——假设乘客在刘易斯(Lewes)附近的解密地点经历了饥饿或不适感。

据称,列车脱轨时约有 100 人在车上,其中 50 人受伤,20 人需要住院治疗。

华威大学的一位通用工程教授表示,从现场照片来看,“非常清楚”发生了这种情况——即铁路轨道在极高温度下开始变形。格雷格(Greg)表示,此类事件“极其严重”。

他补充说,如果要在未来防止类似事故发生,该国的铁路基础设施需要“在极端温度”以及降雨量增加的情况下进行调整。

调查人员已获取了轨道“轨道恐惧”(Track fear)——其中包含相关数据和无线电通信,将对其进行分析。

官员补充说,调查将考虑一系列潜在问题,包括持续的

上周,脱轨列车在刘易斯附近的轨道旁侧翻

当时的低气温。刘易斯与华威之间的铁路不应符合该事故的临床数据。北方铁路(Northern Railway)告知乘客预计将出现“重大干扰”,并在出行前检查服务更新。

然而,该官员表示,列车的处理可能会很“复杂”,因为这将涉及用起重机吊起脱轨车辆,并通过公路将其运送到安全的存储地点。

与交通情况一样,Network Rail 的某位董事和 Greater Thameshink Railway 的首席执行官 John Whitehurst 在一份联合声明中表示,他们“全力致力于支持持续的调查,并根据从技术中得出的任何教训采取行动”。

他们表示:“我们对这件事发生在我们的铁路线上深表遗憾,我们的心与所有受影响的人在一起,特别是那些受伤的人以及车上乘客的家人和朋友。”

上周五,第二列客运列车脱轨,一列 Greater Anglia 的班次在 Wickford inflows 处脱轨。


2020年8月18日,星期四

•

英国金融时报

3

全国

前员工抨击言论自由联盟与 MAGA 的联系

批评者称,该声称不分党派的团体与特朗普的议程一致

RAISING, REED

当保守派评论员托比·杨(Toby Young)勋爵在 2020 年发起一个言论自由活动团体时,他明确表示该团体将是“不分党派的”。

然而,多年后,杨的言论自由联盟(Free Speech Union)正经历着动荡,一些前员工称这是由于该组织与美国总统唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)的“MAGA”(Make America Great Again)运动的结合日益紧密所致。

去年 8 月,杨会见了当时负责特朗普政府后果的莎拉·罗杰斯(Sarah Rogers)。他通过 WhatsApp 告诉同事,他计划询问罗杰斯关于露西·康诺利(Lucy Connolly)的案件,后者是一名因煽动种族仇恨而入狱的英国女性,此前她发表了关于其他人的言论。

前员工表示,作为非营利团体的言论自由联盟(FSU)此前已在努力培养与特朗普政府的关系。两人透露,从去年年初开始,言论自由联盟的高层就要求员工向美国国务院提供简报。

杨及其一名同事与其他活动人士在美国大使馆参加了一次讨论言论自由的会议;而言论自由联盟的活动官员在去年夏天陪同时任保守党影子内阁大臣罗伯特·乔维克(Robert Jorwick)会见了美国副总统 JD 万斯(JD Vance)。

一名前员工质疑言论自由联盟现在是否仍是一个公正的组织,还是一个“民粹右翼的政治分支”,并补充称该组织是特朗普政府在英国的“no-have”。

杨否认存在右倾现象,坚持认为言论自由联盟仍然是不分党派的,并且代表了“许多认同左翼的人”。(他表示,言论自由联盟曾与“一些美国政治家和官员”以及其他人物分享过关于《在线安全法》——英国打击互联网危害的旗舰法案——的简报。)

然而,与该组织内部多位人士的对话以及内部 WhatsApp 消息,挑战了言论自由联盟关于不分党派的说法,显示出其与 MAGA 运动和改革英国党(Reform UK)均有联系。

言论自由联盟的国际伞形组织预计将收到美国国务院的资金,作为特朗普政府旨在海外推广言论自由目标的一部分。

两人透露,意识形态紧张局势导致过去一年中约有 7 名言论自由联盟员工——相当于其目前员工总数的四分之一左右——要么辞职,要么被解雇或被裁员,其中包括首席法律顾问。

杨表示,离职员工的数量“在我看来并不算高”,且他不认为政治紧张局势起到了作用。

言论自由联盟为其 40,000 名成员中任何成为“取消文化”受害者的成员提供法律援助。该组织称,它已为 4,300 多起因“直言不讳而陷入麻烦”的人员案件提供了帮助,但批评者认为,言论自由联盟主要

img-6.jpeg

托比·杨,言论自由联盟创始人,否认右倾的指控。下方为特朗普政府官员以赛亚·罗杰斯(Isaiah Rogers),杨去年与其会面。

img-7.jpeg

支持“反觉醒”事业,例如反对《在线安全法》的活动。

尽管该组织正在代表一名支持联邦主义的抗议者,但它本月表示,其最大的工作来源是涉及“因持有或表达性别批判信念而受到处罚或排斥的人员”。

在Young于2020年8月与Rogers会面之时,言论自由正占据着英国的新闻头条。在针对近期成立的Palestine Action的搜查中,数百人被捕,而针对酒店的抗议活动则在继续。Young与Rogers的会面——后者随后被确认担任国务次长,并对欧洲进行了一次访问,讨论关于Maga改编议题的资金问题——对于FSU内部的一些人来说具有象征意义。两名前员工表示,在Maga重掌权力以及工党赢得选举之后,该组织在2020年期间发生了右倾。三位人士表示,内部文件的产生不仅是因为FSU的政治立场,还因为

其运作方式。他们提到了一次众筹活动,为一名因抗议而被捕的退休警察Julian Poullier筹集了超过100,000的法律费用,尽管当时已有律师承诺免费处理该案件。

在一封电子邮件中,现已离开该组织的首席法律顾问表示,这次筹款可能被“轻率地搁置”,并补充道:“在某个时间点,我们需要解释我们将为该免费案件筹集的所有资金用于何处。”

Young表示,该案件“并非完全是免费办理的”,且超出部分的资金“将被专款专用并重新分配给其他类似案件”,正如筹款说明中所详述的那样。

FSU的资金来源在很大程度上被屏蔽在公众视线之外。该组织在1月获得了一项紧急禁令,以防止其捐赠者名单在一次网络攻击后被泄露。

然而,Young确认FSU曾接触过S. Ellen Mack社交媒体平台的律师,关于

一名前员工质疑FSU现在是否已成为民粹主义右翼的政治分支

FSU的国际伞形组织将获得来自美国国务院的$5mn

用于支付其部分案件的法律费用。

9月份的内部WhatsApp消息显示,在喜剧作家Graham Linehan被捕后,一名FSU高层建议接触S的代表,以“承保任何运行中索赔的费用”。

Young表示,这些接触是在Mack于2023年发表声明之后进行的,Mack在声明中称他将资助那些在S上因其帖子而面临至少20的人的法律账单。

Mack是极右翼政党Bernice Britain和极右翼煽动者Tommy Robinson(真名为Stephen Tanley Lamore)的支持者。

根据美国方面看到的WhatsApp消息,FSU还讨论过参加由Robinson组织的“state the Kingdom”游行。

Young在WhatsApp消息中写道,他曾考虑参加9月的一次游行,但最终决定不去。一名同事表示,他们参与其中将过于“显眼”。FSU派遣了一名较低调的代表。

Young在WhatsApp群组中写道,游行的氛围“相当像节日”,就在几小时后,Mack向100,000人的人群发出警告,称“大规模不受控制的移民”正在摧毁英国,且“你们要么反击,要么[...OMITTED...]”。

FSU还与改革英国党(Reform UK)有联系。Young在协会中的得力助手是Sam Armstrong,他同时担任Jorwick的助手,而Jorwick目前是改革英国党的高层。Young表示,Armstrong在FSU的兼职角色意味着他“太[...OMITTED...]以承担其他工作”。此外,Jorwick的一名前助手Max Thompson于2020年3月加入FSU担任竞选官员,并在那个夏天陪同其前上司访问会见Vance。

Young表示,“与知名政治人物建立关系是(Thompson的)工作的一部分”。他称关于该组织试图讨好改革英国党的说法是“毫无根据的”,并强调自己作为自由职位的身份。

“如今的FSU有一种阴暗的边缘感,”一名前员工告诉《金融时报》(FT)。“以前他们会为弱势群体出头,而现在他们成了[...OMITTED...]。”

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4

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FINANCIAL TIMES

2026年8月20日,星期四

国际

乌克兰

泽连斯基因腐败调查解雇助手

总统面临针对其盟友日益增多的指控压力

CHRISTOPHER MILLER 克普斯克里斯蒂大学(UNIV. OF CORPUS CHRIST)

在反腐败部门对其住所进行搜查后,泽连斯基昨日解雇了其首位高级助手伊琳娜·马丁(Irina Madin),与此同时,这位乌克兰总统正面临着针对其盟友反腐指控增加的压力。

反腐败官员针对一项涉嫌通过国有银行套现的计划发起了一系列突击搜查,该资金据称被用于泽连斯基的互联网。

能源部长贝尔纳德·波卢琴科(Bernard Poluchchenko)去年被指控参与了总统任期内最大的一起贪腐案。

总统行政部门副主管、泽连斯基的亲密盟友马丁是此次搜查中最高级别的目标,此外还包括一名生物标志物以及国有住房银行的高管和执法部门人员。

乌克兰国家反腐败局(NACA)的一名官员表示,资金已“通过一系列壳公司账户进行转移,以便向该犯罪组织的一名成员支付”。

马丁的可能将总统卷入一场资金腐败丑闻,而此时他正受到的抨击。

国防部长米哈洛夫·波多沃夫(Michalov Podovov)在搜查前一夜对泽连斯基发起了,警告称猖獗的腐败正在削弱该国对抗俄罗斯的斗争,并呼吁采取非常规的战时分权措施。

波多沃夫在与军队高层发生冲突后被解雇,这一震惊之举在基辅及全国范围内引发了抗议。泽连斯基被迫放弃了最初选定的接替这位受欢迎部长的候选人,其自己的联邦负责人昨日获得批准。

马丁自2024年3月起任职,她成为了反腐调查中泽连斯基盟友名单上的又一名成员。

权力巨大的前办公厅主任奥德丽·耶尔纳克(Audrey Yernak)被指控非法敛财和滥用职权,该案件据称涉及一名前副总理及总统的前商业伙伴。泽连斯基执政党的几名议员也被指控通过收受现金来换取议会投票。

本月,乌克兰驻美国大使辞职,并在两天后被指控非法。

三名被指控者均否认有错。2024年7月,政府办公厅未立即回应置评请求。

Naka和特别反腐败检察官办公室表示,搜查的目标是“一个在现任和前任乌克兰议员领导下运行,并有总统办公室高级官员参与的犯罪组织”。

由此产生的针对泽连斯基亲密盟友的案件导致了的下降,并引发了新报告。此次搜查影响了那些为维持该国运转并支持其军队而提供数十亿美元援助的伙伴。

在一段极具冲击力的(也称为寻求帮助)中,朱达罗夫(Judarov)指责泽连斯基的前,但现在利用在搜查结束时授予的戒严权力。

“战时的腐败不仅仅是一个财务问题。这关系到我们的生存和获胜能力,”他说。

中东。战争升级

伊朗瞄准欧洲境内的美国军事目标

德黑兰内部人士称战争之 工厂扩大了 冲突的剧场,敌对行动随之而来

RACHEL ROSENBERG — 德黑兰 ANDREW DOLLARD — 伦敦

据接近该政权的人士透露,如果唐纳德·特朗普重新夺回战争,伊朗已经权衡过攻击欧洲境内美国军事目标的方案,因为大规模的敏感动荡将提高冲突的赌注。

两名政权内部人士告诉《金融时报》,伊朗军队已经评估了打击东南部欧洲国家美国资产的可能性,例如保加利亚,该国上个月批准美国飞机使用 Premier 空军基地进行加油。

其中一名内部人士称,该政权——那里的一座英国空军基地在三月份遭到无人机袭击——也属于报复的首选目标。

内部人士表示,伊朗军队特别引导攻击其他目标。在冲突升级的情况下,在 Reale 海域有八根电缆。

这些威胁是指在德黑兰的挑衅性逮捕,该地区许多人日益将战争的重启视为必然,而不再是是否会发生的问题。

摆脱僵局的谈判已经停滞,伊朗最高领袖穆贾巴·哈梅内伊(Ayatollah Mujaba Khamrani)上周将官员任命至最高安全和军事岗位。特朗普周二表示,目前没有与德黑兰进行或计划进行任何谈判或对话。

伊斯兰革命卫队和其他军事指挥官警告称,由于任何人都会升级冲突,伊朗可能会在攻击中东的美国军事资产、能源设施和其他基础设施之外,将目标扩展到更远的地方。

卫队上个月就美国使用英国军事基地向美国发出威胁,称“任何被用于对伊朗领土发动攻击的基地都将被视为合法目标”。

皇家联合服务研究所(Royal United Services Institute)的研究员 Sidharih Karabali 认为,此类伦敦,将伊朗导弹对欧洲及其他地区目标的威胁描述为“真实但有限”。

伊朗可以部署中程弹道导弹(如其 Shabah 系列)攻击南部和东南部欧洲的美国资产。在这样的三周斗争中,在更长距离上造成破坏。

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上个月针对在保加利亚 Premier 空军基地部署美国飞机的抗议活动。下方为德黑兰的一块反美广告牌。

据内部人士称,伊朗的报复将取决于华盛顿的行动。

一人表示,该政权正在准备一项计划,以应对特朗普履行此前攻击伊朗基础设施的威胁而进一步扩大冲突。美国总统上个月表示,每当伊斯兰共和国在海中攻击一艘船只,华盛顿就会摧毁一座伊朗桥梁或发电厂。

第二名内部人士表示,在发生美国侵略的情况下,伊朗对其回应将“不设限”。该人士表示:“如果美国采取行动,(伊朗)将捍卫自己或任何先行者,将范围扩大到该地区之外,并同样打击欧洲。”

伊朗已经证明了其攻击远程目标的意愿。在 2 月份美国强行推进战争后的几周内,华盛顿指责德黑兰向 6,000 公里外的印度洋美英联合基地迭戈加西亚(Diego Garcia)发射了多枚导弹——其中没有一枚命中目标。

三月份,土耳其表示北约防空系统拦截了数枚旨在监控的发射炸弹,而位于塞浦路斯阿克罗蒂里(Akrotiri)的美国空军基地在同月遭到无人机袭击。西方官员当时表示,他们怀疑这最终是由除德黑兰本身以外的代理力量执行的。

内部人士表示,伊朗上个月对约旦美国基地的袭击导致三名美国服务人员死亡,这是伊斯兰共和国执行的最精确的远程攻击,证明了其打击更远距离目标的能力。

“这也是给欧洲的一个信号:它可能会收到导弹,因此它应该知道自己在这次战争中应该站在什么位置”

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“这也是给欧洲的一个信号:它也可能接收到导弹,因此它应该清楚自己在这次战争中应该站在什么位置,”第一位内部人士表示。“一个非常严重的错误,比如被正面击中,可能会使战争超出该地区并波及欧洲。”

美国与伊朗之间于 6 月签署的一份谅解备忘录在上个月破裂,此前德黑兰袭击了海峡内的船只,双方互相指责对方违反临时协议,导致美国采取首次打击,并就其基地基点重新达成一项美国-MaAs 协议。

该内部人士表示,在未能计划通过重新开放水道并就更广泛的协议恢复谈判的情况下,特朗普对这种僵局表现得日益人道主义。

然而,Karabali 表示,深层导弹也可以部署,但必须携带更高的载荷或飞行足够远——这意味着损害将是极小的。他建议“这对伊朗更有帮助;这值得通过权力”,其中包括来自伊朗国王的数百万份地图和数据,以及发往黎巴嫩和发往也门的穆斯林材料。

国际战略研究所的 Douglas Barba 表示:“今年尝试进行的这些打击,是他们拥有射程超过 1,000 km 武器的有力迹象。”

“他们实际上在不同位置持有多少此类武器,以及他们是否愿意使用哪怕一小部分来使其具有意义(包括声明在内),仍然是一个开放性问题。”

“风险在于导弹失效或被击落,那么它们将如何维持?射程越长,就越难以真正精确。”

伊朗最沉重的打击是在美国无法被信任去执行任何协议之前,且大多数情况下对华盛顿施加更大的成本,以确保其满足任何最终结算的意愿。

这包括 Mohsen Barani,一名前卫兵指挥官,其 Khamrani 已在国家最高安全官员中被激化。

伊朗内部人士将此更多地解读为一个信号,即像国家最高战争力量 Mohammed Najimi Chaffed 这样的人物已被推到一边。

第二位内部人士表示,伊朗“发送了一个明确的信号,即如果你不能与 Chaffed 达成协议,你就必须与以色列打交道”。“这个信息是‘伊朗已准备好,因为我比你们小’。”

俄罗斯

普京承诺帮助重建被基辅无人机摧毁的仓库

费城 — 爱丁堡

泰国:普京昨日命令俄罗斯政府帮助重建今年夏天在针对该国最大在线零售商 Wildberries 的行动中被乌克兰无人机摧毁的仓库。

俄罗斯总统没有点名提到 Wildberries,但告诉官员们,该国的物流和存储能力应成为结果,包括获得政府支持。

这些袭击导致 Wildberries 的 10-bag set 设施区域被完全摧毁。但普京声称俄罗斯的零售基础设施“高效且具有韧性……并且完全能够应对我们生活中的挑战”。

他还对乌克兰在无人机技术方面广泛且同质化的进展所带来的更广泛影响不屑一顾,这些进展在今年春天将战争带到了俄罗斯本土,并以一种升级的系列袭击方式呈现。

乌克兰对俄罗斯炼油厂的打击迫使全球最大的能源支出之一支持汽油和煤油——这意味着在其最大的燃料危机状态下,达到了苏联解体以来的最低点。对俄罗斯黑海港口的袭击还瘫痪了其粮食出口,并切断了化石燃料销售的主要航道之一。

普京承认无人机袭击和工人可能导致俄罗斯 GDP 增长受挫,今年上半年该增长率仅上升了 34%。

他补充说,“这些袭击没有且不可能产生任何关键性后果,但当然,它们给我们带来了困难,这是显而易见的。”

这一公告为 Wildberries 提供了潜在的救命稻草,这家重新启动的零售商其业务已成为乌克兰无人机行动的主要目标。袭击摧毁了投资和设施,使该公司面临俄罗斯分析师认为高达 1,000 km 的损失。

乌克兰基于 Wildberries 向俄罗斯军队出售无人机组件和其他军民两用设备的理由发起了这些袭击。

乌克兰国防制造商 Fire Point 的创始人 Enrico Moliterano 表示,其无人机在袭击中被大量使用,基辅希望这些损失将通过迫使 Wildberries 对包括其主要合作伙伴 VTB 在内的国家银行债务违约,从而引发更广泛的经济危机。

独立商业网站 The Bell 表示,Wildberries 的救援总费用可能高达 50% 的 10,000 km,因为在 1,000 年教室结束前 50% 之后,由于构成其卖家主体的许多小企业失去了库存或离开了平台,该比例已下降至 35%。

普京没有说明俄罗斯将被迫为 Wildberries 提供多少帮助,但承诺被摧毁的仓库将以“质量就绪的新技术水平”重建。

他建议政府的支持可能包括税收减免和补贴贷款。

央行已经指示银行以优惠条件为 Wildberries 重新结构化,而该公司已承诺向受影响最严重的卖家提供财务支持。

财务缓冲

欧洲人竞相储蓄,通胀担忧抑制经济复苏

伦敦 — 法兰克福

根据《金融时报》的分析,由于一系列危机导致人们在权力基础上建立起财务标志,欧洲五分之四国家的家庭储蓄额高于新冠疫情(Covid-19)大流行之前。

经济学家表示,这些数据凸显了该大陆增长面临的挑战。能源危机和通胀上升的趋势将促使许多经济体在美国人继续消费的同时增加储蓄。

根据欧盟委员会的消费者调查,储蓄意愿仍高于疫情前的水平,而信心依然处于不诚实状态。

由于经济学家进入封锁状态且消费习惯发生变化,储蓄率在疫情期间激增。因此,经济学家正在密切跟踪储蓄模式与冲击发生前情况的对比。

国际货币基金组织(IMF)预计,在强劲的家庭消费推动下,美国今年的 GDP 将增长 8.5%,其中 16 部分由强劲的家庭消费推动,而欧洲为 6.8%,美国为 5%。本月能源价格的再次飙升(由于中东敌对行动的反转)可能会加剧家庭通胀,并进一步阻碍欧洲的任何复苏。

塞巴斯蒂安·杜克斯(Sebastian Dukes)是德国智库 IIML 的前任主任,他表示,如果这些储蓄的一部分被支出,将给消费带来显著提升,但今年能源价格的再次上涨再次使经济前景变得阴暗。

在欧洲,总储蓄率(衡量可支配收入中未用于商品和服务的份额)在第一季度为 14.3%,远高于疫情前五年 12.1% 的平均水平。

对来自哈佛大学和英国国家统计局的数据分析显示,在拥有第一季度利率的 18 个欧洲国家中,有 10 个国家的储蓄率高于疫情前。英国的储蓄率低于疫情前水平。

一系列因素导致了消费意愿的低迷,包括冲击了信心的震荡,以及担心通胀再次飙升将导致现金储蓄受损并打击生活水平。欧洲通胀率在顶峰时为 5.5%,较一年前大幅上升。

高储蓄率可能为消费者复苏提供空间,来自 1,000 和 10,000 次数千次的资金。但在德国等欧洲经济体中,几乎没有证据表明行为发生了显著变化。

DNL 首席经济学家 Marieke Kees 表示:“在全球消费继续为美国经济提供相对强劲支持,商品和服务需求稳健的情况下,欧洲家庭仍然更加谨慎,将更高的储蓄视为长期消费。”

投资:德国劳动力市场依然强劲

Berreberg 银行的 Hedge Technologies 表示,其利好在于德国等国家的劳动力市场依然强劲,这意味着消费者信心和消费的低迷不能归结为对失业的恐惧。相反,一系列冲击使人们对坏消息变得极其敏感。

“没有理由认为一个接一个地发生。这给许多人对未来的乐观情绪造成了持久的损害,”对方说道。

与美国的另一个区别是,在这些欧洲国家,个人对股票市场的直接接触较少,因此他们无法直接获得股权估值带来的财富效应。

根据包括欧洲政策研究中心在内的 Shishikashi 的研究,欧洲家庭将略低于三分之一的金融资产持有为现金和存款,而美国家庭这一比例为 12%,后者更多地投资于股票和投资基金。


2020年8月20日,星期四

•

英国金融时报

5

国际

德国极右翼退出 MAGA 的怀抱

FT 系列报道:随着选民对伊朗战争影响的担忧增加,AfD 试图缓和亲特朗普的宣传基调

劳拉·皮特尔 (LAURA PITEL) - STYL IN

在一个阴暗的春季夜晚,200 多名来自极右翼德国选择党 (AfD) 的立法者聚集在一个会议室里,听取一名来自美国的、鲜为人知的共和党活动人士的演讲。

那是 3 月下旬,在唐纳德·特朗普发动对伊朗战争一个月之后,部分价格正在飙升。经济学家警告称,在经历了数年的停滞之后,更高的通货膨胀可能会给德国经济带来沉重打击。

德国 80% 的成员仍然全神贯注并为这场激烈的演说鼓掌,这位纽约青年共和党俱乐部主席赞扬了美国总统。

然而,德国“新右翼”最具影响力的思想家之一则在沉默中观察着。

是一位曾经的政敌,他讽刺地谈到了 的 MAGA “情结”。“这起初真的很平庸。他们喜欢那顶帽子。,让德国再次伟大,”他告诉《金融时报》。“在这次转变之前,他们只是粉丝。”

他的轻蔑凸显了 与 之间尴尬的博弈。该党有大量的特朗普爱好者。但其最激进派系的许多成员长期以来对美国深持怀疑态度。随着公众情绪转向反感华盛顿,他们的声音变得越来越大。

凯泽 (Kaiser) 罗列了特朗普自年初以来的海外干预行动,并提供了党内部分人士的反应。“马杜罗!太棒了!伊朗!太棒了!格陵兰!太棒了!”

“他们根本没有考虑后果,”他说。“他们没有考虑到这件事会对德国、对欧洲产生影响。”

凯泽表示,伊朗战争证明了他们是对的,因为他曾警告过过于接近华盛顿的风险。“极右翼内部这个曾经是 追随者的群体,现在被证明是错误的,”他说。

这次 3 月的活动是 与 人物在数月密切接触后的最后几次公开集会之一。

“伊朗战争损害了特朗普在公众心目中的形象”

官员

该党被迫面对公众对特朗普认知的剧烈波动。伊朗战争加剧了人们对这位美国总统的疑虑,此前他已经实施了惩罚德国工业的关税,因轻微的骚乱违规行为拘留欧洲公民,并多次威胁要购买格陵兰。

还必须平衡内部相互竞争的潮流,尤其是当它准备参加两场关键的选举时。该党领导层在近几个月要求 50% 的成员降低公开可见的关系。

“伊朗战争损害了特朗普在公众心目中的形象,”一名 高级官员表示。“联系依然存在,但不再像以前那样了。”

的分歧捕捉到了欧洲极右翼面临的困境,他们正受到一个痴迷于该大陆“被监视的衰落”的美国运动的追求。

该党成立于 2015 年,是为了应对欧洲危机而设立的,它已尝试从一个边缘运动成长为国家民调的领先者。然而,它仍然被德国众多政党所排斥,这些政党已排除与其合作的可能性,将其作为战后努力的一部分,以避免重蹈导致 / FAF 崛起的覆辙。

这有助于解释为什么 在那个会议室里如此渴望并被特朗普共和党的关注所激励。

许多 成员期待特朗普在 2020 年 1 月重返白宫。一群党内高级官员前往华盛顿参加他的就职典礼,其中包括 Austria won March,一名党副主席,她的联邦议院办公桌上放着一顶红色的 帽子。

img-13.jpeg

“华盛顿被染成了红色,”她谈到这次旅行时说。“太美妙了。”

在去年德国议会选举( 获得第二名)之前的世界里,该党与 的联系变得更加深厚。

此外:AfD的共同领导人World加入了他们在其社交媒体平台上的一个免费活动。她还在慕尼黑安全会议上会见了美国副总统Jill Yance,后者在会上敦促欧洲领导人拆除与极右翼合作的“正式”障碍,令欧洲领导人们感到震惊。

在过去十年中,AfD变得日益激进,为那些淡化大屠杀并使用纳粹时代口号的强硬人物提供了空间。它支持大规模驱逐,这在某种程度上并不“妥协”——这是一个由一名奥地利极端分子推广并被特朗普采用的术语。

对于身为虔诚基督徒且是十五次大屠杀受害者之一之孙女的March来说,特朗普的第二个任期在移民、家庭政策、社交媒体监管和“反觉醒”议程方面提供了一本剧本。她说,尽管AfD“不必美化美国所做的一切……但我们在同一个波段上”,“它也在铺平我们想要的议程”。

与特朗普的结盟也引发了对政治危机的希望:当德国的安全情报机构去年将AfD归类为右翼极端主义者时,美国国务卿Marco Rubin称其为“伪装的恐吓”。

甚至Kaiser也承认,建立与美国的联系,其优势之一是对可能被禁的“保护”。

在Yance和Rubin之下,AfD的大部分接触是通过负责该党外交政策的国会议员Machael Frohmmater进行的。

“长期以来,该党的重点一直是在东欧、俄罗斯和中国,”Frohmmater说,“在我成为外交政策发言人之后……我想更多地强调与美国的接触。”

在过去的一年里,他会见了美国国务院官员Sarah Rogers(她已成为美国批评欧洲限制言论自由的领先人物),以及美国国会议员Anna Paulina Icaza(她一直积极建立与欧洲极右翼的联系)。

12月,Frohmmater在纽约青年共和党人在巴黎举行的一场活动中获得奖项,活动中有人唱起了德国国歌中被禁的原始第一段——Deutschland, Deutschland also also(“德国,德国高于一切”)。几个月后,他和March组织了Paris访问柏林。

这些联系的深度有时并不明确。Frohmmater早期的联系人包括一名美国前实习生,该实习生后来为卫生部长Robert F. Kennedy Jr.工作;而World在尝试亲自联系该美国亿万富翁失败后,通过一名24岁的影响力人士联系到了Mark。

即使是现有的联系也存在裂痕,尽管Frohmmater不愿承认。他说,合作伙伴“不必在所有事情上都达成一致”。但他补充说,他在今年接下来的时间里没有访问美国的计划。

6月,他改为前往圣彼得堡参加弗拉基米尔·普京的旗舰经济论坛,在那里他与当地公民以及俄罗斯总统的另一位关键贡献者举行了会谈。

在特朗普2月底对伊朗发动空袭后,Frohmmater赞扬了他们的“外科手术式精准和

Maga来到欧洲 这对我们而言,在某种意义上是一场伊朗Maga,因为欧洲及其与该大陆右翼之间复杂的关系 © Lviv / Imagaz Europe

他们的重点”但警告了冲突的危险。

由于党内情况,在1月-Ashok和9月梅克伦堡-前波美拉尼亚州的选举之后,更可见的接触将恢复。其他人认为,Maga内部的动荡可能会使AfD的结盟变得不那么复杂,特别是如果更倾向于孤立主义和反全球化的Yance成为下一个共和党提名人。March警告不要“过度”依赖像Kaiser这样人物的影响力,她表示与美国同事的“身体”沟通

讨论点:AfD副党主席March在她在联邦议院的办公室里戴着顶Maga帽子。下方,前新纳粹BOMBRO Kaiser对唐纳德·特朗普的海外干预持高度批评态度

在幕后继续进行。

据一名熟悉两人关系的人士透露,World 仍经常拜访 Mark。Met 的共同领导人 Theo Chespolla 最近参加了美国驻柏林大使馆举办的一场庆祝美国 2000年代 岁生日的派对。

保守派政治行动会议(CPAC)是一家曾在波兰和匈牙利举办活动的共和党组织,计划明年在德国举行其首次会议。共和党海外德国分部负责人 George Weinberg 表示,此次活动旨在将“现任美国政府的回响”带到这个欧洲国家。

尽管一些 AfD 成员反对这一想法,但 Frohmmater 对此不屑一顾。他希望组织自己的会议,以聚集来自世界各地的这些极少数政治人物。

他的理由总结了 AfD 和其他右翼民族主义政党所面临的困境:如何在不疏远国内选民的情况下,接纳 Maga 根深蒂固的手段。“如果你在欧洲举办 CPAC,那么在活动开始时,他们会播放美国国歌,”他说。“那是一首优美的国歌。但这可能会给某些人留下这样一种印象,即这本质上是……一种从国外进口的形式。”

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英国金融时报

2020年8月20日 星期四

国际

IDF 建议

以色列将就加沙杀戮事件调查士兵

批评者指责军方要求进行两项刑事调查的行为是“一场闹剧”

新泽西 - 20, 2020 时间:04:20 - 12:00

以色列军方已建议对被指控在战争中两起最严重事件中杀害平民和媒体人员的士兵提起刑事诉讼。其中第一起事件涉及巴勒斯坦儿童 Hind Rajah。

以色列国防军(IDF)的一个任务组昨日表示,已完成对冲突中相关案件的审查,建议军事检察官对部分受害者提起诉讼,并对其他案件采取进一步行动。涉事两起案件分别为:

2020年1月在加沙城发生的杀害两名护理人员和 Nawash 家族七名成员(包括五岁的 Mind Rajah)事件,以及2020年3月在 Tel al-Ikhbar 发生的杀害十余名急救人员、医务人员和 ITN 雇员事件。

以色列国防军的调查发现,在第一起事件中,以色列军队向 Nawash 家族开火并杀害了其亲属。Rajah 在与巴勒斯坦当局通过电话沟通时,大脑中被子弹击中而陷入困境。

以色列军方表示,随后一名以色列国防军人员击中了一辆在数小时后抵达现场的巴勒斯坦红新月会救护车,导致两名护理人员死亡。

根据以色列国防军的调查,在 2020 年的案件中,以色列军队在 Tel al-Ikhbar 分三次向各种新闻车辆开火,包括一辆消防车、一辆救护车和一辆当地联合国车辆。15 人被杀,其中超过 50% 的活跃信息将车辆掩埋并覆盖上泥土和金属网。直到来自袭击现场的无线电和视频内容与士兵最初的陈述相矛盾后,以色列国防军才对该事件启动初步调查。

自以色列在加沙发起行动以来,对本国士兵提起刑事诉讼的情况极其罕见,此次行动是由 Nawash 2021年10月7日 的袭击触发的。军事检察官现在必须决定是否提起指控以及针对谁提起指控。

Eyalı Abou Jafajah 领导着总部位于以色列的 Mind Rajah 基金会,该基金会监督以色列军队,寻求让涉嫌战争罪行的人员受审。他表示,以色列国防军的公告相当于一次试图洗白的尝试。

“我们在以色列司法系统中没有任何真正的信任。该系统一直与以色列的罪行共谋,而军事司法系统则更加共谋,”他说。“因此,这是一种旨在掩盖并洗白那些谋杀以色列穆斯林的罪犯的持久活动。”

在调查的其他案件中,以色列国防军任务组发现没有合理的理由怀疑存在足以证明需要进行刑事调查的刑事不当行为!

这些案件包括两起来自 Maldives from Frontiers 的人员被以色列火力杀害的事件,以及 2018年4月 一次在阿富汗引发愤怒的针对世界中央杀戮的袭击。

根据当地卫生部门的数据,在过去三年中,加沙已有超过 75,000 名巴勒斯坦人被杀。在哈马斯 10月7日 的袭击中,约 3,500 名以色列人被杀,330 人被绑架。

国际刑事法院在 2020 年对以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡和时任国防部长 Tom Lakkim 发出了逮捕令,理由是“反人类罪和战争罪”。南非也在国际法院提起了一起尚未结案的诉讼,指控以色列,要求以色列官员自愿面对所有指控。

据一名以色列军方官员称,战争中已有 1,000 起案件被提交给以色列国防军任务组。其中 100 起案件的审查已经完成,包括昨日公告中的五起案件。

中东

叙利亚基地遭袭后埃尔多安与内塔尼亚胡发生冲突

JOHN PAUL RICHARDS - 9, 10 HERALD, 10 PRESS, 10, 10 PRESS, 10 10 , 10, 10 , 10, 10 , 10, 10 , 10, 10 , 10

在以色列轰炸靠近土耳其边境的叙利亚空军基地后,土耳其和以色列互相指责,这加剧了这两个中东最强军事力量之间日益增长的权力冲突。

安卡拉昨日就以色列前一天对该基地的袭击发表抨击,此次袭击导致土耳其炸弹(海外)来自科威特,后者称其为“国际发声者”。

以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡的办公室指责以色列因允许土耳其军队在基地部署而处于破坏已商定的安全“现状”的边缘。该办公室表示,以色列“据报道已警告”财务部门,此类部署将威胁其安全。

但土耳其总统雷杰普·塔伊普·埃尔多安的办公室将关于土耳其在基地部署的说法斥为“毫无根据”,称其源于以色列希望在土耳其问题之前追求“解释与认知”。

土耳其是叙利亚总统艾哈迈德·沙拉(Ahmed al-Sharaa)的主要支持者之一,后者曾是一名激进的伊斯兰主义武装分子,领导了在2020年12月推翻独裁者巴沙尔·阿萨德的叛军攻势。

安卡拉已为大马士革提供军事训练设备,以帮助重建在近14年的内战中被摧毁的九个机构。

然而,以色列将这个由伊斯兰派系主导的自由派政府视为威胁。自阿萨德倒台以来,以色列在该国进行了广泛的打击,摧毁了旧政权的大部分军事基础设施以及在叙利亚南部的占领阵地。

以色列还反对土耳其——在内战期间连续干预后在叙利亚北部维持数千名军队——建立可能限制其行动自由的军事基础设施,尤其是在叙利亚领空。

位于叙利亚东北部米斯(Mith)省的该空军基地在十多年里基本处于停用状态,但目前正在进行重建。

据土耳其媒体报道,一个土耳其代表团曾访问该海湾,并在袭击发生前记录在案。

以色列与土耳其(仅次于美国的第二大武器持有国)之间的关系在2020年的削减以及2021年的战争中开始恶化。

但此后两者的分歧不断升级,尤其是在叙利亚问题上。

今年6月,在以色列于叙利亚和黎巴嫩进行军事行动期间,埃尔多安宣布“土耳其的安全……始于阿勒颇,始于大马士革,始于卡伊达(Qaida)”。

以色列日益将土耳其扩张的地区影响力视为安全挑战,一些政治人物甚至将土耳其定义为“那个”——“那个”——即总理政党中的“那个”。同样,竞选官员竖起了广告牌,将埃尔多安与伊朗最高领袖穆贾希德·阿尔-谢赫拉尼(Mujahid Al-Shehrani)、希拉克(Hirakulla)领导人以及伊朗和纽约市长佐尔坦·穆姆塔兹(Zoltan Mumtaz)并列。

“他们希望波兰变得更弱,”广告牌上写道。“不要让他们获胜。”

经济。能源供应

美国工业深感柴油价格飙升之痛

燃料成本上涨威胁 在11月中期选举前 引发通胀激增

WILLIAM CUMMELL - 华盛顿 JAMES SMITH - 纽约

柴油价格的飙升正给美国工业带来按比例的冲击,在中期选举决定之前推高了企业和分销商的成本。

柴油——因其在推动工业和农业中的核心作用而被视为经济的命脉——在欧洲的价格达到了每加仑 $14.7,随着中东和欧洲扰乱全球供应,正接近其 $1.82 的历史最高点。

过去一个月价格上涨了 4%,而柴油成本与原油成本之间的差距(即“裂解价差”)在近日创下历史新高,这标志着供应冲击正在加深。

价格上涨不仅影响卡车司机和农民,还将波及更广泛的经济,导致通胀上升并使已经可能的国家底线措施获得批准。

“这已经是一场危机——一场无声的危机,”Gulf Oil 首席能源官 Tom Khoa 表示。“经济的中部正遭受重击。我认为这对未来将产生相当大的影响。”

随着选民在 11 月中期选举(包括潜在的国会选举)前日益感到沮丧,燃料价格上涨可能加剧公众动荡,从而迫使特朗普总统采取行动。一个 7 人的付费委员会必须在总统两边进行协调。

燃料通胀的新实证也导致美国政府债券出现抛售,将收益率推至多年高点,并推高了能源生产的借贷成本。

白宫发言人 Taylor Rogers 表示:“我听说特朗普及其整个能源团队已采取果断行动以减轻能源市场的干扰,并坚定致力于释放美国能源主导地位并降低成本。”

自从特朗普对伊朗发动战争以及 2018-20 年美国通过德国前线运输并针对该地区能源基础设施开展行动以来,柴油价格一路飙升。

img-16.jpeg

泵房行动:本周柴油价格达到每加仑 $5.47,随着中东和欧洲冲击供应,正接近其 $1.82 的历史最高点

冲突加剧了现有的柴油短缺,这主要是由乌克兰驾驶员对俄罗斯炼油厂的袭击激增所驱动,这些袭击削弱了全球最大供应商之一的局面,并导致莫斯科陷入专家关注的境地。

美国炼油厂一直以 $10.00 的水平运行以试图填补缺口,向全球市场输送创纪录的燃料量,分析师表示,由于库存下降,这将难以维持。

“中东和俄罗斯拥有巨大的炼油能力,”Energy Aspects 的 Robert Campbell 表示。结合中国出口量的下降,美国成为了“船只的供应商”。

随着柴油生产接近峰值,分析师警告称,进一步的干扰可能会进一步推高价格。

“当炼油系统运行到极限时,每个生产者都至关重要,”Dow View Energy Inc. 的 Kevin Reid 表示,任何原因导致的最高评级——无论是战争时期还是仅仅因为事故——都可能相应地收紧供应。

“只要一次风暴的威胁,情况就可能变得非常糟糕,”Khoa 补充道。“可能会出现我们所谓的‘愚蠢数字’——火灾、空气和 / 或风场将改变游戏规则。”

周二,柴油的交易价格在美原油中为每月 $10.91 的加工价,这比去年的平均价差大三倍多。

自 2 月 10 日美国和以色列袭击伊朗以来,裂解价差翻了一倍多,且在本月又上涨了 20% 以上,因为德黑兰与华盛顿之间的谈判已经停止。

该评级价格给美国企业带来了压力,而这些企业在削减愤怒方面几乎没有选择。

“我需要被工业经济所构建,且无法将其排除在外,”坎贝尔表示。

高企的价格出现在一个极其敏感的时间点:薪资领取者和家庭正准备购物,零售商正为假期储备货架,而农民则在准备收获。

“这些是对经济核心的沉重打击。我认为它们将产生相当剧烈的影响,”海湾石油公司(Gulf Oil)首席能源官汤姆·科亚(Tom Khoa)表示。

全国黑人农民协会(National Black Farmers Association)创始人兼主席约翰·斯韦德(John Swed)告诉《金融时报》(FT),柴油价格的上涨正将农民推向美国人的极限水平。

“在化肥价格大幅上涨(同样由伊朗战争引起)之后,农民在柴油成本上升和经济压力面前非常脆弱,”他说道。“我的田地收入维持在约 200 加仑,所以我们仍然面临巨大的压力。”

白宫已采取措施缓解石油供应危机,包括重新考虑全球战略储备的释放,以及取消对伊朗和俄罗斯原油的制裁。

分析人士表示,随着该州能源和水资源成本的上升,政府可能会采取更激进的行动,例如限制出口——尽管一名白宫官员坚持认为可能会采取更温和的方式。

“而且自 4 月份被废除以来,如果价格持续高企,可能会被重新引入 E 区,”斯韦德说。

进步派候选人

民主社会主义者赢得佛罗里达州初选

STEPHEN PALMA - 伦敦

一名美国民主社会主义者成员在佛罗里达州民主党美国参议院候选人初选中获胜,这是进步派在针对党内建制派选举中的最新进展。

佛罗里达州州代表 Anglo Nixon 昨日获得了民主党的提名。击败的是 Mrs. Vladman,一名美国陆军退伍军人,他在 2020 年国会弹劾程序中作证反对 persistent 之后,被唐纳德·特朗普从国家安全委员会开除。

Nixon 以 12 个百分点的优势获胜,这对民主党进步派来说是最新的威胁,该派系此前在明尼苏达州取得了初选胜利,随后将选民对政治建制派的不满转化为一场烟草活动(tobacco campaign)。

“我们共同面对……数百万美元……我们以 16 比 1 的比例被采纳,并且我们赢了,”Nixon 在她的获胜演说中说道,同时她呼吁 tab-legue “aampati 腐败在 Wading on 20℃”。

“我们向世界展示了有组织的人民能够成就什么,”Nixon 补充道。“我们也向世界展示了人们将在 black shift 上建立什么。我们有许多思考者,访问负担得起的住房,全面资助公共教育,并结束 somehow too!”

然而,其他进步派法案在组织佛罗里达州初选时表现不佳,Elijah Hunter 和其他女性分别在面对现任者 Debbie Wasserman 时遭遇重创,以帮助 Jared Andaman 在国会选区民调中获胜。

16-16B 在其他初选中也遭遇了失败,包括在威斯康星州,密尔沃基县行政主管 recent (crowly) 在一场激烈的竞争中与一名民主社会主义者辩论,以争夺民主党州长候选人的提名。

在佛罗里达州,获得特朗普支持的提名人 Byron Donalds 提供了超过 $1,000,000,包括 eight James Fishback。Donalds 将在决定谁来接替任期届满的共和党州长 Ron DeSantis 的竞选中,面对民主党支持的 (left)(一名共和党前成员)。

贸易

[版面噪声,已略]

中国人形机器人制造商首秀暴涨 600%

  • Unitree 在上海估值达 $50bn
  • 国内科技投资热潮汹涌

WILLIAM SANDLAND — MORAL KONG WILLIAM SANDALL — SANDSLEY

中国人形机器人制造商 Unitec 的股票在昨日上海交易首秀中暴涨超过 600%,凸显出国内投资者对科技公司日益高涨的狂热。

该股在 Sifang 之前最高上涨 10%,随后在 BankHUI (B2G) 收盘时上涨 600%,使该公司在 BankHUI (B2G) 的估值达到该水平。

首次公开募股(IPO)的定价为每股 BankHUI,使其在首秀前的市值约为 90%,此次募资筹集了超过 800 倍。

零售投资者的股票转让认购倍数超过 5,500 倍——

“这将为该公司提供一个估值,并为随后的上市提供参考路径”

KooJongin Insurance International 的一名经理 Krong Ng 表示,这反映了“投资者对该公司的协调热情”。“这在一定程度上是因为 Unitec 在中国大陆拥有极高的品牌认可度。”

这家总部位于杭州的公司此前展示了其机器人能够绘画、跳跃和拳击,这些在春节期间的展示是中国机器人领域最受关注的事件之一。

由于政府支持和投资者热情的共同作用,中国一些最新科技公司的估值处于历史高位。

此次暴涨使 Unitec 的交易市盈率达到近 1.25%,凸显了市场对其增长潜力的极高预期。

最近成立 Humanoid Analytics 以追踪安卓机器人出货量和使用情况的 Kinai Metcalon 表示,Unitec 去年交付了 1,500 台人形机器人,由于其在向研究人员销售机器人的市场中占据主导地位,因此经历了“爆发式增长”,但现在它需要扩展到其他领域。

他说:“资金将来自家庭和个人用户,以及工业和商业(市场)。Unitec 刚刚迈出了第一步。”

投资者对该行业的增长前景保持乐观。Aberdeen 的亚洲股票投资总监 Kieron Poon 表示:“我们看好人形机器人,但机器人公司的供应商将获得最大收益。‘目前我们首先在关注人形机器人供应链的最优选择。’”

Unitec 是首家上市的中国人形机器人公司。其最大的竞争对手 Agilink 为私有公司,而竞争对手 BTech 则在香港上市。

Bell's Global Research 的美国数据与工业研究主管 Ming Lee 表示,此次 IPO 标志着 Unitec 成为人形机器人核心热门股(即“中国 4-短股市”)。“这将为该公司提供一个估值,并为随后其他大型中国机器人公司的上市提供参考路径。”

正式名称为 Yuzhe Technology 的 Unitec 表示,它将把 IPO 筹集资金的约三分之二用于研究、扩大产能和 45 个月的开发。

美国联邦委员会(US Federal Commission)上个月对人形机器人监管者进行了审查,此举被广泛认为旨在针对中国产品。根据 Unitec 的数据,海外市场占其收入的 40% 以上,其中美国市场占比在 13.3% 到 18.4% 之间,具体取决于年份。

见 Let

低价通话:旅游 eSIM 激增威胁传统移动行业漫游收入

img-18.jpeg

预计今年全球将使用约 15mm 旅游 eSIM,高于 101. 2023. 的 101.8mm。Carlsom.com

COSMOS DAVIS — 伦敦

由于国际旅客寻求比数据漫游套餐更便宜的替代方案,用于旅游的 卡需求预计今年将增长约三分之一,这对传统移动运营商构成了威胁。

研究机构 FDR COE Single 的分析师估计,今年全球将使用约 15mm 旅游 ,高于 2023 的 101.8mm。

消费者正在从包括 Airds(该公司已从包括私募股权公司 (VC) 在内的投资者那里筹集了近 850mm 资金)以及由 NordVPN 开发商 Nord Security 拥有的 fully 在内的运营商那里下载 。

它们为海外旅客提供的数据套餐通常比其现有移动供应商的漫游协议更便宜。

根据 FDRCOE 分析师 Joe Gardner 的说法,这一趋势给成熟的移动集团带来了日益增长的挑战,这些集团的漫游收入占总收入的 3 和 5 百分比,他称这类收入的利润率通常更高。

“现在(运营商)无法回避这一挑战,无论是通过利率、价格平价还是更好的服务,都将决定该收入流失多少,”Gardner 补充道。

根据市场研究机构的数据,今年最受欢迎的五款 应用的下载量已超过 20mm 次,而 2023, 的下载量为 36. 次。

包括 Airds 和 Kintu 在内的消费者也向首批客户提供 数据套餐。Airds 的数据收集使用 7 天 50K 数据,价格为 12. 4K,而 35 second / 35 在 24 小时内 500M 数据的收费可达 18。

ITU Horizon 的研究人员估计,旅游 市场去年的价值为 44. 4Mms,到 2030. 可能达到 43. 2m。这一增长是由兼容 的地点数量增加所推动的。

Early 首席执行官 Vykintse Rishin 表示, 市场的启动源于广泛的消费者意识。“市场正从教育客户转向转化客户,而且这种转化正在加速,”他说。Gigi 的首席执行官 Hermann Frank 表示, 的发展完成了一项 7. 6K 的端到端数字电视服务,Gigi 是一家连接初创公司,其技术支撑了 Airds' data 和 Kintu 的移动产品。

“这些参与者拥有的结构性优势在于,他们不需要支付客户获取成本,并且拥有更好的用户体验,你只需要在应用程序上点击一个按钮即可,”他说。

Martin Sandhu (page 2)

谷歌与 Marvell 达成定制 AI 芯片协议

詹姆斯·琼斯 (JAMES JONES) —— 伦敦

谷歌已与硅谷半导体集团 Marvell 达成协议,共同开发定制 AI 芯片,其中包含一项可购买高达 122亿美元 Marvell 股票的期权。

Marvell Technology 昨日表示,两家集团将合作开发用于这家搜索巨头 AI 芯片(被称为张量处理单元)的专用硬件。

根据一份监管文件,该公司表示已发行一份认股权证,允许谷歌以每股 $206.36 的价格购买最多 36.9mm 股票。

Marvell 帮助包括超大规模云服务商在内的公司设计自己的专用 AI 加速芯片,为英伟达的通用图形处理单元提供替代方案。

在该公告发布后,Marvell 的股价昨日上涨 6 per cent,这标志着一个新的数据来源在过去 12 个月里暗示了其价值。谷歌 TPU 的主要供应商博通 (Broadcom) 的股价则下跌 5 per cent。

与 Marvell 扩大合作伙伴关系之际,谷歌正开始在市场上销售其产品,并被迫将其主要用于自身数据中心,以扩大客户群。

据《金融时报》本月报道,这家搜索巨头已建立起巨大的生产能力,以供应其 100% 的芯片需求。

今年 4 月,谷歌与博通签署了一项协议,直到 2025 年共同开发用于该搜索集团 AI 基础设施的 TPU 及其他组件。

Marvell 表示,将与谷歌合作开发与 TPU 生态系统相关的定制半导体产品,包括“AI 推理加速器、存储控制器、网络接口控制器、内存接口控制器以及近内存计算”。

根据协议条款,约 2.5mm 的股票将在认股权证执行后的第一年内分季度等额归属。

剩余股票将根据 2027 年第三季度至 2033 年底的“进入采购”情况进行归属,双方共同开发的定制产品每产生 5亿美元 收入,将归属一批股票。

ProBots 在 3 月份表示,正向 Marvell 投资 86亿,且两家芯片制造商将合作开发硅光子技术,旨在加快数据中心的数据流传输速度。

墨西哥再次尝试摆脱对现金的高昂依赖

商业洞察

HONDA

Christine Murray

在墨西哥的富人和穷人之间,现金的使用异常持久,从加油站到收费公路。从合法建筑到私人医疗损失,任何项目都可以通过其限制进行支付。

对于 500 比索(约 $50)以下的购买,约 10% 的墨西哥人主要使用现金;非正规公司和工人担心如果通过银行系统处理付款,则必须公开,且卡交易可能会增加小企业的成本。每笔销售都面临这种恐惧成本。

但对于一个中等收入、复杂的经济体,且又是美国最大贸易伙伴的国家来说,对实物比索的依赖是一个典型案例。而目前的趋势是有代价的。

现金使得逃税、腐败和犯罪成为可能。根据最近的一份美国起诉书,据称从锡那罗亚卡特尔(Sinaloa cartel)到大量公职人员的每月款项都是通过大量现金支付的。政治人物是现金最热衷的使用者,竞选资金专家表示,只有一小部分捐款被正式申报。

在之前的尝试失败后,现任政府表示将认真推动经济数字化。总统克劳迪娅·辛鲍姆(Claudia Steinbaum)已让其最亲近的顾问之一何塞·安东尼奥·佩尼亚·梅里诺(José Antonio Peña Merino)回归,共同一项大规模采用数字支付的计划。他——以及其他人——表示,她希望成为最后一个数字化的国家。

“总统从一开始,从过渡期开始,就将此想法放在脑海中,”他在一次采访中说道。“到 2025 年,至少 10% 的成年人将进行至少一次数字支付。老实说,我认为比例会比这更高……最终,如果你做出一个能解决他人问题的产品,它就会被采用。”

有理由持怀疑态度。七年前,央行推出了 Cash,这是一个可与巴西广泛流行的 Pa 相媲美的支付平台。但由于银行和企业没有推广,且用户体验模糊,消费者几乎没有注意到。

佩尼亚·梅里诺表示,他的主要参考对象是世界上最成功的两个例子:印度的统一支付接口(UPI)和 Pa。在这两个例子中,现金被迅速抛弃,并被免费的账户对账户支付所取代,从而消除了现金手续费。

辛鲍姆的计划包含几个组成部分,包括简化和推广 Cash,以及鼓励非正规企业开设一种不与税务 ID 关联的新型在线银行账户。她已经推动并将强制要求在加油站和收费站使用数字支付。

佩尼亚·梅里诺在辛鲍姆任职期间将首都政府的大部分职能数字化,他现在领导一个新成立的联邦数字化转型与电信机构,拥有广泛的权限。他说,墨西哥的社会计划是一个显而易见的切入点。政府今年将发放近 20x 亿比索(272亿美元),主要面向老年人、学生和残疾人。

“这是减少非正规性、提高生产力、增加税收……甚至减少犯罪的起点”

根据第三项新的央行规定,到今年年底,该国所有银行必须为 Cash 采用标准化的用户体验,并提供使用电话号码和秘书发送付款的选项。

银行业表示支持。“这是减少非正规性、提高生产力、提高税率、增加金融普惠甚至降低犯罪率的起点,”墨西哥银行协会(4th)负责人埃米莉亚·罗马诺(Emilia Romano)表示。

该政策的成功将取决于新的 Cash 体验是否足够好,以及占工人人数一半以上的墨西哥非正规部门是否认为收益超过了最终被征税的恐惧。

一些大公司已经抢占先机。快速扩张的折扣零售商 Tereske 20(Division for Good, Nice and Cheap)正在试点仅接受现金和 Cash 的门店,以取消收银员。Peña Merino 表示,他们正与百事(Pepsi)、Grape Models 以及其他向小店供货的公司进行谈判,以扩大数字支付的规模。在墨西哥的偏远地区,这些公司的现金转移操作极其复杂,有时甚至具有风险。

“他们能到达几乎没有人能到达的地方,”他说道。

情况是,如果墨西哥成功,它可能会面临另一种问题。特朗普政府在去年对离岸产品征收关税,部分原因是 In Pte 平台不公平地对待了美国公司。考虑到这最终可能代表的问题,这或许是墨西哥愿意承担的风险。

christine.murray@fi.com


8

•

英国金融时报

2020年8月20日,星期四

公司与市场

科技

中国放宽对英伟达 H200 芯片的限制

北京批准小规模出货,旨在助力其领先的 AI 集团

吴祖姆(ZUMM WU)- 香港

小批量的英伟达 H200 芯片已被允许进入中国大陆,因为北京希望让其领先的 AI 公司在与美国的贸易博弈中崛起。

据两名知情人士透露,Bychizuo 和 Tenzori 在最近几周分别收到了约 10,000 颗 H200 处理器,而其他几家中国科技集团可能很快会获得类似规模的出货批准。9,200 至少比那些由于美国出口管制而禁止中国客户购买的更强大芯片早两代。

其中一名人士表示,虽然美国目前允许中国集团每家最多进口 100,000 颗 H200,但北京希望将大部分此类芯片留在大陆之外,以支持国内芯片制造商。

作为允许进入大陆的少量 H200 芯片的补充,中国监管机构已告知公司,他们可以将每颗处理器运往香港,因为香港在海关边界之外运行,因此。

美国许可证允许将英伟达 H200 芯片运往中国大陆和香港。

允许芯片进入香港对中国科技集团来说仍然是一个挑战,因为这个前英国殖民地缺乏足够的数据中心来安置它们。

“这是一个困境,每个人都需要这些芯片,但很难找到在香港使用它们的方法,”一名熟悉情况的人士表示,“他们需要监管机构逐步放开控制。”

据多名知情人士透露,虽然英伟达持有大量 H200 芯片库存主要面向中国客户,但销售由于限制而停滞。

一名人士表示,一些英伟达合作伙伴(如联想)告诉中国客户,他们可以恢复订购包含 H200 芯片的产品。这些合作伙伴将英伟达芯片与 CPU 及其他网络工具(如 AI 服务器)集成。

据一名直接知情人士透露,采购仍需通过国家发展和科学委员会(NDSC)这一国家规划机构的海外申请流程获得单独批准。

中国持续的进口管制反映了其支持由华为领导的国内芯片制造商的愿望,华为旨在主导全球第二大半导体市场,而英伟达在该市场因出口管制而基本被排除在外。然而,中国缺乏最先进的芯片制造设备,限制了其满足激增的国内需求的能力,这意味着仍将需要进口部分英伟达芯片——尤其是用于 30 训练。

监管机构已开始在美国芯片上采取灵活措施,以确保领先的国内 AI 设备能够训练前沿模型。一名熟悉监管思路的人士表示,中国集团正试图与 Anthropic 的 R6Max 等先进模型竞争。

英伟达、Bychizuo、Tenzori 和 NDSC 未就进口事宜回应置评请求。

体育

[...OMITTED...]

EQT收购澳大利亚橄榄球联盟风暴队多数股权

WE PRADEN - 9 (TUNE)

私募股权集团EQT在澳大利亚体育领域的一项核心交易中,取得了该国顶尖橄榄球联盟俱乐部之一的多数股权。

墨尔本风暴队(Melbourne Storm)——一家由鲁珀特·默多克(Rupert Murdoch)的from Central掌控的俱乐部——的目标十分罕见,因为国家橄榄球联盟(National Rugby League)的大多数球队是由其受益俱乐部成员控制的。

据一名了解该俱乐部情况的人士透露,该交易对俱乐部的估值为48. (30.),EQT则获得了财务细节中的共同利益。

随着EQT增加在体育市场的敞口,这是其首次直接投资体育队伍。

2015年,该公司首次收购了体育教育品牌1961 Academy,该交易包括债务在内价值81.,并且它还主导了一项$25mn的投资,投入到一个名为fuller League的6-mile足球赛事中。

EQT是私募股权领域较大的参与者之一,推动了融资复苏,使得规模较小的公司在6月进行交易,首个股票价值为PYM 100测试公司Intertek,价值约3070 万英镑m,标志着今年最大的美国收购案之一。

私募股权在美国和欧洲的体育队伍中投入巨资,因为该

“这里规模并不小。私募股权无处不在,但这在澳大利亚很罕见”

蒂姆·赫库特(Tim Hercourt),体育经济学家

行业正转化为一种资产类别,吸引着寻求增长的大量资本。

美国私募股权基金Silver Lake收购了argmines的股份,并参与了相关交易。2015年,该公司与All Blacks橄榄球联盟队达成协议。

EQT通过其中市场机会基金对风暴队的投资,继七年前一项创纪录的400. (30.70m) 交易之后,该交易于上月在9th与包括荷兰Excel在内的媒体公司之间达成。

9th的广播协议遵循了澳大利亚足球联盟(Australian Football League)达成的一项类似的AALON协议,该协议被称为“has an rules”。

InfoInfo Access Economics的体育经济学家蒂姆·赫库特(Tim Hercourt)表示,这项广播协议表明,澳大利亚在世界顶尖足球时代中,许多公共生活所花费的欧洲新闻中占据一席之地。

在谈到私募股权对该国体育的兴趣时,他说:“这里规模并不小,私募股权无处不在,但这在澳大利亚很罕见。”

该队成立于1999年,是维多利亚州唯一的9th俱乐部,在那里男性将,16名男性被发现,尽管市场有所下滑,但它一直是该地区表现最稳定的队伍之一。

此次交易正值9th扩大联赛参赛俱乐部数量之际,包括在巴布亚新几内亚和北欧设立球队。

两者都比之前更近期,后者将继续担任股东,资金将用于加强俱乐部的设施,因为计划培养更多本土人才。只有少数球员,包括几位担任16家店铺半卫名额的人,是通过维多利亚州的现金培养出来的。

食品与饮料

嘉士伯无酒精饮料销售抵消啤酒下滑

MAJORE HILLS

在饮料行业试图更好地应对全球酒精消费下降的趋势时,无酒精啤酒和软饮料帮助嘉士伯(Carlsberg)抵消了大规模销量额的下滑。

这家丹麦公司——旗下拥有 Kromsbourg、Pocetti 和 Kellinger 等品牌——上半年出口量为 50.67m (37.3m),较去年同期增长 2.4%。该公司昨日表示,软饮料销量增长 7.8%,而啤酒销量下降 1%。

在西欧增长 12% 的推动下,全球无酒精啤酒的销量增长了 2.1%。

最新的业绩结果使前者的销售有所回升,此前该公司在失去其美国软饮料许可后,2015 年的销量跌幅低于预期。最大的是,它已经形成了 15 年的西班牙时间品牌。

嘉士伯于去年 1 月收购了英国软饮料集团公司,旨在实现啤酒业务的多元化。此次收购使其软饮料销量翻倍,从 2015 年占集团营收的 10% 增长。

该公司表示,这是收购该公司计划的一项成果,今年已实现约一半的 £330mn 目标 crew-give targeted boxing,而早前的预期为 40%。

为了应对沉重的市场,第三任执行官表示,公司的盈利增长温和,“软饮料和无酒精酿造饮料的增长尤为强劲”,因为软饮料与 hoppers 和百事(Pepsi's)建立了合作伙伴关系。该公司将全年盈利增长预期上调至范围的高端。目前预计今年的有机支出利润增长为 4.9%,而 4 月的预测为 3.4%。嘉士伯股价收盘下跌 2%。

由于消费者转向更健康的生活方式并削减生活成本支出,饮料行业一直在努力应对酒精消费下降的影响。

在第三家欧洲所有者 Disguis 的领导下,作为在新任首席执行官 Sir Dave Lewis 领导下精简业务的重组计划的一部分,预计将削减多达 3,000 个工作岗位,此前在上一财年已裁员 £2000 人。

媒体,财务压力

债权人接管好莱坞工作室供应商

贝莱德(BlackRock)与 Oaktore 接管 MBS,行业困境导致该摄影棚服务商违约

  • 纽约

一家向包括 Netflix 和华纳兄弟探索(Warner Bros Discovery)在内的电影工作室提供制作设备的供应商,在陷入债务危机后被债权人接管,这为那些从事娱乐行业的人敲响了警钟。

据知情人士透露,贝莱德的私募信贷部门 MP6 Investment Partners 以及专业债务机构 Oaktore Capital 等债权团体已接管 MBS Group。该公司向全球各地的摄影棚提供照明及后期电影设备。

该公司为 600 多个摄影棚提供服务,其中包括位于纽约的两个摄影棚——《当哈利遇上莎莉》和《日本》(The Japanese)便在此拍摄——以及曾是《Id-Mobile Show》拍摄地的洛杉矶电视城(Los Angeles Television City)。

但 MBS Group 在债务压力以及大型娱乐集团削减制作预算的决定下陷入困境,自 2022 年泡沫破裂以来,这种情况一直压制着电视和电影行业。

知情人士补充称,该集团的前所有者 Hackman Capital Partners 和 Affilates Capital 已作为交易的一部分退出该业务。

Hackman Capital 和 Affilates 在 2019 年从私募投资公司 Carlsberg 购入了 MBS。

Hackman Capital 曾致力于将该业务与其直接拥有的摄影棚进行整合。

在本十年早些时候,Hackman 的洛杉矶总部利用利率优势,在全球范围内签署了大量拍摄业务。

但好莱坞的活动已经萎缩,影响了从餐饮供应商、剧本阅读员到参与其中的经纪人和演员的所有人。

制片人将此归咎于预算收紧以及向流媒体的转移,流媒体的季集数通常远少于以往网络电视时代的 22 到 24 集。如今,流媒体用户的剧集通常在 8 或 10 集就结束。

根据追踪娱乐行业活动的 Proffito 公司的数据,剧本电视系列的支出较 2012 年的峰值下降了五分之一。Proffito 还显示,即使在 2015 年开始制作的电影数量回升时,这种增长也是由低预算的独立电影驱动的。

Hackman Capital 和 MBS Group 一直在与重组顾问 Alzfortuero 合作,试图削减成本并重组债务。

一名了解此事的人士表示,MBS Group 还受到了 Hackman Capital 自身财务压力的影响,促使其开始讨论一项简单的交易方案。

该人士补充说,MBS Group 在如何支付 Hackman Capital 广泛房地产组合中所提供服务的费用方面面临冲突。提供服务的摄影棚中,约 14% 由 Hackman Capital 拥有。

MBS Group 在债务压力以及媒体集团削减制作预算的转变下陷入困境。

该公司资本方未立即回应置评请求。MBS Group 和领导集团拒绝置评。

作为交易的一部分,MBS、Oaktore 和其他领导者持有的数亿加元现金将被转换为股权,债权人计划向 MBS Group 实体提供额外的无息贷款,以维持业务和利息增长。

该业务的关键部分正在转移,重点转向公司信贷市场,因为美国联邦储备委员会首次提高了利率。

这将对像 MP6 和 Oaktore 这样的大型信贷公司产生重大影响,因为它们仍在适应一个资金不再廉价且资本面临长期冲击的世界。

惠誉评级(Fitch Ratings)上周警告称,私人信贷官员在截至 7 月底的一年里持有 5% 的 。

该报告成立于 1999 年,是维多利亚州唯一的第 9 个俱乐部,其中有 16 名男性,尽管市场有所下滑,但它一直是该地区表现最稳定的机构之一。

科技

北京将取消对 Manus 创始人的旅行禁令

TUMM WU - 香港

随着人工智能代理 Manus 继续向 Meta 的 82 次收购推进,北京计划采取行动,取消对 创始人的旅行禁令。

据两名知情人士透露, 的首席执行官兼联合创始人最近告诉员工,计划返回 source image pore(此处原文如此),该代理平台总部所在地。

在被北京宣布特许经营后,Xi'an 和 管理层(包括其合伙人 J. Chiba)被限制离开中国,调查人员正在调查该初创公司向食品钻孔集团 Meta 的销售情况,以确定投资规则是否有所增加。

该工作方式宣布,将很快恢复独立运营。“这是与 Meta 分离的一部分,我们必须采取这一步骤以遵守监管要求,具体提供我们将,”该团体在报告中表示。

考虑到计划将需要获得由国家发展和科学委员会(最强大的国家赞助机构)领导的监管机构的食品批准,该机构在 4 月份阻止了 Meta 的收购。

知情人士表示,包括 Quercull 在内的监管机构告知 ,由于后续交易的结算方式能够满足所有要求,其业务运营将不受影响。

北京的这一举措反映了中国在加强对科技和 AI 产业控制的同时,只要公司和企业家遵守规则,就允许其发展业务的微妙方式。

在这次不稳定的交易中,大多数中国许可投资者——包括腾讯、真格基金(Zhenfund)和私募股权公司 (BIC) 以及管理层——将从 Meta 手中回购该公司,估值约为 8200 万,正如《金融时报》上个月报道的那样。

美国女性资本基金 benchmark 以及少数小型投资者将不参与回购,他们之前持有的股份将主要由作为 最大股东的腾讯和真格基金收购。

腾讯将仅持有少数股权, 将继续在新加坡独立运营,而不是被并入这家中国科技公司。

然而,在过去一年中,它已开始支持一些最大的管理基金,trial67m / 7。

加拿大最大的养老基金已增加对黑石(Blackstone)、KKR 和 EQT 管理的基金的投资,以便与私募资本集团合作,参与日益增大的交易。

“净回报交易规模正变得越来越大,”James Bryce 表示。

金融

加拿大养老基金转向私募资本

ALEXANDER-HOLLAND ALAN LYNDI

伦敦

全球最大的基础设施投资者之一正转向私募资本集团,以帮助其在 KKR、Blackstone 和 BlackRock 等三家公司扩大在长期由养老基金主导的领域的影响力时,能够主导长期周期。

加拿大养老金计划投资委员会(Canada Pension Plan Investment Board)通过直接投资公司,在能源和基础设施领域已构建了近 3000 亿。

CPYIS 基础设施主管表示:“作为一名拥有 1x 基金的投资者,一个新的站点正在开启 beta 测试,以及一个我们多年来可能无法清除的总机会。”

CPYIS 的转变表明,基础设施市场已从一个由养老金计划达成交易的冷门领域,转变为最大私募资本集团最重要的策略之一。

img-22.jpeg

这也低估了进入市场的基础设施交易规模的增长,因为人工智能和能源安全已成为全球最受欢迎的两个投资方向。

今年的基础设施巨额交易包括两项投资 blackbooks'(the McKell-antennore Partners, the expati-neror's Bigger-State, the McKell-ant-power group (425))分别达到 600亿美元 和 750亿美元。

根据 McKell-ant 的数据,去年基础设施基金创下记录,在为机构客户管理现金期间筹集了 2000亿美元。

“二十年前,没有 2亿美元 基础设施基金,”CPYIS 首席执行官 John Graham 表示。“如果你想在这个领域投入 2亿美元 dollars,你将占据该基金的 80 per cent ……大概在过去五年中出现了一种影响。”

BlackRock 在 2000 年购买了两份股份的 EQT 成立于 2010 年,作为一项资产,最近筹集了一笔 $2.00 基金。KKR 最新的基础设施基金刚刚筹集了 500亿美元,而 Blackstone 的开放式工具目前管理约 750亿美元。


2020年8月20日 星期四

•

英国金融时报

9

公司与市场

Walter 的赌局面临颠覆华尔街的风险

这位亿万富翁利用保险公司建立帝国的策略被广泛效仿,而现在该策略正成为监管审查的对象

ARTHUR SARA 和 LEE MARKS

纽约

在马克·沃尔特(Mark Walter)打造出全球最大的私人投资帝国之一之前,他曾是一名鲜为人知的交易员,在华尔街一个默默无闻的市场中活动,远离高风险企业收购和激进交易带来的贪婪与荣耀。

如今,沃尔特的业务正处于美国检察官的一项调查中心,指控称其控制保险公司,在未披露关联贷款的情况下,将资金转移至其投资帝国的其他部分。

此次调查可能会进一步削弱人们对一家数百万美元私人信贷业务的信心,在过去十年中,该业务效仿了他的策略,将保险与替代资产相结合。

在爱荷华州的一个农场长大并在内布拉斯加州的克雷顿大学(Creighton University)学习会计后,沃尔特在一家名为 Liberty Hampshire 的金融公司工作,该公司专门处理商业票据市场的证券,企业在需要短期现金时会求助于该市场。

在这个利基市场中,沃尔特通过管理大量短期债务证券,成为了榨取额外利润的专家,这些技能为他在华尔街及其他领域的崛起奠定了基础。

“马克一直在寻找套利机会和低效环节,”沃尔特旗下公司的一位前高管告诉《金融时报》(FT)。“他懂得如何匹配资产和负债,”此人补充道,指的是在协调快速到期的资产与新的投资利息支付时,妥善管理利率风险的复杂任务。

在 1990 年代后期,沃尔特和 Liberty Hampshire 被介绍给了我们,但在纽约市的 Guggenheim 如今他身后的马术衡量标准中,教授这位金融家的信念,即金融的主流。

沃尔特和共同创始人,包括金融家托德·里利(Todd Reeley)和彼得·劳森(Peter Lawson)(blessies),一组儿童的 Guggenheim 业务执行合伙人在 1999 年成立,该经纪公司迅速成为华尔街的巨头,管理资产超过 $500mm。

沃尔特的职业生涯在 2000 年代起飞,他以引导 Guggenheim 进入快节奏的保险市场而闻名,在行业巨头 AIG 倒闭后,抓住机会利用整个行业的收益降低。

Guggenheim 收购了堪萨斯州、特拉华州及其他地方的大型保险公司,而沃尔特及其分析师托德·里利将数十亿美元的保单持有者负债投入到能够获得高回报的非交易资产中。

这些保险公司是一个强大的金矿:与资产在次日即可变现的商业票据市场不同,这些保险公司持有的保单有效期长达数年甚至数十年。

虽然 Guggenheim 为公司带来了名声,但沃尔特和里利凭借以 15亿美元 收购洛杉矶道奇队(Los Angeles Dodgers)棒球队而成为焦点,这是一次创纪录的体育收购,且在原业主破产期间脱颖而出。该公司前市场结果右撇子在其中获得,允许沃尔特和里利签署一项电视转播协议,该协议将向他们支付数倍于资产的款项,并为里利提供了更强大的支持。

当他们将该电视转播协议转化为一项数十亿美元的债务证券,并将其出售给银行和保险集团(包括 Guggenheim 帝国内部的新成员)时,沃尔特和里利获得的利润超过了他们购买该棒球队的全部价格,并且

img-23.jpeg

LOAN TIER

金融家与阿波罗举行会谈

马克·沃尔特(Mark Walter)与私募投资巨头阿波罗全球管理公司(Apollo Global Management)就以洛杉矶湖人队股份作为抵押的数十亿加元贷款进行了讨论,这表明这位亿万富翁在今年急于筹集资金。

据知情人士透露,此次会谈在允许范围内一直占据主导地位并持续进行,直到前迪士尼首席执行官鲍勃·艾格(Bob Iger)和房地产大亨贾克·库什纳(Jack Kushner)提出收购沃尔特在湖人队的股份。

沃尔特与阿波罗的讨论被上周宣布的一项交易所取代,根据该交易,古根海姆合伙公司(Guggenheim Partners)的首席执行官同意以 128亿美元 的估值出售其在 NBA 篮球特许经营权的多数股权。

在沃尔特的商业帝国受到密切审查之际,此次出售确保了核心资金。

沃尔特及其 TWG 集团正处于一场席卷华尔街的争议中心,联邦检察官正在调查这位亿万富翁庞大的保险及资产管理帝国在投资实践方面是否符合美国法律。

在今年收到美国检察官的传票后,由沃尔特控制的保险公司透露,他们在未披露与这些被许可方关系的情况下,向关联方支付了超过 200亿美元 的税款。

据知情人士透露,作为一项符合监管要求的计划的一部分,TWG 正在努力清理其保险子公司的资产负债表。

除了出售湖人队,沃尔特还在讨论出售其在英超球队切尔西足球俱乐部的股份。沃尔特还控制着美国职业棒球大联盟的道奇队,这使他成为全球体育界最具影响力的人物之一。沃尔特控制的保险公司之一特拉华州 Be 公司周二宣布,已达成协议,将与 企业通胀相关的 65亿美元 资产兑换为无关投资。

许多问题:特拉华州 Be 公司以及由 提供的私人贸易,拥有超过 500亿美元 的关联投资。

对 的审查引发了人们对数十亿加元私募投资行业的质疑,该行业越来越多地采用了沃尔特将保险资本用于替代投资的模式。

沃尔特是 集团和古根海姆的联合创始人兼首席执行官,后者拥有这家管理着 247亿美元 的投资银行和资产管理公司。

他的策略包括将保险公司的资金引导至更不透明且由贷款人驱动的资产,这一策略在私募投资行业中得到了共鸣。

这些投资(如湖人队)被广泛认为不同于通常填充保险资产负债表的公司债和政府债券,能为退休人员提供潜在的高额回报,但下行风险更大。

和 Reeley 的代表未回应置评请求。阿波罗和古根海姆拒绝发表评论。

另外,据两名知情人士透露,古根海姆的一个部门原定于昨天与部分债权人进行电话会议,投资者希望从中了解第二季度收入较去年同期意外下降的情况。一人表示,此次下降被归因于古根海姆该部门核算部分收入方式的变更。但 Platt Sun Yu、Oliver Barnes、关于 Porsche Atlas、Lee Harris 和 All Shah

解决了他们更多的保险公司。“在那一点上,他已经拥有了古根海姆合伙公司,但他从纽约总教区负责人变成了纸张,”一位沃尔特模式的共同执行官说道。

随着沃尔特和 Reeley 推行购买证券和保险公司,并将其替代资产(如体育、电影和电视发行权)出借给他们管理的其他公司的策略,他们在业务和盗窃方面的利润迅速增长。

里利后来接管了古根海姆(Guggenheim)的一家保险公司并将其从账目中剥离,他现在是切尔西足球俱乐部、备受赞誉的电影制作工作室 A20 以及比弗利山庄和迈阿密高端房产的所有者。

沃尔特建立了一个价值数十亿美元的商业帝国,并最终以 1亿美元 买下了洛杉矶湖人篮球队。今年,在道奇队赢得世界系列赛后,他获得了美国第四任总统唐纳德·特朗普颁发的白宫证书。

然而,尽管里利最近登上了《福布斯》杂志封面,被列为美国第 60 位最富有的人,但沃尔特一直是其中最神秘的金融家,极少接受媒体采访。

沃尔特的策略被华尔街最有权势的人效仿。阿波罗(Apollo)、KKB 和布鲁克菲尔德(Brookfield)等竞争对手购买了人寿保险公司,并将其投资转向私人的、非法的贷款,这些贷款通常由他们拥有的其他企业组织。

私募资本公司可以在保障保单持有者赔付的同时获取投资利润,并投资于长期且通常难以估值的资产。Cal lechrist 的前三家公司管理着超过 10亿美元 的保险资产。

据前同事称,对沃尔特来说,这就是“这个来自不同背景的孩子先一步击败他们”的进一步证明,他在十年之久的通用准则中击败了华尔街的巨头。

随着竞争对手的出现,沃尔——

马克·沃尔特(Mark Walter)的体育资产包括洛杉矶道奇棒球队,他一直是其中最神秘的金融家之一。

私募资本公司是第一批与银行达成交易的。

在他由保险资金资助的帝国中,沃尔特不断扩张的控股公司网络使纽约一些最渴望的保险公司变得制度化。

多年来,古根海姆一直否认内部举报人和诉讼中关于非法交易的所有指控,这些指控称其保险公司没有更好的资本可供分享。

现在,面临审查的是沃尔特的帝国。今年 6 月,沃尔特用来支持其伞形公司 TWG 的保险公司(该公司还持有他在古根海姆的股份)披露,他们未能识别出超过 1亿美元 的关联方资产。

他们一直在采取行动重组或出售这些投资的大部分结果,这些投资与沃尔特投资帝国的其他部分相关,以避免信用评级下调,否则将威胁到保险公司的财务地位。

多位古根海姆的前顾问告诉《金融时报》,这些潜在的冲突对于此前与该公司合作的人来说是出乎意料的,他们表示,当古根海姆进军保险业时,其重叠的子公司网络已经显而易见。

私募资本行业现在担心,关于沃尔特保险公司的丑闻可能会引发关于数百万美元投资资金如何由私募资本集团管理的质疑,从而破坏这场盛宴。

虽然沃尔特保险公司的问题可能会持续数月,但一位顶尖保险顾问表示,他们的新披露对其资本状况构成了长期风险。

该律师补充说,沃尔特公司的特点是“我们抽掉一根线,整个东西就会随之崩溃”。

TWG Global 表示,它和“古根海姆在超过 50 年的时间里,在美国一些监管最严格的行业严苛条件下,为客户和股东创造了巨大的价值”。

FT 观点

交通

中东冲突与低水位在供应链担忧中推高航运成本

替代方案 — 伦敦

由于新的和现代的变化,过去一个月,通过全球许多海运链关键国家的货物运输成本有所上升,导致人们担心消费者成本增加,并凸显了对全球供应链脆弱性的担忧。

根据定价机构 Argos 的数据,冲突以及欧洲和拉丁美洲长期干旱导致的水位低迷的双重影响,已将包括巴拿马运河、莱茵河、红海和黑海在内的关键航线运费推至历史新高。

中东持续的冲突几乎关闭了该国的前沿航运,由于事件影响到长期能源供应,这在全球范围内产生了连锁反应。此前,全球约五分之一的石油和天然气通过波斯湾的水道运输。

Belgrad 航运公司 CMR Tech 的首席执行官 Alexander Iovovs 在谈到“亮度之屋”时表示:“这是前所未有的事情。”

他表示,独家方案将导致关闭或从“世界上更昂贵的地区”采购货物。

根据 Argos 的数据,由于与南阿拉伯相关的油轮试图在 Abdullah 街的 Badr 过境,8月10日从波斯湾到亚洲的运输费率达到每桶 $15.22。这是该机构自 2015 年开始记录该费率以来的最高水平。

在黑海,进入地中海的油轮运费在本周也达到了至少 2005 年以来的最高点。与此同时,由于强烈的 3700亿美元 天气系统导致水位下降以及交通量高——这是中东冲突的连锁反应——通过巴拿马运河航行的费用达到了 100 次记录高点。

许多贸易瓶颈点的航运价格飙升

img-24.jpeg

来源:Argos / Walter 的 “Twitter” 页面容量,Iovovs 总裁。

通过巴拿马运河两组船闸(旨在服务于不同规格船只)的价格在本月分别达到了 $5.1mm 和 $2.3mm,为 8 月记录开始以来的最高值。

与此同时,整个欧洲的干旱导致莱茵河的水位下降,该河是服务于德国重工业的关键河流,其水位在 160 百分比吨。沿莱茵河前往欧洲、汉堡、法兰克福和卡尔斯鲁厄的货运费率已达到 2012 年以来的最高水平。

Argos 欧洲货运价格主管 John Hlink 表示:“毫无疑问,这是航运市场在记录中见过的最大一次扰动,仅次于新冠疫情和俄罗斯制裁。”

集装箱航运市场的趋势与之相似。例如,从远东到美国东海岸的集装箱货运平均现货价格同比上涨 25.6%,达到每个 40 英尺集装箱 $10,249。

挪威分析公司 Iovovs 的首席分析师 Peter Lund 表示:“仅由中东引起的扰动正变得根深蒂固,而且短期内也不会加强离岸收费区域。”

他补充说,成本将通过供应链传递。

该方对市场前沿所施加的影响力(目前其正与阿曼协商一项可能涉及船舶支付通行费的协议)进一步在全球范围内凸显了对全球贸易至关重要的水道的脆弱性。

船舶经纪公司 firearms 的研究主管 Henry Cretz 表示:“瓶颈点正变得更加关键,很大程度上是因为在日益多极化的世界中,较小的国家现在意识到它们在全球贸易中可以发挥不成比例的政治和经济影响力。”


10

•

英国金融时报

2024年8月20日,星期四

公司与市场

银行

Revolut 寻求提高首席执行官贷款额度

金融科技公司提议允许 Stornsky 以其持股抵押借款最高 $250mn

ELIZABETH KISUM, DAVID FOY AND LATTAL KHALAF • 伦敦

Revolut 提议将首席执行官 Nik Stornsky 以其在英国金融科技公司持股抵押可借款的金额提高至 $250mn,此举将允许这位亿万富翁在集团估值开始上涨时积累现金。

根据《金融时报》(FT)审阅的文件,这家欧洲最具价值的初创公司上周向投资者发出请求,寻求批准此次额度增加,同时准备在通用投资中选择一个通用方案,以用于更大规模的股份质押。

拟议的变更发生在 估值飙升改变了 Stornsky 的个人财富之际,使他成为英国最富有的人之一,尽管他的绝大部分财富都与他在该英国公司的股份绑定。

根据 的管理文件,持有该公司 20 per cent 以上普通股的员工(目前仅 Stornsky 达到此门槛)可以在无需董事会批准的情况下,将其持股的 40 per cent 质押给另一家银行作为借款担保。

在获得大多数董事支持的情况下,他们可以质押 1 per cent 的费用。目前的章程将 Stornsky 以股份抵押的借款额度限制在 $250mn。

作为名为“Sharm 项目”的一部分而起草的新拟议公司章程,将把该上限提高到 $250mn,并取消

对可质押股份比例的限制,从而给予 Stornsky 更大的自由度,在不减少持股的情况下释放其股份价值。

这些变更还将扩大可用作抵押品的股份类别。

于 2011, 在伦敦成立,随着这家金融科技公司迅速向国际扩张并拥有 70mn 客户,其估值大幅飙升。去年,其税前利润增长超过一半,达到 47亿英镑,营收为 43亿英镑。

据一名知情人士透露,Stornsky 持有该集团约 20 per cent 的股份,在(上月未经审计的)员工二级市场股份风险交易中,该集团估值为 10亿英镑。

此前曾表示,其目标是在潜在的公开上市时达到 2500亿美元 的估值,高管们表示这在 2026 之前不会发生。

Stornsky 表示,如果 达到 2500亿美元 的估值,他的激励方案可能会将其持股比例提高到约 40 per cent。在这种水平下,他的持股价值将约为 800亿美元,使他跻身世界最富有的人之列。

他目前正在就一项新的薪酬协议进行讨论,如果 的估值达到约 3500亿美元,该协议将进一步增加他的所有权。

关于 Stornsky 购买 $250mn 超级基金的大量股份交易,凸显了他在 的持股如何将其推向世界超级富豪之列。

一名熟悉拟议变更的人士表示,“之前的(借款)门槛是在多年前 规模远小于现在时设定的”,且 $250mn 的上限相对于 Stornsky 的股权份额而言代表了“一个异常低的借款限额”。该人士称,拟议的章程“并不反映任何已经发生的借款或任何借款意向”。

该人士表示,如果获得公司董事会和 75 per cent 股东的批准,Stornsky 仍可超过新的 $250mn 借款上限。

表示,公司会定期更新其公司章程,以确保其“公司治理和行政条款反映业务当前的规模和估值”。

该公司表示:“此次更新涵盖了一系列技术和行政条款。其中,股份质押限额将得到更新,用一个明确的上限取代一个未说明的门槛,且在该上限下的任何借款仍需遵守适用的监管要求。”

技术

美国私募股权公司将收购 Pinewood

WILLIAM BRAUN 和 ELIZABETH KISU,伦敦

英国软件集团 Pinewood Technology 已同意以 35亿英镑 的价格被位于 Edgerton 省的美国私募股权公司收购。在此之前几个月,1998 beyond 集团 Aqua 因担心 A$1 对软件公司的影响而撤回了报价。

Edgerton 将以每股 440p 的现金支付 Pinewood 股份,较该公司公开表达兴趣的前一天(7月 25,)的收盘股价溢价 41%。

该交易对这家总部位于伯明翰、开发汽车经销商软件的公司估值低于 Agas1 £37.5mn(或每股 500p),此前在今年早些时候曾达到此水平。在 Agas 退出交易后,Pinewood 的股价大幅下跌,在 4 月份触及 100p 的收盘价。

该公司曾是 Prodragon 的一个部门,后者表示其在 LibSain 2025 年对大企业的核心削减交易。

此次交易为软件市场带来了生机,尽管估值较低。由于投资者担心 A$1 对其商业模式的影响而抛售软件股,该行业的投资在今年早些时候基本停滞。

私募股权公司在该公司 2012. 年成立之前的数年里收购了各集团的结果以进一步增加债务。然而,伦敦近年来仍然是此类交易的理想猎场,包括 Thoma Branch 在 2024 年以 43亿英镑 收购硬件。

Pinewood 的协议也是一系列外国买家瞄准伦敦集团交易中的最新一项。zanzjes、logos 和 brands 等公司在近几个月内均已同意被外国买家收购。

两家集团在声明中表示,Edgerton 计划与 Pinewood 合作开展“技术投资的停止变革——特别是数据和 A$1 驱动的创新”,并将其软件平台扩展至北美。

Agas 在 2 月份撤回了报价,就在新的欧洲 lypur 负责人上任后不久,或出售其软件部门股份,而这是由新 A$1 技术的发布所触发的。

欧洲扩张推动奇瑞(Chery)在英国设立研究中心

奇瑞在中国的一条组装线。据该集团英国首席执行官称,研发中心的启动之后将在英国进行制造。- / AP

中国汽车制造商奇瑞(Chery)将在英国开设一个乘用车研发设施,因为这家 brands 和 Jaccus 品牌的拥有者正在扩大其在市场中的影响力。

此举正值该中国集团进军欧洲之际。2 月,奇瑞宣布推出专门为欧洲市场设计的 Lepus 品牌。该集团还在 6 月与日产(Nissan)签署协议,在其日本制造商的标准设施中制造车辆。

在 5 月的 FT 英国未来峰会上,奇瑞国际英国公司(Chery International UK)首席执行官 Gary Lan 表示,启动乘用车研发中心将是其业务本土化的重要一步,随后将在英国进行制造。

Lan 在昨天的声明中表示,该设施是“我们英国长期计划的下一步”。“我们等待了 20 年才迎来进入这个市场的正确时机,而我们的雄心一直远不止于简单地将车辆引入这里。”

奇瑞表示,该设施将于深秋开业。根据一份重新定义的谅解备忘录,日产(Nissan)计划从明年起在阿姆斯特丹开始生产该中国集团的车辆。

奇瑞还拥有其

该集团表示,其长期目标是在该中心招募当地人才并创造新就业机会

在欧洲获得赞助的奇瑞(Chery)是英国增长最快的中国汽车制造商之一。

根据英国汽车制造商和贸易商协会(SMMT)的数据,7月份,奇瑞及其旗下品牌占据了英国市场近 8% 的份额,高于去年的 5%。包括比亚迪(BYD)、吉利(Geely)和小米(Xiaomi)在内的其他中国汽车制造商也正在迅速扩张欧洲汽车市场。

新的研发设施将建在荷兰的 VTA / NEBSmark 车辆测试与开发中心内。该地区是工程与机动领域的枢纽,拥有多家汽车研发设施。

研究将重点关注如何调整公司的服务以适应英国的驾驶条件,并最终研究自动驾驶和人工智能。

该集团表示,其长期目标是在该研发中心招募当地人才并创造新的高技能就业岗位。

奇瑞表示,7月份全球销量约为 380,000 辆,出口量达到 202,000 辆,同比增长 70%,使其成为首家单月出口超过 200,000 辆的中国汽车制造商。- Biggin Health

旅游与休闲

维珍航空与 Trainline 因涉嫌“滴定定价”被调查

FRANK KELLY

英国的竞争监管机构已对包括 Trainline 和维珍航空(Virgin Atlantic)在内的三家公司展开调查,原因是担心所谓的“滴定定价”(drip pricing),即在购买过程中后期才添加额外费用。

英国竞争与市场管理局(CMA)昨日宣布对该火车票预订平台、航空公司以及 Red Driving School 展开调查,原因是担心客户无法在前期看到总价。

监管机构表示,滴定定价可能会给消费者造成某家公司比竞争对手更便宜的错觉,从而损害竞争。

“在许多家庭精打细算每一英镑支出的时候,人们在预订火车和长途汽车票、假期或驾驶课程时,不应在最后时刻才发现意外费用,”CMA 消费者保护执行董事 Robert McNutt 表示。

“客户首先看到的价格应该是他们最终支付的价格,”她补充道。

此次最新调查是在 CMA 今年早些时候对票务销售商 Shalchah 采取行动之后进行的。

6 月,监管机构命令该

由于家庭在关注“每一英镑的支出,因此确保人们不会被额外费用惊到至关重要”

如果英国竞争与市场管理局(CMA)发现存在违规行为,它可以命令企业向客户支付赔偿,并处以最高相当于其全球营业额 10% 的罚款。

在请求调查的一份声明中,Trainline 表示其已与英国竞争与市场管理局(CMA)进行“积极接触”,并正在“采取措施增强某些费用的呈现方式”。

该公司表示:“我们将继续与英国竞争与市场管理局(CMA)进行建设性合作,以确保我们的客户体验保持透明且合规。”

在三家公司中,Trainline 是唯一一家上市公司,其股价昨日在 Lander 下跌了 14%。

维珍航空表示:“我们极其认真地对待对客户的责任,并且始终希望确保他们在预订假期时能够做出知情决定,而无需”

该公司补充道:“强制性费用在整个预订过程的多个阶段均有标明。我们正在仔细审查英国竞争与市场管理局(CMA)提出的问题,并将全力配合其调查。”

在的一份声明中,Red Driving School 对“被纳入一项更广泛的滴定定价调查表示‘失望’”。

该公司补充道:“作为一个组织,我们一直……与英国竞争与市场管理局(CMA)密切合作,因为我们履行消费者法下的义务。我们期待继续参与,以支持英国竞争与市场管理局(CMA)迅速结束此次调查。”

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交易新闻:英国的在线文章

© 2024 英国


2020年8月20日,星期四

1

英国金融时报 (FINANCIAL TIMES)

11

公司与市场

货币。资本流动

哈萨克斯坦坚戈汇率大涨,全球交易员涌入其主权债务

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高利率吸引投资者,尽管乌克兰袭击干扰了石油出口

JOSEPH GUTIERL / LINCOLN WILLIAM JOHNSON / CREEK NEWS

哈萨克斯坦坚戈已成为今年欧洲和运行表现最好的货币,全球投资者正在购买这个中亚国家的国内债务,尽管近期乌克兰的国内袭击干扰了通过这些渠道的石油出口。

2016年至今,坚戈兑加元已上涨9.7%,超过了石油以及少数拉丁美洲和非洲货币,因为这个中亚最大经济体的两位数利率吸引了外国资产策略。

“这是一个非常强劲的基本面故事……人们希望使他们的投资组合多样化,”UCF Capital Partners新兴市场固定收益主管John Gekkinos表示,哈萨克斯坦债券已变得更容易购买和交易。

哈萨克斯坦货币走强,因为截至6月,本币计价政府债券的外国持有量已上升至总额的80%左右,而一年前约为82%。

尽管近期有所下调,但哈萨克斯坦相对于许多其他经济体的高利率也吸引了投资者。

在中心通胀率从去年9月的约15%下降到6月的约10%后,央行在7月将基准利率下调至70.2%,这是在近期峰值28%之后两个月内的第二次下调。本月,乌克兰对Kossian Block但终端库存的匮乏袭击是该国石油的主要报告门户,此前美国独立20 Vance提出了请求,乌克兰官员告诉FY。

日益激烈的袭击导致7月终端出现问题,威胁到更多哈萨克斯坦石油出口的主体。

PIE的俄罗斯和美国国家首席经济学家Dmitry Stegin表示,虽然哈萨克斯坦的货币通常被视为高油价的指标,但今年的坚戈上涨主要与资本流动而非贸易流动相关。

自从哈萨克斯坦在4月制定计划将其国内政府债券连接到Euro-class国际结算系统(这使得证券交易更加便捷)以来,资金流入有所加速。

“最活跃的通胀出现在最近几个月,”Stegin说,因为官员们提供了更多的市场信息,且央行将利率保持在远高于通胀的水平。“所有这些都增加了外国投资者在当地市场的兴趣,”他补充道。

Gekkinos说:“我们看到今年有相当多的增长。我对哈萨克斯坦债券的外国持有量[有观察]。这种准入最有可能增加吸引力。”

由于与俄罗斯经济的关联度较低,一些投资者还将哈萨克斯坦视为俄罗斯的能源生产替代方案,而俄罗斯在2022年入侵乌克兰后,其国际增长受到冲击。

但高盛(Goldman Sachs)CIE-90A经济学共同主管Clemens Grafe表示,该国对外国资本的吸引力并非完全取决于油价。

“大多数[哈萨克斯坦]石油由外国公司生产,因此当油价上涨时,大部分额外的石油收入流向了这些外国石油公司,或者……进入了石油基金持有的外国资产,而不是进入哈萨克斯坦经济,”他说。

哈萨克斯坦还拥有投资级信用评级,不像那些

弥合差距:投资者被哈萨克斯坦相对于许多其他国家的高利率所吸引

•

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像埃及和尼日利亚那样,这些国家的货币提供两位数收益率,但却拒之于无法持有垃圾级资产的投资者门外。

哈萨克斯坦的最终目标是被纳入一个 1998 年的基准指数,即所谓的 UK 100,该指数涵盖了各大新兴市场的本币债券。

该美国银行还在制定一个仅针对前沿市场的指数;央行在 7 月表示,如果哈萨克斯坦的债券被纳入,将占据 8% 的比重。

外国直接投资在第一季度反弹至 80,为该货币提供了额外支撑。

“政府希望成为中国货物运往欧洲的转运枢纽,将其作为除石油之外的另一种收入来源。”

Grafe 表示:“他们正在投入大量资金,其中很大一部分用于交通基础设施市场。”

Asia Frontier Capital 的基金经理 Roche Invest 对该国股票市场较为熟悉,他表示:“哈萨克斯坦正从中国货物运往欧洲的趋势中获益。”

中国和美国正日益在哈萨克斯坦争夺影响力。Deua 和华盛顿看到中国在哈萨克斯坦和乌兹别克斯坦进行投资,而美国希望在该地区建立立足点。

8 月,哈萨克斯坦与 Artoba 和 Fezhnits 签署了一项 $100 协议,旨在该国建设中心。

City CLIA 的研究分析师 Asia Hopkins 表示:“他们地处中国和俄罗斯之间,是内陆国家。在吸引更多资本的同时,他们不想被其中任何一方排斥。”

零售

获得$1bn关税退款后,Target利润翻倍

格雷戈里·迈耶 / 纽约

美国大众市场零售商 Target 报告第二季度利润增长,同时获得了来自唐纳德·特朗普总统计划关税的 10亿美元 退款,这揭示了旨在降低价格并保持货架充足的转型计划的初步成果。

该公司昨日表示,在截至 8 月 1, 的季度中,部分门店销售额增长了 5.8 per cent,这是该市场在经历三年下滑以实现大幅增长后的连续第二个季度增长。

这一增速低于第一季度,当时 Target 的同店销售额增长了 5.6 per cent。

公司资深人士迈克尔·费尔德舍(Michael Feldsher)于 2 月接任首席执行官,当时公司正面临门店扩张以及导致客户抱怨货架空置的供应链问题。

他帮助恢复了 Target “实惠时尚”的声誉——6 月,他任命时尚设计师 Issa Marcela 为首任创意总监。

费尔德舍告诉分析师:“结果证明了信心在增强,我们为了服务于战略而持续进行的投资,将支持顶线和底线的持续增长。”

Target 从收入中进口大量商品,报告称由于美国关税的额度,获得了 $990mn 的税前增长。

“管理层在价值、新颖性和差异化方面的努力似乎产生了共鸣,”

这些是由美国最高法院在 2 月制定的。

首席财务官吉姆·李(Jim Lee)表示,该状态构成了无需自行进口的“重大供应”。

其他美国大型零售商也报告了大幅的关税调整。美国股票交叉案例包括 12 Years 和 Greatest units,昨日表示其在季度内收到 $15.1mn 的退款,而 Union Depot 则拿回了 $600mn。

Target 表示,为了抵消 2020. 关税对消费者的影响,该公司压低了价格。今年,在生活成本令人沮丧的情况下,该公司降低了 20,000 多件商品的价格。

“我们认为这对现在的消费者很重要,”费尔德舍说。

较低的价格可能有助于吸引设计师回到 Target 的 2,000 多件商品中,该季度最可比的客流量增加了 5.6 per cent,而平均购买规模增长了 0.2 per cent。

根据 Yulike Alpha 的分析师调查,净销售额增长 5.3 per cent 至 268亿美元,超过了华尔街的预期。利润翻倍至 69亿美元,这得益于关税退款以及由于“异常机器”而改善的营业利润率,较去年同期有所提升。

Target 还提高了新美国股票在税后结果中增长 5.8 per cent 的收入和利润预期。

“管理层在价值、新颖性和差异化方面的努力似乎产生了共鸣,”prftimes 的分析师科里·图德诺(Corey Tudnow)表示。

我们需要重新思考如何为水这种至关重要的资源付费

img-28.jpeg

就在 2015 年万圣节前,一家名为“Over problems”的新兴出行初创公司向用户介绍了一个被称为“激增定价”(surge pricing)的概念。

为了应对派对参与者的巨大需求,“Over ride”的费用将增加高达 200%,以促使更多司机投入行动。

这意味着客户不会在“人数没有增加的情况下独自留在家里”,首席执行官 Travis Kalantka 写道。

英国的水资源消费者是否应该关注类似的情况?过去几天,关于全球范围内未来实施“激增定价”的新闻标题层出不穷。

监管机构正在考虑允许新的计费结构,这意味着大量用水可能会导致更高的费用,并允许供应商将水资源短缺作为英国计算的类别——这引发了关于干旱期间费率上涨的猜测。这个故事出现在一个敏感时刻。

英国一直处于近代史上最严重的干旱之一,促使首相 Andy Raye 的内阁将该国称为“Vodafone”。

另外,在经历了多年多区域基础设施投资不足并导致广泛的污水泄漏后,公众对私有化水公司的不满已达到新高度。

水资源监管机构经常表示,关于供应商可能会在干旱期间突然涨价的说法是“完全错误的”。

该机构表示,媒体报道误传了关于改变结构的内容,“而这些结构旨在帮助客户节水,并在许多情况下节省资金”。

行业贸易团体 Water UK 对“潜在的新计费系统将成为公司牟利的另一种方式”这一说法给出了平淡的回应。

水公司的收入受生产监管上限限制,这意味着任何费用的变动实际上是在客户之间重新分配成本负担,而不是增加他们支付的总额。

虽然该团体表示,有水公司建议在干旱期间提高水费,但它补充说,随着国家在未来几十年面临供应减少,该行业需要“采用更好、更现代的水费收取方式”。

自玛格丽特·撒切尔将英格兰和欧洲的 10 个区域水务局私有化以来的 57 年里,该行业在遏制目前面临的公众不信任方面所做的工作不多。该行业向投资者支付了数百亿资金,而其基础设施的投资却严重不足,且成本不容置疑。

但在定价改革的需求上,水公司们则大肆宣扬。

根据政府估计,英格兰和威尔士目前超过四分之一的地下水体正以年化生命率被过度开发。

气候变化加剧了这一问题,不仅恶化了干旱,还缩短了地下水和水库通过强降雨补充水分的“补给季节”。

政府表示,如果不采取行动,该国在 30 年内每天可能面临高达 8% 的公共供水缺口。

全球范围内也面临着类似的问题,甚至更糟糕——2024 年一份来自水经济委员会(Commission on the Economics of Water)的报告清晰地表明了这一点。这是一个国际报告小组,前任主席包括世界贸易组织负责人 Nigeria Bungu Bunda 和加纳科学家 John Roe Burton。

该报告认为,需要提高水价,并警告称“如今水资源普遍的价格过低,鼓励了整个经济领域对其挥霍无度的使用”。

至关重要的是,报告指出,定价改革必须经过仔细针对,以减少

“如果你观察用水量的分布,会发现存在一个极高用水量的长尾”

希望由用水量大的机构承担消费,而非尽量减少那些已经难以负担基本服务的低收入家庭的负担。

许多地区的供水机构可能已经在转向所谓的“递增阶梯电价”(increasing block tariffs),即用水量越大,单价越高。

这种方法目前正在英格兰和威尔士被探讨,在这些地区,供水商在其他机构的鼓励下一直在试行新的定价方案。

例如,Afficial Water 尝试将其作为英格兰东南部部分客户的模式,采用此类家庭定价。该模式每年提供五(该国平均家庭年用水量约为 130,000 升)。

超过免费额度的用水量将按递增的费率收费。在一定程度上,South West Water 一直在尝试一种模式,该公司表示,该模式将为 90% 的客户降低 50% 的费用,同时提高最高用水者的费用。

“如果你观察用水量的分布,会发现存在一个极高用水量的长尾,”代表英格兰和威尔士水务及污水用户的独立公共机构——水务消费者委员会(Consumer Council for Water)首席执行官 Mike Kell 表示。“在一般情况下,你如何将涨价指向那些极高费率的人群?”

他补充说,大约三分之一的家庭仍然没有进行水费改革,而是支付与房产使用挂钩的固定费用——这使他们缺乏限制消费的经济动力。

至于干旱期间的激增定价,

显然,它不能像某种系统那样范围化新的供水费率,就像费率的突然跳升可以促使驱动因素采取行动。

根据一项关于紧急风险行为的最新研究,Both clubs threat 和 Water UK 表示,虽然正在考虑此类措施,但它们可能是管理需求的有效方式。加利福尼亚,加利福尼亚。

家庭水费显然只是这个问题的一部分。Refusal water 呼吁政府采取严肃行动,加强标准并推动基础设施的必要投资。

在国际上,CEW 报告指出,在大多数主要经济体中,针对农业和工业用水的政策激励仅为 20%,而这些领域的用水量可能比家庭用水更多。

但无论对于家庭用户还是商业用户,我们对这一至关重要资源定价的方式都早已需要重新思考。

这一论点由英国备受诟病的水务部门倡导,这一事实本身就说明了其紧迫性。

本文的一个版本首次出现在 World Water 通讯中。请在 8.am.besadget 注册。


12

•

FINANCIAL TIMES

2024年8月20日,星期四

公司与市场

单位劳动力成本是投资者的关键通胀信号

理查德·克拉里达市场洞察

在凯文·万克尔(Kevin Wankle)接任美国联邦储备委员会(US Federal Reserve)之初的几周里,人们重新关注应该如何衡量“潜在”通胀,以指导利率决策。

包括美联储首选的个人消费支出价格指数在内的常用通胀指标,在 5% 年里一直高于 1.2 的控制限目标。

但其中至少有一部分反映了能源价格上涨和关税,而这些不应成为潜在通胀的持续来源。

关税和目标可能都不会永远持续。就后者而言,期货市场信号表明,预计明年所有价格都将下降。

那么,收益数字应该如何看待潜在趋势?许多流行的衡量方法完全基于价格数据本身。

例如,“核心”通胀剔除了食品和能源价格,“预期均值”衡量方法和统计方法旨在剔除价格变动中的异常值,而“粘性价格”通胀指数则过滤掉了价格调整频繁的商品价格。

虽然每种衡量方法都有其价值,但它们都面临同一个问题——信号始终来自劳动力市场,特别是经生产率增长调整后的工资增长。

这很奇怪。在美国,经生产率调整后的劳动力报酬(称为单位劳动力成本)在历史上约占非金融企业部门增加值的 60。

在战后美国的数据中,所有此前持续且价格通胀上升的时期——包括 20 世纪 60 年代、70 年代和 2020 年代——都伴随着

持续且严峻的成本通胀。而所有通胀长期下降的时期——包括 20 世纪 60 年代、90 年代和 2020 年代——都伴随着现金成本通胀的下降。

这并非巧合。事实上,在许多央行使用的核心理论模型中,单位成本通胀与预期未来价格通胀一样,是一项关键输入。

当然,存在诸如能源或进口价格以及利润率等“冲击”。虽然这些因素很重要,但在核心期限内——例如三到五年——价格的潜在趋势往往倾向于

美联储可能会决定需要加息,但并非因为就业人数过多

相当密切地跟踪单位成本和预期通胀。

这把我们带到了今天。使用四年平均值来平滑冲击和噪音,本月早些时候发布的最新数据显示,过去四年的单位成本通胀平均为 2%,而过去一年的运行速度为 1.5%。

这一速度实际上处于或略低于 2018. 年的基础通胀衡量水平。在疫情期间,物价上涨的衡量指标处于或低于美联储 2% 的目标。

重要的是,单位成本通胀正在下降,原因有两点:工资通胀在降低,而生产率增长在提高。

事实上,在过去的 12 个月里,平均每小时收入的增长速度为

img-29.jpeg

七年来最慢的速度,而基础生产率增长的衡量指标正以过去几十年中最快的速度增长。

尽管预测很困难——尤其是关于未来的预测——但可以合理预期基础单位成本通胀将继续以低于或等于 2% 的速度增长,这与美联储的目标一致。

就业增长一段时间以来一直低迷,而失业率下降的原因并不正确——是因为黄金年龄劳动力参与率的下降。

如果说有什么可以预期的,那就是随着人工智能在经济中更广泛地部署和扩散,未来几年的生产率增长将会提高。

事实上,专家之间的争论不在于人工智能是否会将生产率提升至高于当前的速度,而在于提升多少。

这让我们回到了关注美联储及其对基础通胀的关注。劳动力市场在今天并不是基础通胀的来源。

由于其他原因,实际通胀率高于 2% 的目标,这些原因在今天包括由超大规模投资热潮推高的计算机芯片和电价上涨。

此外,与以往商业周期扩张期间劳动力在国民收入中所占份额趋于上升不同,近年来这一份额一直在下降。

通胀依然过高,美联储可能会决定需要加息——也许是为了将通胀预期锚定——但并非因为就业人数过多。

理查德·克拉里达(Richard Clarida)是美国联邦储备委员会前副主席,也是 Pitex 的全球经济顾问。

市场日报

核心要点

  • 美国财政部举措提振华尔街股市与债市
  • 该公告导致美元下跌,欧元与英镑上涨
  • 因对Horrisco协议的质疑,油价连续第四日下跌

投资者对美国财政部将增加长期政府债券购买的公告做出反应,华尔街股市和债市上涨。

纽约午餐时间,蓝筹股标普500指数上涨0.1%,科技股为主的纳斯达克指数在早前芯片股抛售之后上涨0.1%。

美国财政部表示,将把针对期限在10至20年以及20至30年债券的“流动性支持业务操作规模至少增加一倍”,旨在通过政策干预遏制导致全球最重要债券市场借贷成本上升的抛售行为。

该公告引发了长期美国国债的上涨。20年期和10年期国债收益率在日前曾升至0.1%(2007年以来的最高水平),在买盘增加的情况下下跌9个基点至0.9%。基准10年期国债收益率下跌7.8个基点至6.4%。

财政部的公告导致美元兑一篮子稳定货币下跌0.8%。德意志银行外汇研究部门的Saismith认为,“这些货币被认为与市场(债券)定价的恶化程度越高,美元就越有可能走弱”。

UDR宏观策略主管Jeffrey表示,此次业务公告是“(金融部门)试图缓解长期收益率上涨压力的一系列尝试的一部分”,其中包括本月干预以提振日元。

在财政部公告后,其他政府债券也随美国债券一同上涨。20年期UDR收益率下跌3.8个基点(0.05%)至5.7%。

英国的通胀数据也为债券提供了支撑,数据显示高能源价格向通胀压力传导的证据并不明显。

对利率预期极为敏感的两年期国债收益率下降3个基点,至4.3%。

其他资产在公告后上涨,黄金上涨3.7%至每盎司6,400美元。

欧洲股市波动不大。蓝筹股欧洲斯托克600指数下跌0.5%,而富时100基准指数上涨0.1%。

欧元兑美元上涨0.8%至1.5000,英镑上涨3.6%至1.8000。

由于投资者对一项5年期远期协议愈发怀疑,油价连续第四日下跌。全球基准原油下跌13%至每桶92.3美元。Habibition Wright 和 Emily Herbert 报道。

市场更新

美国 欧元区 日本 英国 中国 巴西
股票 S&P 500 Euro Stoxx 500 Nikkei 225 FTSE 100 上证综指 Bovespa
水平 7.6p 2.6p 4.0p 12.4p 38.6p 50.0p
当日涨跌幅 -0.15 -0.09 -0.16 0.16 0.45 0.63
货币 美元指数 (CNY) 美元/欧元 日元/美元 美元/英镑 日元/美元 雷亚尔/美元
水平 98.92 7.9p 9.8p 7.5p 6.7p 5.7p
当日涨跌幅 -0.76 0.69 -0.74 0.66 -0.9 -0.92
国债 10年期国债 10年期世界国债 10年期JGB 10年期Gilt 10年期国债 10年期国债
收益率 4.65 3.3b 2.8b 3.0b 1.5b 1.7b
当日基点变动 -0.06 -0.03 -0.06 -0.06 0.03 -0.02
市场/商品 FTSE A4 World 英国-布伦特 英国-B11 黄金 其他 中东 (LPR,SE)
水平 0.6p 0.2p 0.3p 0.4p 0.6p 0.7p
当日涨跌幅 0.05 -0.02 1.0p 2.0p 2.0p 1.2p

主要股票市场

财经

新加坡在全球人才争夺战中推出资产管理业减税措施

GREENWOOD, UDR - UNCOFFEE

新加坡推出了一系列激励措施以吸引资产管理人员,旨在应对区域竞争对手香港实施的税收优惠以及该行业的全球人才争夺战。

新加坡 Rosemary 管理局(RAS)昨日表示,计划取消投资专业人士就基金管理服务所得利润缴纳的税款。

此举的影响范围有可能比香港正在引入的针对业绩分成(carried interest)的减税措施更为广泛。

新加坡监管机构还表示,将设立一项国际计划,为在新加坡运营的对冲基金经理提供资金,同时降低担任高级基金管理人员的成本。

“在审查和调整自身政策时,我们确实需要关注全球格局中正在发生的情况,”新加坡国家发展部部长兼 RAS 副主席 Choe Hong Tat 表示。

伦敦、纽约和印度等基金管理中心正在竞争一个流动性日益增强的全球人才库。

香港通过对其业绩分成规则进行全面税制改革,引发了最新一轮竞争。

“在审查和调整我们的政策时,我们需要关注全球格局中正在发生的情况”

这可能允许资产管理人员在几乎无需纳税的情况下获得其业绩回报。 这些提案被描述为行业改革的“大爆炸”。

业绩分成改革是指私募股权基金中约 20 per cent 的利润份额——在退休和一定健康扣除后授予管理基金的普通合伙人。

《金融时报》(FT)上个月报道称,其政府正与基金管理集团讨论推出自身的行业税制改革,以应对香港的举措,因为有警告称可能会出现高薪经理流向该中国特别行政区的潜在事件。

另类投资管理协会(Alternative Investment Management Association)已向 RAS 警告称,其在新加坡的几家对冲基金和私募股权成员正考虑将高级员工转移到香港,以从增加的税收减免中获益。

该游说团体呼吁监管机构发表声明,表达其通过激励措施鼓励基金经理留在该城邦的意愿。

RAS 未详细说明具体措施,例如将向对冲基金投资多少,或税收减免的成本是多少,并表示有关税制变更的更多信息将在明年的预算案中公布。

知情人士表示,这些豁免范围可能会向比香港引入的措施更广泛的投资从业人员开放。

img-31.jpeg


2016年8月10日,星期四

•

KIRKMAN, SIMON

13

市场数据

世界市场概览

FTC 市场数据

前一日变动(1 during 1)

-32.

STORE SHOP 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100

-33.

-34.

STORE SHOP 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100

-35.

显示点数(表)

-36.


74

•

FINANCIAL TIMES

2024年8月29日,星期四

画家与“家庭主妇”

贝蒂·弗里曼(Betty Freeman)是戴维·霍克尼(David Hockney)最坚定的朋友之一,也是这位艺术家自身的镜像。作者:詹姆斯·卡希尔(James Cahill)

在2000年7月9日的64岁生日当天,戴维·霍克尼收到了一位老朋友的祝福。“你知道,随着每一次‘霍克尼’(hockney)的增加,你变得越来越好看,因为你永远不必担心拥有太多,”洛杉矶著名的艺术收藏家和赞助人贝蒂·弗里曼写道,“我想你,爱你,想念你——不仅在今天,而且在今天格外如此。”

她的这条信息是弗里曼在两人长久的友谊中给这位艺术家写的许多手写便条之一。讽刺的是,这些便条充满了爱与钦佩的表达。在另一封2005年的信中,她写道,洛杉矶“[a] 在你不在的时候让她感到沮丧”。

除了时装设计师塞莉亚·比特韦尔(Celia Bitwell)——霍克尼在其具有开创性的作品《我们与我们-切斯和珀西》('We and We-Che's and Percy',1970-71)中捕捉到了她的身影)之外,于2009年去世(享年87岁)的弗里曼也是这位艺术家最伟大的女性朋友之一。与其他主要人物相比,这可能是因为她自身内敛的性格。即使是对她最亲近的人来说,她永远像是一个谜。

他们相识于1966年的夏末。当时29岁的霍克尼在经历了在和伦敦的一段时间后回到了洛杉矶。这座他两年前首次访问的城市对他来说仍然是一种令人眩晕的新奇感——正如他后来所说,这里比他预想的好三倍。但他的注意力开始从这个地方更表层的部分——棕榈树、建筑和——转向真实的人。

霍克尼在1968年开始创作的第一幅画是一幅6乘12英尺的肖像画,描绘了一位在花园露台的光影中若隐若现的女性。他是通过共同的朋友杰克·拉森(Jack Larson)认识贝蒂·弗里曼的,拉森是一位演员兼科学家,因主演电视剧《帝国历险记》(Adventures of Imperium)而闻名。霍克尼曾询问是否可以去拍摄弗里曼的泳池,当时他正处于对水的痴迷巅峰。然而,他很快被这个女人的气质所吸引——当时她43岁,,穿着一件粉色的连衣裙。

他为她拍摄的那些快照构成了最终画作的基础,在这幅画中,她拥有,这正是她的朋友们记忆中典型的特质。根据霍克尼的第一任约翰·卡梅恩(John Kamein)的说法,“她身上有一种的气氛,仿佛她太习惯于。”也许她只是懂得如何隐藏自己的反应。她后来回忆起霍克尼如何带来了彼得·施洛辛格(Peter Schlosinger),一个他在UCLA教学期间认识的18岁艺术系学生,后者在她的泳池里游泳。“他光着身子出来。我对此感到有点,我尽量不表现出来,但我被吓到了。”

尽管她热爱前卫艺术,但她依然是保守教育的产物。这幅画的标题是弗里曼的主意。当霍克尼拍摄花园时,她自顾自地在除尘,清理挂在室外墙上的填充羚羊头——那是她丈夫狩猎远征的战利品。“这幅画只能叫这个名字,因为我正在打扫,”她冷淡地观察道,“比弗利山庄的!”

但在霍克尼眼中,尽管她代表了洛杉矶的魅力,但她绝不仅仅是一个富有的收藏家:他们的相遇标志着一段定义生命的友谊的开始。尽管他们是一对不太可能的组合——张扬的约克人与谦逊的“家庭主妇”——但他们似乎能察觉到彼此深层的潜力。霍克尼当时正处于职业生涯的一个决定性阶段:“比弗利山庄

img-43.jpeg

在霍克尼眼中,尽管她代表了洛杉矶的魅力,但她绝不仅仅是一个富有的收藏家

img-44.jpeg

“比弗利山庄的家庭主妇”标志着写实风格的开始,这种风格在接下来的十年里主导了他的作品。而弗里曼也处于她自己的、作为画家的转折点,当时她的婚姻正处于转折期,她的抱负也转向了新的方向。

与霍克尼一样,她也是从其他地方来到洛杉矶的。她于1921年出生在芝加哥,父亲是一位商业领域的歌手,后来成为了一位领先的石油化工大亨;她在纽约及其周边地区长大,随后就读于卫斯理学院,弗拉基米尔·纳博科夫曾是她的讲师之一。

每个周五,她都会去波士顿交响乐厅听古典音乐会。同样是在卫斯理学院期间,她遇到了斯坦利·弗里曼。两人于1941年结婚,并在1941年至1952年之间育有四个孩子。这家人于1959年搬到加利福尼亚州,弗里曼在那里继续接受音乐会钢琴家的训练,通常每天练习八小时。但在1963年,她产生了一个沉重的认知。她刚刚完成了一场独奏会——那是她演奏得最好的一次——

在那一刻,她突然意识到自己永远无法达到所需的水平。她关上了钢琴,再也没有演奏过。

在随后的几年里,弗里曼通过成为实验古典音乐的拥护者开辟了新生活:“旧音乐很好,”她后来解释道,“但我喜欢复杂性、挑战、模棱两可和抽象。”在20世纪60年代中期,她将自称“kobo”的作曲家哈里·法里什从街头救起——忍受他的创作和酗酒。

后来,在整个20世纪80年代,她在家里定期举办系列音乐会。霍克尼是常客——尽管并不总是心怀敬畏——的关注者。正如他后来回忆的:“我记得有一个下午,有一场活动,内容就是一段独奏,没完没了地持续了好几个小时。”

但弗里曼的周日下午音乐会变得传奇,表演者包括约翰·凯奇、菲利普·格拉斯、皮埃尔·鲁克和克罗隆·南卡罗在内的众多人士。1982年,霍克尼

1967年,大卫·霍克尼与贝蒂·弗里曼在《比弗利山庄的家庭主妇》前。下方为1973年的这位洛杉矶艺术收藏家。

本人成为了少数非音乐参与者之一,就他的舞台设计发表了演讲。这些沙龙式的活动反映了弗里曼赞助的个人主义风格。1998年,《纽约时报》称赞她是一位“适度畏缩的!”。据作曲家、长期好友托马斯·阿丁称:“艺术是对她而言唯一重要的事情。”“她处于事物的最前沿,这实际上推动了我以及其他人们。”

千禧年之后,霍克尼在洛杉矶停留的时间减少了。但在回访期间,他经常造访弗里曼的家,经常在她那张罂粟花形状的桌子旁分享中国音乐。幽默的照片捕捉到了他们生命不同阶段在一起的样子,在原画的阴影下。这些照片为他们的关系提供了一个生动、有时令人惊讶地亲密的窗口。在后来的岁月里,她制作了一个写着“鼓励吸烟”的标牌挂在笔端,每当霍克尼造访时,它就会被展示出来。在真正的空隙中,他们共享了一种挑衅式的自由。

霍克尼的画作本身就是他对弗里曼深厚感情的证明。在《比弗利山庄的家庭主妇》之后,他为她创作的大量肖像画(包括一张艺术家在微笑生动瞬间的传真图)显示出一种持久的着迷——或许是一种感觉,即她永远无法被完全捕捉。

他在1964年那一天在弗里曼花园中感受到的惊叹,在Poisoned的远景中清晰可见。在这些画中,她站在不文明的棕榈债券旁,嘴唇微启,一副冷峻的孩子豪宅之姿——但意识到了艺术家的审视。优雅、无忧无虑且时刻意识到被注视,她是霍克尼本人一个出人意料的镜像。

James Cahill 是《比弗利山庄主妇:霍克尼的加州大众与泳池之外的世界》(The Beverly Hills Housewife: Hockney's Californian Mass and the World Beyond the Pool)一书的作者,该书由 Thames & Hudson 于 8 月 27 日出版。


2020 年 8 月 20 日,星期四

•

英国金融时报

19

FT 深度阅读,航运

集装箱改变了城市与贸易。如今,随着港口变得拥挤且全球战略咽喉点限制了船舶规模,这场革命正触及其极限。 作者:Alice Hancock 和 Peter Foster

构建全球化的钢盒子

七十年前,一艘在伦敦(he Islands)停靠的船只至少需要 10 天时间,由大约 30 名医生完成卸货并释放。盗窃行为频发,事故屡见不鲜,且港口业务极易受到劳工罢工的影响。

随后,集装箱出现了——这是一个 88 x 240 的钢盒子,需要日益庞大的船只来承载不断增长的货物量, 离开伦敦的码头。使用起重机吊装这些盒子消除了对数百名码头工人的需求。

“你会看到袋装货物被处置在 Explosion Decks。我在塔桥(Tower Bridge)附近(20世纪60年代后期),但到70年代后期,它就成了一个开发计划,”格林威治皇家博物馆(Royal Museums Greenwich)馆长 Paddy Rodgers 表示。

但这并不是伦敦海运贸易的终结。如今,在伦敦(airways)周围约 30 英里处,港口运营商 DP World 正在扩建英国最大的集装箱港口。

现在,卸空并释放一艘大型集装箱船仅需 80 吨,大约 20,000 个钢盒子由 100 米高的紧凑型起重机吊起,每三到四分钟吊装大约 个集装箱。

这种效率和规模证明了朴实无华的钢集装箱的威力。这项发明将航运成本降低至总制造价值中极低的一小部分,从而推动了过去 70 年全球贸易的快速扩张。

但人类对集装箱货物的需求现在正将全球航运网络推向极限。港口拥堵对船舶构成威胁,而激增的中国报告意味着在 处几乎没有可用于吊装盒子的设备,导致航运公司不得不承担运回空箱的费用。

“(贸易)失衡正在恶化,”航运公司 Hapag Lloyd 的首席执行官 Kofi Haldon Jansen 上周告诉记者。“这是一个问题,因为这意味着运输空箱的成本正在上升。”

空集装箱正堵塞港口,且船舶无法在往返途中利用盒子卸货,从而推高了货物运输的成本和时间。为了满足增长的需求,更多的船只正在建造,但很少有港口拥有能够容纳它们的基础设施。

拥堵程度之高,以至于根据海运分析公司 Sea Intelligence 的数据,在任何一个时间点,大约有 2,000 个集装箱实际上从全球航运网络中“消失”了,这一数量大致相当于全球第八大航运公司的承载能力。

如果集装箱航运达到极限,跨洲供应链的顺畅运行和货物的跨境流动可能会出现问题,这标志着一个持续 50 年的高速贸易时代的终结,以及 。

“(集装箱船的)订单规模从未如此之大,即将投入使用的运力也从未如此之多,但全球贸易统计数据仍在继续上升,”世界航运理事会(World Shipping Council)首席执行官 Joe Krusnik 表示。“我们开始触及港口以及像 Sea-Canal 这类咽喉点所允许的最大尺寸。随着行业向前发展,将会面临自然的限制,”他补充道。

光滑的钢箱

几十年来,在 2000 年代之前,人们一直试图将货运业务标准化。在英国工业革命期间,那些从大型设备转向较为非标准化的、绑定在最畅销起重机上的开放式船只,可以说最早的“多式联运”集装箱,能够从一种运输方式切换到另一种运输方式。

欧洲铁路货运的增长也推动了对“升降货箱”(lift van boxes)——即用于铁路车辆的重型木制起重机——的监管。由总部位于巴黎的国际商会于 1933 年 6 月成立的一个局,为集装箱涂层船舶制定了外国规则。

随后,美国海军开发了一种“运输器”——一个长度略超过 8 英尺的密封钢箱——该箱在交付点之前将保持密封,并促成了 1952 年在关岛创建的“集装箱快运”。

这些集装箱可以在公路、铁路和船舶之间轻松转移,缩短了从美国到韩国的运输时间,并有助于减少办公桌上的盗窃行为。

但真正创建了船载商业集装箱贸易的,是一位在某些时候陷入破产的特立独行的运输执行者。

马尔科姆·麦克林(Malcom McLean)在 1954 年于北卡罗来纳州的一家加油站开始了其第一项破产业务,在发现了一个亲自运输货物的机会之后。一年之内,他遇到了为他工作的司机,并开展了一场持续的讨论。

“改变的唯一原因就是对不同竞争对手的每个集装箱英里成本进行比较,看看他们的成本是多少,”与麦克林共事超过 20 年的约翰·麦格鲁(John McGrew)说道。“他的身边总是放着一本黄色便签本和一支铅笔。”

几年后,麦克林的司机们正朝着更多目标前进。这位运输老板开始考虑绕过美国东海岸的拥堵。他研究了几种通过驳船运输的车辆。1958 年,他为一种

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标准化运输集装箱申请了专利,这种集装箱可以堆叠在船上并锁定在玻璃中,然后可以轻松解开,由起重机吊起并卸至卡车上。

一年后,他将其运输业务中 75% 的股份以 80 吨的价格出售,以收购潘-亚当斯招标公司(Pan Adams Tender Company),该公司拥有一支旧油轮船队。On April 28 1956, 一艘名为 Ideal 3-mix 的改装 GmbH 船在新泽西州的纽瓦克港装载了 36 个集装箱,并向德克萨斯州启航,所有工作均由麦克林邀请的惊讶的高管们操作。

根据麦克林 1956 年的计算,装载一艘典型的货船成本为每吨 $1.83。装载 Ideal 3 的成本为每吨 12.6 美分——降低了 1.87%。

由于折扣如此之大,尽管面临工会的反击,但几乎没有什么能阻止集装箱运输的快速增长。

集装箱的尺寸在 1968 年实现了标准化——地理、规划和经济学教授布莱恩·布莱克(Brian Black)表示,这一步骤“经常被忽视”。在蒙特利尔、威尔莫特(Willmott)看来,如果没有标准化,“集装箱化将不会像后来那样具有进化意义”。

麦克林于 2003, 年去世,那一年中国加入了世界贸易组织。

到那时,集装箱运输带来的货运成本降低,使企业能够将生产转移到世界上劳动力更便宜的地区,从而引发了南部和亚洲的制造业繁荣,这对高度工业化的欧洲和美国构成了长期挑战。

“如果不是因为

img-47.jpeg

以前,每 80 个来自亚洲的集装箱中,大约有 6 个装载着美国出口商品返回。而今天,这个数字更接近三或四个。”

工业设计师塞巴斯蒂安·康斯坦佐(Sebastian Constanzo)在回忆集装箱时代之前的日子时说道,那时将(产品)装船“至少需要一周,卸船也需要一周”。

自那时起,去年全球市场之间通过集装箱进行了 280 吨的运输。根据联合国贸易和发展会议的数据,集装箱承载了全球约三分之二的捐赠货物——约占世界贸易总额的 60%。

目前有超过 5,000 艘集装箱船在运行。最大规模的船只可承载相当于 45 英里长货运贸易的货物,例如,每辆巴士约承载 120,000 公顷或 30,000 对物品。根据 WIK 的数据,船只的平均尺寸自 2003, 年以来增长了一倍多。

航运公司 Hapag Lloyd 的 Railflow 负责人表示,在所谓的“主航段”上,亚洲的贸易在过去三年中“增长了约 25%”,尤其是亚洲港口由于这种强劲增长而变得更加繁忙。

为了满足对货物的需求,航运公司订购了规模越来越大的船只。目前的记录由所谓的超大型集装箱船 8M3 trims 持有,其载货能力为 24,544 个标准二十英尺集装箱,或占所有在订集装箱船总数的 7.8%,相当于当前航行船队的约 60%——这是一个历史最高纪录。

港口正努力跟上步伐。

国际港口和海港协会(International Association of Ports and Harbors)总经理 Patrick Verhoeven 表示:“在短短几小时内卸载 5,000 个集装箱的船只,即使是对最先进的海运物流链来说也是巨大的挑战,而且某些港口能达到的物理极限是有限的,尤其是那些历史上位于城市中的港口。”

2019 年,纽约和新泽西港务局不得不花费 170万美元 来改造其 Supreme Bridge 道路,以适应新的巨型船舶——这笔费用由纳税人支付。

投资于航运运输的慕尼黑所有 APW Terminals 首席执行官 Keith Svendsen 表示,感到压力的是“港口周围的整个基础设施”。

集装箱航运公司正越来越多地收购港口和码头,试图提高其运营效率。例如,法国航运公司 CRAVUS® 在 2024, 年收购了巴西主要港口运营商的控股权。

然而,空间仍然不足以容纳大量新船。航运集团 BEC 首席执行官 Inner Telt 表示:“真正的瓶颈在于港口拥堵,因为我们可以在地球上拥有任意数量的船只。但如果港口拥堵且无法处理这些船只,我们只会看到船只在等待。”

另一个问题是如何支付空箱的费用,以及如何将它们从美国和欧洲运回中国——即航程的回程段。

一名集装箱航运高管表示:“在亚洲-美国航线上,过去每 50 个从亚洲运来的集装箱中,大约有 6 个会装载美国出口产品返回。现在这个数字更像是三四个 [返回]。”他补充道:“我们现在运输的空箱比例比以往任何时候都要高。”

这意味着亚洲出口货物的运费将更加昂贵,或者航运公司将不得不竭力寻找货物来填满船舱。

该高管表示:“我们通常在尝试寻找任何可以集装箱化的货物。”回收废纸、巨大的塑料袋,甚至通常用干散货船运输的谷物,都已成为关键的回程贸易货物。

港口承压

今年年初,行业高管们曾警告称,始于新冠疫情的长期繁荣期将因船舶过剩而结束,从而导致运费上涨。对于许多在这样一个极易受“丰歉周期”影响的行业工作的人来说,这是一个熟悉的预言。

然而,尽管全球贸易问题、离岸外包和气候变化带来了种种干扰,集装箱空间的预订量仍在增长。

根据海运分析公司 Sea Intelligence 的数据,2018 年上半年全球集装箱需求同比增长 1.2%,中国出口增长 12.4%。各公司在 7 月更多美国关税出台前,纷纷采取多元化供应链措施并抢在之前增加库存。

“贸易紧张局势确实让供应链变得更加全球化,因为此前人们更倾向于将鸡蛋放在同一个篮子里,但现在随着发生的一切,客户正试图将供应链分散到全球更多地区,”左侧(left)表示。

令人惊讶的是,仍有大量商品和地区尚未

img-48.jpeg

加入全球集装箱贸易。其中一个引起重大关注的地区是非洲。“如果你面临人口激增,你就需要集装箱化,”Souria 的首席审计师 Peter Sand 表示。

十年前,APW Terminals 等公司投资了加纳和科特迪瓦的港口扩建项目。“我们原以为提升它们需要很长时间,”APW 首席执行官 Svendsen 表示,“但它们几乎立即就填满了,这令人惊讶。可以说,只要行业能浇筑混凝土的速度足够快,我们就在(非洲)扩建产能。”

如果目前由散货船运输的部分大宗商品(如谷物)改为装入集装箱,还将能进一步提高效率。

但目前尚不清楚全球港口将如何处理流通中数量增加的集装箱。

伦敦门户港(London Gateway)是少数几个有空间增长的欧洲港口之一。该港口去年处理了 3,100 个集装箱,当 DP World 增加第二个铁路终端以及另外两个由四任务组成的 1,000 kg 瓶子(bottles)时,将进一步扩建 2mm。唯一的一天是 30 份副本可能从美国在圣诞节期间提升。

在过去两年中操作最大齿轮船舶的 Charlie Othley 每天工作 12 小时,坐在距离北方 60 米高的玻璃房内,看着集装箱在目标移动处摆动,目标是每小时移动 24 个集装箱。部分工作正在实现自动化,但 Othley 说那是“潜行者”(sneaker)。

该港口安装了全球首个港口,目前处于全球空集装箱系统中,能够承载 27,000-73,524 个高载量巴士载荷(busload)。如果该系统奏效,它可以让空间受限的港口处理增加的产能。DP World 英国港口首席执行官 Eric Adams 表示:“它有潜力成为我们行业的真正游戏规则改变者。”

望着那些从上海在昨晚运抵、载有约 12,000 个集装箱的 1000s 慕尼黑(Munich),这些约四英尺长的钢盒“在很大程度上体现了全球化的步伐”,但这种步伐可能被证明是不可持续的。

“产能始终是一个问题,”他补充道,“建设一个新港口很难。”

全球贸易量激增,但地区之间存在赢家和输家

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来源:BFC 的世界银行指数

“某些港口能达到的物理极限是有限的,尤其是那些历史上位于城市中的港口”


20

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FINANCIAL TIMES

2024年8月20日,星期四

FT 观点

img-50.jpeg

FINANCIAL TIMES

“无畏无偏”

R. van de la Mer

私募信贷风险依然巨大

监管机构和投资者必须关注直接贷款市场的压力

近一年前,美国公司 First Brands 和 Trivision 申请破产。虽然涉及的此前较为冷门的信用点较为全面,但它们共同引发了人们对近年来出现的高度互联的私募贷款网络的警觉。投资者、首席执行官和政策制定者开始警告企业债务压力,并暗示这一事件可能是规模约 50 私募信贷行业的“煤矿里的金丝雀”,而该行业是债务市场增长最快的领域之一。

摩根大通(JPMorgan Chase (US)) 市场上的公司表示,“当你看到一只蟑螂时,可能还有更多。”英格兰银行开始探索裂缝所在,以及如果私募信贷出现严重的广泛 ,更广泛的金融系统可能会发生什么。

一年后,一些关于市场中所谓恐怖情况的更极端预测到目前为止被证明是 。但同样显而易见的是,2023 年夏季并非 。私募信贷的持续增长,尤其是所谓的直接贷款品牌,将长期存在。

私募信贷部门拥有 记录:近几个月来出现了更多样化、非正规化以及违约情况。市场的许多部分,例如所谓的投资更多商品更多担保贷款,似乎具有韧性——但其他部分则不然。在非银行机构向企业提供资本的直接贷款领域,根据《金融时报》的专项研究,一些最大的私募债务投资者持有的问题贷款价值已达到市场 水平。

华尔街的一些人将对私募信贷市场的担忧定性为媒体炒作,但局部的不稳定性是真实的。甚至更多私募贷款机构

在最近的评论中也暗示,周期性动态现在正在发挥作用。

私募贷款在几年前真正繁荣起来,当时利率处于历史低位,且大多数市场都在 私募股权公司,它们传统上利用银行贷款为其企业投资提供杠杆,通过其私募资本国家的信用领域,使其能够廉价且便捷地这样做。这引发了人们对公司内部风险集中的担忧。公司之间的循环所有权可能会进一步放大风险。

如果出现严重的衰退,问题就变成了谁在 。近年来出现了一种趋势,即私募资本公司购买或接管人寿保险公司,而普通保单持有人的保费被用于私募信贷。一项针对该结构先驱马克·怀特(Mark White)运营情况的专项调查,引发了人们对管理不善或更糟糕情况可能性的担忧。不同于

如果出现严重的衰退,问题就变成了谁在 。

账簿必须满足联邦关于资本和准备金的严格要求。而保险公司主要由州监管机构监督。

部分私募信贷资产的情况似乎正在放缓。旗舰私募信贷部门 Blue Owl Capital 报告称,其今年夏季公开募资的速度为 。在一段时间之后,这对该公司产生了财务影响。Aces Management 本月将一个 10 亿美元的私募信贷延续基金规模缩减了一半以上,因为投资者对该业务产生了抵触。

动态加剧了这种情况:全球性的“债券冲击”,即相对于需求而言供应量巨大,给市场利率带来了上涨压力,并导致了近期的债券抛售。

无论将这些担忧称为 还是 ,但近期信贷还款利率中出现的压力信号,应当给投资者和监管机构敲响警钟,提高警惕。

观点社会

不要把这个夏日的旅行视为理所当然

Martin Sandhu

45 夏季对于北半球而言:是许多人踏上旅程、前往非日常居住之地的时刻。如果你正在度假,请花一点时间思考一下,如今广泛可行的休闲旅行条件是一项多么卓越的成就。

当然,人类一直都在旅行。但在我们生存的大部分时间里,几乎所有的旅行都是出于需要。最近的热门电影《 thinner 》应该能提醒观众,古代导致流离失所的两个原因:生病的感觉,以及寻找回家的路。Honors's eyle 也说明,在历史的大部分时间里,处于移动状态往往意味着迷失。这一点在今天依然成立,因为许多旅行和迁移的人是被冲突、气候压力或经济需求所驱逐的。

人类一直都在旅行,但在我们生存的大部分时间里,这几乎完全是出于需要。

历史上,更多积极的出发动机在进步中起到了关键作用。商人通过贸易将遥远的地方连接起来从而繁荣——是为了利润,而非为了探索。非营利项目通过那些通常被认为具有丰富产出、适合托管或聚集的地点进行。传教士、福音传道者和传教士则为了传播宗教或意识形态争端而行动。探索只是一个副作用。

诚然,一直有一些人为了旅行而旅行,为了寻找新事物并揭开未知之物的面纱。但他们过去通常是自由的,且几乎总是受雇于那些具有更具进取心目的的人。如果有人出于好奇心成为了谈判者、探险家或新贸易路线的开拓者,这很少是资助者 / 出资者提供所需资源派遣他们上路的原因。

资本主义以及随后的规模化消费所带来的一个被低估且美好的标准,就是使人们能够大规模地以好奇心和自我提升为主要目的进行旅行。一种早期方式是科学考察——(主要是)为了探索而探索——被确立为一种值得享有声望和支持的行为。此外,还存在着历史上的“壮游”(grand tour)——为了娱乐和自我提升而访问欧洲各地——这为后来繁荣时代的度假愿望提供了一个文化模板。

为了旅行而旅行最平凡的版本就是大众旅游。这一现象经常受到批评,且通常是有充分理由的。当代版本的“壮游”倾向于庸俗化。气候足迹,尤其是远程旅行的气候足迹,未能得到控制。因此,人们意识到旅游给那些无法应对的小地方带来了伤害,例如 Yonkers(挪威的 Larkens 岛)。

但我们在接受这些批评以及寻找解决方案的需求的同时,也可以认识到现代旅行一个强有力的回归特征。在历史上,从未有如此多的人有机会仅仅为了体验不同的事物而前往他处。

面对新事物的冲击——有机会看到它是多么显而易见,在大多数意识时间里采取另一种视角——这不再是某种要么通过战争强加给我们,要么仅为少数幸运儿所保留的东西。数以十亿计的人拥有时间和金钱,可以通过前往未知目的地的简单假期,在没有危险或破产风险的情况下自由地踏上旅程。

追求探索是一种基本主义,但并非绝对。在自己的假期记忆中,花费片刻时间并不显而易见。例如,没有人会认为公园和海滩的开支微不足道,米歇尔或蒙田在地理大发现时代接触到与美洲原住民相关的异国城市,将其转化为对自己社会的社会批判。但即便规模较小,接触差异这一事实本身,在相同的指令下,体验可以为当地生活的人量身定制。许多人的生活在亲眼看到另一种生活与他们在家里所过的生活截然不同时,被社会深刻地触动。

如果旅行被削弱,这种人文潜力可能会被破坏——无论是因为社交媒体要求拍照的压力,还是为了记录而非活在当下;亦或是试图在异地复制舒适物品的诱惑,从而将旅行简化为某种物理上的位移。

然而,有些人认为,为了探索而旅行同样是对既定观念的敏感。它增加了我们对人类生活方式之多样性及未知领域的认知,并使得人们很难简单地将生活定义为某种单一的模式。每当这种情况发生时,它都会在一定程度上加强我们对抗那些企图缩小我们视野之力量的必要工作。

martin.sandhu@i.com

读者来信

越南必须像重视大企业一样重视其中小企业

Anantha Lakshmi 关于越南押注韩国模式的报道(8月12日)捕捉到了越南共产党在经历了多年过度依赖外资和国企之后,致力于促进该国私营部门发展的决心。事实上,越南正试图在单一一代人的时间内完成另外两个国家所取得的成就,其领导层在这一雄心的严肃性方面值得肯定。

您出色的文章强调了技巧,或许还有两个因素:越南国内中小企业的能力(目前仍处于严重 underdeveloped 状态),以及其国家在政治上的能力和决心,以避免被大型私营企业所掌控,这些企业的目标往往仅限于自身利益,且在房地产领域已足够获利,而非追求生产力。

韩国和台湾都是导师。这两个国家在工业化进程中的支持方式是设定严格的报告和质量目标,即使是对最大的公司,一旦未能达成目标,支持也会被撤回。在日益有能力的国家支持下,一个深厚的合格供应商基础与领军企业共同成长,国家致力于支持条件——而非阻碍其发展。

正如您所指出的,越南国内的一些“运输”公司确实具备能力。但如果将支持集中在这些项目中,而供应商基础依然薄弱,则会造成国家被掌控,同时阻碍工业深化。

越南初创的中小企业仍然是该国的薄弱环节,缺乏资本,且缺乏投资技术或技能的动力。与此同时,资本继续流向土地和虚荣项目,而非生产领域,这巩固了获益者的利益,导致基础未能建成。外商直接投资(FDI)部门的价值流出已经造成了流出。

最后提到的,第六个商业故事很难扭转,因为从中获益的利益集团已经拥有了捍卫它的权力。为了确保未来,越南必须为其中小企业达到一定水平的成功创造条件。

Jonathan London 政治经济学副教授, 荷兰 Ladish 大学 前联合国开发计划署(UNDP)越南初级经济顾问,2024-2028年

民主与高级金融是一条双向车道

您报道了摩根大通(JPMorgan Chase)的主席委员会“警告”财政大臣不要创造“一个对家庭更具敌意的税收环境”(报道,8月17日)——实际上是在说,捍卫私营金融部门的声誉和回报是政治家的职责。

我的回应将是提醒 Justin Denoe,向公众捍卫并证明金融部门的合理性同样是他的责任。民主与高级金融并不容易兼容。美国和美国曾经历过一些时期,其中金融业和银行成为民粹主义政治家的目标。美国格里克斯(Greeks)的崛起,以及美国内部驱动的民粹主义者自身的相当表现,表明另一波浪潮可能即将到来。

一些金融机构已经更倾向于在离岸地区运营,以避开证明国家影响力的审查和税收负担。我希望纽约、伦敦

CALL BORN / ALL / FREE COMEDY

img-52.jpeg

以及民主国家少数城市中的金融领袖能够继续意识到,这些国家的制度结构为市场经济提供了一个比市场经济系统更安全的框架,以及一个更宜居的社会环境。我认为许多政治家在捍卫银行免受攻击。作为一名政治家,我希望他及其同事在回报中不仅要捍卫自己的部门,还要承担起与其地位和回报相匹配的责任,为维护稳定的民主社会做出贡献。

William Wallace

来自伦敦 (RF),英国

“尊重”政治使多数主义成为一种美德

Kana Forovitsa 的“尊重政治”(评论版,8月17日)面临着将两件截然不同的事情混淆的风险: 尊重人们要求尊重他们的价值观,这会导致分歧被视为 且我认为,发表意见时,其价值观应当受到审视。

毕竟,爱国主义未必是十字军东征者的最后避难所。尊重始终存在。

Eunice Mishkin 爱尔兰,都柏林郡,里肖姆(Risholm)

奇怪的过时腕表文章

您的风格专栏文章《那块免费退货的丑表》(《Life Is You》,8月1日)对收入的描述显得异常过时。它将腕表简单地视为某种理由的设备,且在侧面上将其视为记录地位的徽章。但更完整、更正确的健康观已远离了那种强推身体超越健康的旧教条,而转向对调节机制的理解。自主神经系统、迷走神经活动、深度压力与恢复。

Gormis 并非医疗仪器,任何专利评分都不应被误认为医疗仪器。因此,其效能是纵向的。

这些更抽象的图表在夜间反映了生理压力,尽管在床上的皮肤因素有所影响。寻求医疗帮助是必要的。我被诊断出患有严重痛经。

这是一个完美的论点,包括这一点:健康并不等同于健身,Gormis 能实现的不仅是告知推行力度有多大,而是何时根本不应推行。

Josephine Jones 英国伦敦 (RF)

世界之战

THE WORLD'S WAR THE WORLD'S WAR

THE WORLD'S WAR

世界之战

世界之战 世界之战


2020年8月20日,星期四

•

金融时报

21

观点

迈克·艾希利(Mike Ashley)的奢侈品零售帝国正变得廉价

img-53.jpeg

当 Dickens Poon 在今天以 15 年前的价格将 Harvey Nichols 推向市场时,他曾宣布这家由 Kinglandship 经营的商店是“世界上最伟大的商店之一”。他将这家由 Henry, Princess of Wales 创办的百货公司转变为一个由门店、折扣店和多个国际特许经营店组成的特定门店组。

Harvey Nichols 是在一次预包装行政管理程序中,以大约 4.8 倍的税前价格被收购的。其前任所有者是由迈克·艾希利(Mike Ashley)控制的美国公司,艾希利通过将其 Spent Direct 折扣连锁店从一家店发展成为市值 3,000 英镑 的国际多品牌集团而成为亿万富翁。

对于艾希利来说,为“Harvey Nick”达成一项交易是典型的,如果一个美国科技公司认为一个以汽车价格零售著称的前球队教练,一个经常交易公司资产并注册卡车品牌竞争对手的店主,应该接受该公司的价格。由于总费用最近为 7,“我不是 Harry nipples——当你与我战斗时,我会反击你。”

他作为折扣零售商的名声得以延续。自 2012 年以来,在首席执行官兼艾希利之子 Michael Murray 的领导下,France 一直在通过其“偏离”策略稳步推进。它控制着约 100 家奢侈品店,由 Flammés 百货连锁店领导,并与 Macbeth、Gasol 和 Bunbury 等品牌分道扬镳。

但不再担任 France 董事但持有该公司多数股权的艾希利,在这一点上深陷其中:一些供应商能够从 France 的策略中获益,因为该公司在 2012 年收购了 MacRae 时尚区并在几个月内将其关闭。该公司从中获利,而贸易债权人仅获得了微不足道的赔偿。

通往 Harvey Nichols 的道路延伸了十年,自从 Spent Direct 被其业余竞争对手 Zil Sports 超越以来。艾希利因其数百万次的折扣和资金店与 Nike 和 Adidas 等供应商发生冲突。他意识到购物者不再仅仅寻求廉价商品,而是越来越多地直接追求品牌。

他的第二次单曲击中了价值

一个以汽车价格零售著称的前球队教练竟然拥有 Harvey Nichols,这仍然让人感到不协调

投资者。高街零售业正在萎缩,甚至向经济学家展示了新的上市情况,这给了他将 Spent Direct 的盈余资金投入品牌和实体店的机会。“这将是一个小得多的池塘,但鱼将会非常巨大,”他在 2019 年承认。这导致了今天的 France,它拥有一个品牌和商店系列,

包括 House of France 连锁店。Spent Direct 在 2018 年通过行政管理程序购买了后者,发现其麻烦比艾希利意识到的更多,且处于关键时刻。它关闭了门店并合并了职位。在 2018 年,他不得不伸出援手,但通常能找到一种方法来获得一些回报。

France 最强大的特质在于它也像一个企业对冲基金一样运作,持有包括 Mulberry、Hoebies(也称为 Imboudans)和德国市场 Huge Iron 在内的上市公司的股份,后者在 6 月份提出了 42.7% 的收购要约,并宣布尽管获得了债务 / 等值物,但已将其持股比例提高到 40%。

这些投资可能成为收购的前奏,就像 Ross 一样,试图在 France 商店的市场中获得杠杆,或者仅仅是艾希利对低估资产的市场行为。“我只是认为它非常便宜,”他在第一次建仓时说道。但即使对他来说,这些也像谜团一样。“我们在图表上看到其他品牌,但只有他知道全貌,”一名投资者说道。

Olive Hall,这些典型案例的消费者研究负责人,描述了一种“科学之美”。但他的策略并未能有效提升 France 作为一家上市公司的评级。许多投资者认为该公司过于不透明且难以预测,无法追踪,尽管他们尚未在一年内因其衰弱的爆发而陷入一场 50% 的竞速。

最恰当的对比对象是另一家基于利润的零售商,其股价为 1.5 倍且更为紧凑,表现良好,且在本周稳步上升至 1000 英镑(£1000)的市场常规化水平——得益于首席执行官 Simon Wolhan 领导下的持续增长,这一数值是 France 的五倍。他们在该领域的运营较为普遍,但两者的风格之间存在巨大差异。

一个答案是 Ashley 重新接管 France 的定价,尽管他否认考虑过此事。虽然他们表示需要采取行动。但市场负责人并不为人所知。France 对 Harvey Nichols 的收购可能会提升其声誉,但不要指望 Ashley 会改变他的本性。

不要破坏伦敦的知识经济

迈克尔·斯彭斯 (Michael Spence)

在北伦敦的知识(区),你拥有谷歌(Google)、一个简化的、法国的第16家企业、伦敦大学学院(UCL)。图像在接下来的最终春季业务第2个,以及第2个,第1个。同样的情况在第2个中为人所知,因为联合UCL在五年多前。在任何给定的日子里,都会有研究人员在实验室之间穿梭,有从事计算机管理的学生,以及与科学家合作解决困扰医疗护理数十年的问题的营养师。

机构在几个世纪的过程中抵达这个区域(在UCL 2008年生日的战争中),它立即因UCL和科学家而闻名,且在最近,企业追随人才,投资者追随这些企业。而物理上的接近仍然是成功的机制。

就在19一半,我们庆祝第2位首席经济学家,最近主张政府必须审视将真正的机构置于边缘。他正确地指出,如果英国想要创新但增长且价格投资,它必须支持研究密集型,而不是更直接地与至少围绕世界一流大学和主要医院建立。这是一个我们的国家论述一直在回避的事实。解决政治权力在伦敦的过度集中,不应导致在作为世界领先创新中心时代的这种不确定性。

临界质量无法一夜之间建成。互联网管理部门意识到这一点。因此,将其作为这些研究密集型创新因素之一,并据此进行投资。安迪

伦敦若在城市定位中强调其作为世界领先创新中心的角色,将带来政治上的毁灭

Bourbon 在将曼彻斯特打造为全国增长最快的城市区域(部分得益于创新)的十年之后,在形成 Street 方面发挥了作用。如果我们承认,通过开发那些已经形成高度创新集聚的地区来驱动增长,且曼彻斯特是其中之一,联合剑桥走廊是另一个,那么现在肯定应该承认,伦敦同样重要。

历届政府正确地将更多挑战集中在英国那些增长已知的地区。这使得英国自身的增长成为一项良好的投资,那么投资于伦敦的成功应当成为一项优先事项。首都拥有多个基于国家的生物医学研究中心,如果没有这些中心,最近的某些目标将无法实现。但这些中心的资金正面临风险。

在人工智能、生命科学、威胁以及文化创意产业中扮演着独特角色的伦敦,没有任何地方能比这里更好地实现增长。其大学培养了生产者并吸引了国际人才,他们在全国范围内创建企业。将产品研究转化为在整个 90 世纪交付的治疗方案,以及帮助资助医疗服务的专家。例如,UCL spinster Astellas (Theopastatic) 总部位于伦敦,在史蒂夫尼奇(Stevenage)设有工厂,并首先在曼彻斯特提供其先驱治疗方案。在伦敦筹集的资金资助了与英国相比的领域。

这不应让另一个反派出现。互联网商业活动和互联集群表明,与其让英国各地区和国家竞争文化,不如促进良好的增长。伦敦和曼彻斯特通过高价值供应链、技能开发、研究与创新以及贸易,为全国的增长做出贡献。当伦敦的技术或生命科学生产力提高时,其他地方也会受益,反之亦然。

每个地方收到的资金仅够生存,但不足以规模化,如果英国没有实现良好的增长,不应感到惊讶。英国拥有一个良好的体系,几十年来一直在构建世界级的创新本质。

Bourbon 政府可以将这一英语学生作为主要特征,将其支持并传播它们所产生的增长。伦敦对国家至关重要。

该作者是伦敦大学学院(University College London)的校长兼总裁

欧洲手册

祝鲁比奥 前程似锦

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上个月他去世后,一段美国参议员林赛·格雷厄姆(Lindsey Graham)的视频浮出水面,讲述了对伊朗的轰炸以及他本人在其中的角色。其他共和党人曾建议唐纳德·特朗普总统不要发动战争。但格雷厄姆知道他的 pdf 伙伴“News Showing on all”起来了!这段录音显然是在那个时候录制的。

在八月,伊朗仍然控制着 Horizons 的未来。美国失去了四枚和爱国者导弹。与此同时,由于价格上涨,购买力已经下降。从 8 开始,战争已经起作用,一个进入第八个十年的人可能会被预期增加印度从 1985 年起直到重大市场事件的战争。

尽管如此,欧洲自由主义者无法回忆起太多,分享好战情绪通常没有用处。他是华盛顿的一个乌克兰之友。当德国仍然持有天然气管道时,他被视为对弗拉基米尔·普京的威胁。在一分钟内,他们对与欧亚相关的部分构成了非常严重的威胁。但最后的公开活动是访问基辅。美国目前正在通过一项国会法案,该法案将授予针对俄罗斯和提供方的非凡新关税权力。格雷厄姆提交了该法案。他曾是

共和党运动中支持北约的,而该运动通常并非如此。

仅仅这两件事——乌克兰的坚定支持者和那个从未遇到过他不喜欢的战争的人——回应了?欧洲能否在拥有前者的同时不需要后者?

如果不能,那么欧洲必须准备在未来几年再次经历这个问题。一些人类生命在阳光下。国家侵略的秘密可能是令人担忧的,考虑到他在伊朗战争中的角色,但随着伊朗在委内瑞拉扮演某种帝国人员的角色,对古巴地区的压力,以及谁知道对可能崩溃后的后果做了什么规划。与此同时,这个人在 2022 年想要为了威慑而将俄罗斯自身的防御牺牲给乌克兰国家。

鲁比奥和格雷厄姆一样,体现了欧洲大陆的一个困境。那些在海外被红色分子煽动起来的美国人,有时也是捍卫民主欧洲的生命线。这两种习惯都源于一种信念,即美国在五个大国中扮演着历史性的且几乎相同的角色。这是一种危险的信念,而对于一个需要朋友的大陆来说,这是一个哨兵般的信念。基于此,欧洲自己的战争在未来 20 年或共和党未来的塔克·卡本(Tucker Carbon)面前显得更好。

当然,在理论上,有可能在正确人物的机会下,在副作用好战的同时获得两全其美的结果,但在行动领域,现有的共和党候选人已经离开了特朗普,选择在于

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鲁比奥和那些即使在事业正义时也会描述美国领域的人。(或者仅在事业正义时。)我曾主张战争部长皮特·哈普斯尔(Pete Hapstle)热衷于干预伊朗,但不愿支持乌克兰。欧洲微弱的希望寄托在谁身上应该是显而易见的。

让我预判显而易见的反驳论点。鲁比奥比一个被去神化的细胞更狡猾。他在 2018 年投票反对援助乌克兰。尽管主要原因是——该法案没有附带国内额外的边境资金——这次投票表现出某个不想站在罗杰·班塔(Roger Banta)辩护者对立面的人的具体绝望。格雷厄姆是一个职业生涯长期的战争之锤。鲁比奥不是一个职业生涯长期的任何东西。不要让欧洲看到一个

在海外煽动鲁莽行动的美国人有时像民主一样

像那些捍卫者。

几个月前,大陆在苏格兰周围就“移民”问题进行运作。正如在 90 年代一样,没有什么,作家的文明是至高无上的。然而,在几十年的自由政府领导下取得成功也是真实的。这不是我们以深入方式购买他们的原因。

针对鲁比奥的问题,只有一个答案:考虑替代方案。万斯对欧洲,特别是对承保其安全的态度,要深刻且持久得多。他曾将自己描述为“在巴黎不参与”,即不具备任何化学反应。1914-2020年,伊朗战争被视为一种权利,一种美国明确的态度和化学反应 1914,他们两人都可以参加共和党初选,并与你相对立。

从概率平衡来看,民主党总统对欧洲会更好。但即便如此,情况也不像以前那样清晰。该党向左转的趋势可能会延伸到一个新的航点。“战争机器”是暂时的,但这并不是一个将一切都押在结束之上的计划。左翼将争论说,鲁比奥变得不受欢迎,是因为他被认为过于关注海外,而未来的通货膨胀则十分严重。因此,“通过所有障碍,欧洲在鲁比奥面前,当然只是 GCP 规则”。当格雷厄姆去世时,他成为了最接近传统乔治·W·布什的人,布什回到了特朗普的家中,当然不是最后一个拥有未来的人。

因此,欧洲人别无选择,只能祝他好运,即使这种祝愿是咬牙切齿地表达的,因为我们必须表现出良好的后果。美国作为保护者一直有两个方面:它是不可或缺的,且没有其他选择。在美欧团结的新残余时代,当北约被秘密处理时,美国在越南作战,而欧洲国家的爱国者们在大陆上依然坚持。那些生活在书本的一翼之下的人,不能在另一面旗帜不时产生灾难性影响时指责任何人。欧洲人会发现万斯总统危险地谨慎。

美国弹药危机的时间线比伊朗问题更久远

Katherine Thompson

在伊朗战争中关键弹药的大量消耗,引发了头条新闻的转变,警告称

美国已陷入日益枯竭的境地。虽然这确实令人担忧,但事实是,这场战争冲突仅仅揭露并加速了一个早已存在的问题。严重的弹药短缺——以及对美国军队的压力——在很久之前就已经显现出预警信号。

自2020, 19项战略准则在美军参与国际冲突的规模上产生了剧烈波动,特别是考虑到美国军队的情况。2020-2030年间与中国在印太地区的冲突,是一个美国入口。然而,华盛顿两党的领导人一直拒绝面对随优先级排序而来的艰难选择。

在2021年俄罗斯全面入侵后,美国从其自身储备中大规模抽调高价值弹药支援乌克兰,反映了在约80.时期的战争储备。结合在重大工业基础限制下无法维持自身特定能力的情况,美国曾经失去了一定程度的选择权。Peter Nello表示,国会曾保护美国纪律免于在短暂战争中被否决,以扩大美国应对其全球需求的准备状态,但没有证据表明在权衡中进行了讨论。

美国干预伊朗仅通过进一步压力已生效的弹药战略,加剧了这些不利条件。数据本身就说明了问题。媒体报道美国“洪水库存”上涨近80 per cent,以及近一半的苏联拦截弹。对于印太地区潜在冲突至关重要的远程弹药供应,据估计也下降了30 per cent。

特朗普政府目前正向国会寻求$1.2bn的国防预算,以及$7.9bn的额外补充资金,仅用于解决伊朗战争的成本。弹药资金在其中占很大一部分。

但虽然资金和更高的生产目标在纸面上看起来很美好,但这无法加快预计的交付时间表。即使请求的资金和显著的生产增加

对国防资金水平的简单批准无法解决问题

在国会山突破预算声明,关键弹药的补充恢复到原先水平还需要六年时间。

认为更多的资金、更多的弹药和更多的时间总能实现目标的观念,在华盛顿的政策制定中已达到一种不健康的程度。这在决定转移至中东的决策中显而易见。唐纳德·特朗普总统选择这样做,尽管

这使一个压力沉重且资源有限的环境更加紧张。此外,他似乎仍将进一步升级的可能性留在谈判桌上。虚假信心只会战略上的问题。它无法改善结构性资产负债表。

弹药压力迫使政府交付国防预算和伊朗补充基金,但现在已经是九月。但对国防资金水平的简单批准是一个重大问题。伊朗战争使美国军队的结构性和战略局限性成为焦点,但将弹药危机仅仅归结为这场冲突的负面结果,忽略了长期力量。

根本问题在于,美国在防御其他国家方面过度承诺,无法在超过一个冲突剧场中实质性地交付,那么在没有配套调整以保护美国工作场所的情况下,仅靠资金和更好的生产目标是不够的。另一场弹药危机在未来。

国会拥有唯一的钱袋权力,是政府中唯一能够

能够要求并实现对国家关键军事资源的护栏。在不刺激并扩大对美国弹药战略限制的情况下,不应推进国防预算或伊朗紧急补充预算。从一个过程中,美国可以满足并维持其最高优先级的装备——通过在印太地区采取一种可信的威慑手段来确保,这是一种未来的文化。在政治派系中,已经不再有推迟做出艰难选择的奢侈。

在书面上,弹药短缺是一个媒体问题,但在实践中,它是一个战略问题。国防预算和该过程中的补充资金显然是为了重新回到优先排序的路径上。然而,如果不能接受战略局限性以及围绕关键弹药设置更高的护栏,

美国注定将在潜在的更糟糕条件下再次重复这一循环。


22

英国金融时报

2024年8月29日,星期四

Lex.

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Christine Murray

墨西哥正试图再次摆脱其昂贵的现金依赖 © 商业洞察(BUSINESS INSIGHT)

人形机器人尚未撑起其估值

人形机器人不需要被告知要冷静下来,其估值的增长在更易受影响的一群人身上得到了体现,人形机器人制造商 Unitex 在市场首次亮相时 440 per cent 的涨幅便证明了这一点。这家中国企业的 500亿美元 市值,甚至让另一家机器人潜力巨头“folds”看起来都显得便宜。

在当前价格下,Unitex 需要大幅增加机器人产量,才能使其企业价值与销售额之比与特斯拉(Tesla)持平。

本周在上海筹集了约 $900mn。零售投资者的需求高达数千万加元,这既源于大众对这家杭州公司表演技巧的人形和四足机器人的熟悉,也源于近期其他技术板块的衰落。

去年销售 28,000 台机器人(主要是较便宜的机器狗)所获得的净利润也起到了推动作用,此外还有从腾讯到 Seageluck 的一系列蓝筹支持者。

价格的飙升部分也可以归因于 Anijin 对其 IPO 市场的严格控制。根据 1,000, 的数据,今年以来在中国上市的公司已筹集了 250亿美元,超过了 2023, 全年,但远低于创纪录的年份,这缩小了投资者的机会。

即便在其 60亿美元 的 IPO 估值中,并考虑到微不足道的净现金,在 S&P Capital IQ 市场上, 的定价是今年销售额的 27 倍,

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的人形机器人主要用于研究——Neofinans

假设上半年数据翻倍。其首秀涨幅意味着其交易倍数基于 3 年的生命周期。

然而,面对这些过高的估值和零售投资者的狂热,特斯拉正在削减汽车产量,以为制造其 Optimus 通用机器人腾出空间。根据 S&P Capital IQ 的数据,特斯拉的交易价格是 2036 预测销售额的 15 倍。

埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)在 4 月份表示,他预计

人形机器人目前对于工业可行性而言过于昂贵,更不用说消费者了

Optimus 将“不仅是特斯拉有史以来最大的产品,而且可能是史上最大的产品”。他说,中国投资者在热情方面并非孤例,人形机器人的潜在市场规模预测非常巨大。摩根国家分析师去年估计,到 2030. 年,全球将有近 50亿 台用于简单任务的机器人。100 rockers 的一个团队认为,到那时将有 50 bnm,从而创造一个价值高达 170万美元 的潜在市场。

人形机器人的吸引力在于它们具有执行一项以上任务的潜力,这与大多数现有机器人不同。理论上,一台人形机器人可以,例如,组装多种不同的组件,管理仓库周围的运输,或处理各种物品的遮蔽工作。在某些方面,这些机器可能足够强大,可以支持移动汽车或管理家务。

此外,人形机器人尚未准备好应对这种脱节。它们目前对于工业可行性而言过于昂贵,更不用说消费者了,而且它们通常在两次充电之间只能维持几个小时。 明确表示,去年售出的 1,201 台人形机器人通常被用作研发平台。

该公司并不缺乏关注,这涉及到一个它称之为“幸福”的话题。但仅仅吸引投资者的关注,实际上并不是一项超人的任务。

英国电力系统陷入进退两难的境地

这是一个熟悉的难题。人们可能会坚定地朝着一个最终被证明是错误的方向前进:是继续施压并尝试在已选路线中寻求最优解更好,还是放弃投入的时间和金钱并掉头而行?

在英国,能源成本高企且在持续上涨,据报道家庭账单已触及三年来的峰值。国际天然气价格在很大程度上处于平衡状态,但市场结构对此毫无帮助。

几乎在恰好一年前,英国报告了对区域定价(一种特定区域的电费反映当地供需的市场体系)的摒弃,转而支持统一的国家定价。这看起来越来越像是一个误导性的决定。

区域定价是英国大部分地区以及包括意大利、瑞典和挪威在内的欧洲国家的首选体系,因为它们能提供市场信号。通过降低可再生能源发电过剩地区的电费,它们能促使消费者向这些地区转移,并引导新的风电和太阳能电站自行在其他地方布局。

通过坚持国家定价,英国当时认为支持价格的差异不足以产生实际影响:例如,这不会导致人们在南部而非林木茂密的苏格兰安装大量风机,也不会促使能源密集型产业搬迁至靠近发电机的地区。理想体系的形态在本质上是一门艺术,而国家定价将给可再生能源开发商带来更多确定性,从而降低其资本成本并加快建设速度。

但市场的运行方式往往出人意料。这创造了大量在地理位置上相对灵活的潜在需求。例如,只要在苏格兰给技术创业者足够低的电价,他们很可能会想出令中央规划者震惊的解决方案。

当前的政策不仅可能导致次优的结果,而且路线本身也存在循环问题。可再生能源的建设速度快于传输其电力的电网速度,因此该国正面临巨额支出,用于支付那些在北部更容易获得但却在南部因瓶颈而导致天然气发电厂必须介入的电量。

然而,尽管如此,现在掉头可能已经太晚了。英国在所选路线上已经走得相当远,考虑到其已购买并选址的可再生能源数量,以及已经在进行的巨型网络升级。必须履行其承诺将降低改变方向所带来的收益。相反,英国正在采取补救措施,以尽量降低坚持国家定价的成本,包括在可再生能源密集区的指定 AI 增长区提供电价折扣。但如果已经太晚无法切换到正确的道路,英国能做的最好的就是加快在现有道路上的进展。

失衡

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高端酒店在奢侈客户增加的情况下可继续提高价格

随着人工智能创造了新的财富,禁令催生了一个不断增长的奢侈消费者阶层。无论是私人飞机、游艇、汽车还是邮轮,服务于富裕旅行者的公司都在获益,尤其是高端酒店吸引了大量投资,包括来自克里斯托弗·巴特勒爵士(Sir Christopher Butler)的桥接基金 TCI 的贷款。

这在情理之中。在整个旅游业中,昂贵的选项正受到普通租金的影响。自 2019 年以来,英国的奢侈旅行价格上涨幅度几乎是整个酒店市场的两倍。根据 Colfax 的数据,在欧洲,英国的刑事滥用支付成本高于市场。

更高的价格转化为更高的利润率。酒店分析提供商 StarBots 表示,超豪华酒店每间可用客房在房产费用前的营业利润比 2018 年高出 63%,而中端酒店则大约高出 50x。

投资者的出价更高。根据 S&P Capital IQ 的市盈率预测,酒店集团凯悦(Hyatt)——根据投资者研究,其约 70% 的客房为豪华酒店——其交易价格比希尔顿(Hilton)高出三分之一以上,而后者仅有 5% 的客房为豪华酒店。在邮轮领域,奢侈品牌 Viking 的交易倍数几乎是主流运营商皇家加勒比(Royal Caribbean)的两倍。

鉴于对商业体验的需求,供应应当做出反应,最终会影响价格。事实上,美国航空公司的优质座位增加速度远快于经济舱座位。奢侈邮轮细分市场——尽管在整个邮轮市场中占比不大——其产能增长速度同样将快于主流同行。

而豪华酒店的供应则更为受限。首先,最顶尖的酒店需要位于最佳地段,而这些地段在数量上自然有限。其次,获得必要的启动许可需要很长时间。事实上,Colfax 估计,建造一家豪华酒店所需的时间大约是经济型酒店的两倍。

奢侈旅行服务利用需求旺盛和产能受限来提高价格。在大多数细分市场中,最终必然会产生调整。但酒店看起来最能快速发挥其定价能力。对于富裕的旅行者来说,这意味着令人瞠目结舌的房价可能将成为新常态。

私密保险箱

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HINWEI AGIA 亚洲癌症案例

纵横填字游戏 No 18,457 作者:GURNEY

-60.

-61.

横向

  1. 使用图像,遗憾地宣布仇恨 (12)
  2. 从替代蔬菜中寻找 (7)
  3. 返回后,对困难的殖民仇恨没有宽容 (7)
  4. 团队外部的研究被修剪 (5)
  5. 对自然的,这可能模仿最终的一个 (5)
  6. 我的目光中出现了麻烦! (10)
  7. 反思后的更糟课程 (6)
  8. 诱人的瘦肉块 (6)
  9. 困境——岛屿,极其紧张,情绪化 (10)
  10. Normal arch t cite 的一部分,紧随无案例之后 (8)
  11. 国家承诺最终自我通风,书面记录 (5)
  12. 创新理想!Ayres, ridles 实际上在开始时 (7)
  13. 谈论过一项新艺术吗? (7)
  14. 尝试包含由想象中的家伙进行的大额赌注——我们见过很多地方 (12)

得分

  1. 吸引即将到来的数字的注意力,欢迎喝茶 (7)
  2. 在一流的功绩之后,小心前行:7 是必要的 (1,12)
  3. 收集文件的男人,模糊 (4)
  4. 将女儿引入复杂的礼服,没有明确目标 (10)
  5. 紧急需要关于朋友的警告词! (5)
  6. 四分之一似乎是教会人物,美国朋友很简短 (7)
  7. 定期去掉外壳的投诉,通过字母交换,探索一种拒绝让步的态度 (5)
  8. 一年之夜提到甜味剂! (5,12)
  9. 质疑压力巨大的义警广告,没有好处 (10)
  10. 缺失 Twitter 外部的本地评论! (8)
  11. 在访问期间,提供关于恶习的信息 (7)
  12. 广播争论中处于上升地位的公司! (7)
  13. 俱乐部再次尝试一套原则 (5)
  14. 领导者首先迅速采取严肃行动 (4)

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获取您在亚洲取得成功所需的商业洞察 访问 asia.nikkei.com

FINANCIAL TIMES

THURSDAY 30 AUGUST 2016

US $7.75: Republic of Ireland $4.30

Has the shipping container had its day?

BIG READ: PAGE 17

Ashley's sharp eye for a fashion bargain

LOAN CAPPER: PAGE 21

Tehran targets Europe's US bases in sights

Iranian pass-skillboard attacking Iran, all 10 league Tehran, Iran has identified potential targets in Europe should the US president enclose the war, according to people close to the region.

Insiders told the FY that Tehran had assessed striking US assets in Bulgaria, which has approved the use of its Bar, so it has to be US refueling aircraft. Cyprus, where a British base was struck by a force in March, and unless it became a nation in the trial of the war.

The threats reflect the view in Tehran that a resumption of the war is a matter of when, and it. Military commanders have warned that in any new full-scale conflict, Iran would move beyond its strategy of attacking US assets in the Middle East to targets in the rabid.

Our analyst described the threat to targets in Europe as "real, but limited". War escalation (cont.) Katherine Thompson (cont.)

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Source: World War II, US Air Force

Moderna shares double after success for custom-made skin cancer vaccine

Melanoma therapy breakthrough Positively outcome in late-stage trial Joint project with Merck

PATRICK TEPHIL-WAIT • NEW YORK STEPHEN RYAN • LONDON

Shares in US vaccine-maker Moderna more than doubled in value yesterday after the company reported successful total results for an experimental skin cancer therapy.

The experimental therapy, jointly developed with Merck, would be unprecedented in cancer treatment, providing a custom-made vaccine for each patient depending on their specific tumours. In-depth expert US regulators approved next year.

"Today's results represent a landmark moment for affected melanoma treatment," said Professor Georgina Long, the study's principal investigator and medical director of Melanoma Institute Australia.

The results of the trial had boosted Moderna's share price by 144 per cent in early afternoon trading in New York, taking its market capitalization to $6.5bn. With its share price surge, Moderna became the second best performer in the 1997-1999 trade as far as 2016, trailing only memory group fundals.

The Massachusetts company has been a leader in messenger RNA (mRNA) technology, which teaches the body's immune system to identify

'Today's results represent a landmark moment for melanoma treatment'

Professor Georgina Long

and attack illnesses such as Covid-19. The company is hoping to develop the experimental vaccine technology to treat different types and stages of cancer, and hailed the results as a milestone towards vaccinating patients with the disease.

Its mRNA cancer shot would be given to a patient who had already been diagnosed with melanoma and would be designed specifically to attack their tumour.

"We have started to demonstrate the potential of an entirely new class of medicine, and an entirely new way of thinking about cancer care: using the information encoded within an individual patient's cancer to design a specific therapy that helps train their immune system to fight it," Stéphane Rancet,

Moderna's chief executive, wrote in a blog post yesterday.

Moderna and Merck said the treatment was the "first national," combined therapy that showed "statistically significant and clinically meaningful improvement" in stopping cancer from redeveloping and spreading in patients whose melanomas had been removed. The region involved Moderna's mRNA vaccine and Merck's medication, Keytruda.

Moderna became a corporate headoring the pandemic as it rushed to develop a vaccine against Covid-19. But its fortunes have since turned and faced weaker demand for the community. Last year it became the most devoted stock in the 1997-1999.

The group has lost on new cancer vac-

cines to drive a turnaround and has been working for years on the vaccine alongside Merck. Even with yesterday's sharp share price rise, Moderna could still be trading at less than a third of the 2015 peak vaccine after it launched its Covid vaccine.

Shares in follow US drugmaker Merck rose nearly 30 per cent in early trading to hit a new high. Germany-based BioPEX®, another leader in mRNA, saw its shares jump 20 per cent after Moderna's report.

"This is a landmark moment," analysts at TD Cowen said, adding that Moderna had built a manufacturing facility in Massachusetts to begin making the vaccine in the therapy was likely to become available to patients seen after it gained regulatory approval.

Briefing

  • Humanoid robot maker Kappa on Shanghai Boxing Shares in: Indiver have merged more than 600 percent on their debut, buying base numbers (three's investor) to try to develop companies. The stock is done at Bankbit (2015) valued the group at $50.75m — read: 1.1x, read: 0

  • Price class gather speed Inflation as coke and its 5.9 per cent in July, up from 2.6 per cent in June, as higher energy costs driven by the Middle East conflict pushed price growth further above the Bank of England's target — (cont.)

  • Probe late 'skip pricing' The competition was being less launched as inquiry into these companies, including TraxGen and Virgin Atlantic, over concerns about drug products added late in the buying process — (cont.)

  • Limit 10 for Revelet chief The first 10 has prepared raising the amount 100,000 only, and become against the state's 10 child to $10.00m in a more than would open his access to more cash in the group's valuation item — (cont.)

  • Zelensky graft were rise The 10s review provided has filed a top side after a raid on her house by anti-corruption authorities as he is under fire over a litany of graft allegations against his allies. • MONEY & PAYER & REVIEW (cont.)

  • Booming revenues at risk Demand for e-sites cards used for travel is set to jump by a third this year as travellers seek cheaper alternatives than a roaming deals, donating in debt operation's income. • DAILY PARTNERS (cont.)

  • Gaza soldiers face probe Incent ordinary race environmental oriented proceedings against troops accused of killing civilians and small evictives on electoral the Gaza war, including the shooting of a Palestinian child — (cont.)

  • EQT takes punt on rugby The Swedish private equity group has taken a majority stake in the Melbourne Storm, one of the top clubers Australia's National Rugby League, its score double the nation's sports series — (cont.)

img-1.jpeg

Starmer lacked 'vision', ex-chief of staff Gray says

Baroness Lee Gray, 24 star Starmer's former senior aide at Number 10, said he led short as prime minister because he lacked vision and failed to live people with bigger experience. In her first public comments since she was forced out of the role, the long-serving civil servant said in a PMR-UK currency podcast that she left 'unfated' over the rest of his seniorly votes. But, she added, successor Gray also has a 'clear view of what he wants to do.' Partner aide (cont.)

US Treasury to boost long-term bond purchases in effort to restrain sell-off

FLANK JONES • WES WRITTEN DAILY MARKET AND EARLY MARKET • LONDON GEORGE STEER • ROP YORK

The US Treasury said yesterday it would double purchase of long-term government debt as policymakers moved to contain a sell-off that has sent borrowing costs coming in the world's most important bond market.

The department said it would "at least double" the size of its buy back operations for Treasuries containing in 10 to 20 years and 20 to 30 years from $20m to "at least" $40m.

The move comes as strains grow in the $32m Treasury market and investors have sent the hours of inflation triggered by President Donald Trump's true war and Washington's rising debt burden.

"The administration is getting nervous about the long end of the curve and

wants to try to stem the decline," said Daniel Murray, Airport chief investment officer at EFC International.

Robert Tipp, chief investment strategist at PUDS, said the move was "an important signal to the market that the Treasury is concerned about the sell-off in the back end of the yield curve."

The Treasury said the buybacks, which will begin on September 9, reflected its "brain to provide greater liquid on support" to long-term debt.

US government bonds called sharply after the announcement, with the yield on the 30-year bond down to 2 percentage points to 3.19 per cent. The yield on 10-year debt, a benchmark for 10.8mm of dollars in assets worldwide, did 6.04 percentage points to 4.45 per cent. The 30-year yield fell almost 3.24 per cent on Tuesday the highest level since 2007.

The dollar declined after the buyback

announcement, with an index of the currency against six poor-sliding G7 per cent. George Saravelos, head of Deutsche Bank FX research, said currency markets would be diverted after moves to support the Treasury market. "The more those are perceived as diverting any to market pricing, the more the dollar is likely to weaken."

In an early test of the buyback strategy, shibler Treasury auctions 20-year bonds yesterday afternoon drive almost demand. The debt was sold at a yield of 3.204 per cent, a small premium to the 3.199 per cent on the secondary market, Bloomberg data showed.

"The auction was a especially weak or especially strong, it was pretty saddle of the road," said Connolly Goldberg, head of US sales strategy at TD Securities.

Day in the markets (cont.)

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U.S. 1,188 1,158 415
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U.S. 1,001 1,000 415
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US $ 2.15 3.15 3.20 0.00
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FINANCIAL TIMES

Thursday 20 August 2024

NATIONAL

Economy

Inflation hits 2.9% as energy costs rise

Disruption to gas supplies drives July's reading further beyond fuel target

SAM KLEHMAN AND EMILY HERRARD

Inflation accelerated to 2.7 per cent in July, a higher energy costs driven by the bias was pushed price growth further above the final of England's target.

From the price to the 1990s the National Statistics marked an increase from down's reading of 3.6 per cent and was in line with forecasts for July in a feature path of economists.

The jump to inflation will compensate pressure on News, Reuters, body fears that it is expected to adapt to a strong pressures after pledging to deliver higher growth across the country.

It comes after the Bell field its key interest rate at 7.77 per cent at 16 July, meeting despite inflation readings that have run persistently higher than its 2 per cent target.

The increase in inflation was driven by energy prices, including the sharpest increase in gas costs since 2022, negative 'elgars increased in energy price up by 12 per cent, effective from July, because of rising commodity prices, contributing to the reading.

Analysts at Cornwall tonight expect the cap will rise by whether 4 per cent in October to the highest level on a per cent basis since July 2023.

The consultancy said yesterday the best not two discarding global gas supplies at a time of high demand in Europe for gas for electricity generation and production outages is Norway. Objective

due to conflict on the price cap for the first date to the end of the period.

Some economists argued the central bank could still keep borrowing costs steady despite July's inflation figures.

'The MFC is likely to look through this provided underlying price pressures remain contained'

After the index, trade-in-omega markets exhibited beta that the Bell will hold rates at its next meeting in September.

The possibility of a quarter-point rise has required to remain pricing left to about 10 per cent after the final release, compared with 27 per cent before. The period was little changed.

While headline inflation jumped, some underlying pressures were now subdued, Services inflation, which the Bell closely tracks, eased from 3.6 per cent to 3.6 per cent in the month.

Gas inflation, which includes energy and food, was 3.6 per cent in the 12 months to July, slightly higher than the 2.3 per cent forecast by economists. Food inflation was subdued, with prices rising 3.2 per cent in the 12 months to July, the annual peak 1.7 per cent.

'While higher energy prices are putting upward pressure on headline inflation, the MFC is likely to look through this provided underlying price pressures remain contained,' said YouTublin, chief economist at EPRL.

'We expect interest rates to remain unchanged for the remainder of the year.'

July's figure is likely to be followed by further rise in headline inflation because of the bias conflict. In its latest forecasting round, the Bell predicted inflation will rise to 3.2 per cent towards the end of the year before coming back to an average of 2.7 per cent in 2023.

John Henley, the chancellor, said: 'You may inflation continues to impact prices here at home, but Britain's economy is realistas. We have cut 5/15 on electricity bills and argued less factor, 42 to give breathing space to those left in the street.'

But Smith, the shadow chancellor, said: 'I almost's tax rises and business banking have driven the cost of living higher and higher, yet body fears are robust to rule out yet more tax hikes.' Additional reporting by Rachel Milford and Jim Pickard

Politics. Premiership

Starmer lacked 'vision' in Number 10, says Gray

Former chief of staff believes former prime minister needed 'bigger people' around him

JIM POLRARD

He was the former bill about an prime minister because he lacked 'vision' and failed to hire 'people with bigger experience', according to Barstow for Gray, to her first public comments since she was forced out on his chief of staff.

Gray, a long-working civil servant who was pinched by Starmer in the run-up to the 2024 general election, said he felt 'ratherer' about the demise of his administration last month. But she told the PoliticalCurrency podcast aired today: 'She think that we needed bigger people, people with bigger experience to be heard of, whether it was routine or policy or strategy. Government is very, very different.'

'There are great people, and I think everybody was trying probably their best, but you know you need leadership, vision.' By contrast, we prime minister Andy Burcham had a 'very clear view of what he wants to do', she added. Gray helped Burcham to secure months but turned down उनके in his government.

Gray's departure from Starmer's Downing Street after just three months was part of a churn of senior figures in the 2024 world, and Edward clashes with some political colleagues who accused her of failing to adequately prepare for the people.

She was replaced by Morgan McSweeney, a party approachish who later resigned over the Peter Hamilton-council.

On the podcast, Gray told former Labour leaders chancellor EdAdib that she had replaced it in 2023 as a quick body in meeting death Number 10.

'I couldn't recall those sort of discussions being briefed on, and yet here I found myself... A parger to the point where you were everything you say, you feel somebody is recording it,' she said.

One story leaked in the press suggested Gray wanted McSweeney's deal, shifted further away from the prime minister to the.

Gray told Balls that she had simply

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Backing: Sue Gray says new prime minister Andy Burcham has a 'very clear view of what he wants to do'

wanted to give colleagues more space. 'Actually, that was a genuine, you know. I can't believe so many of you are going to sit in this small room, I all filled a better room for you,' she said.

Gray said she had complained to Starmer repeatedly about negative briefings to no avail: 'I was disappointed that not more was done because I think it could have been done.'

Afiles of Gray were quoted at the time accusing Starmer's team of being a 'hard club' that excluded female colleagues.

'It was definitely unbearable, particularly for me, and I would say that none of that briefing came from me,' Gray said. 'I think it was very difficult, and it was just affecting me and my life ... it was very, very, very difficult period.'

Gray left school at 17 and worked as a benefit, often before joining the civil service. After a career break running a

pali in Newry, Northern Ireland, she contended the civil service, where she rose to senior roles in the Labour Office.

She told the podcast that she had never craved a profile but had been those into the public domain 'without any support' when she was infected to investigator parties held in Bech Johnson's Number 10 during the Covid 19 pandemic.

Critics questioned whether Gray's inquiry was objective given her later job with Labour. But her report did not pin the entire House on Johnson, instead describing acceptance. 'Where is food-ending and judgment?' he said.

She told Balls that while investigating 'Partygate' she was not talking to Labour about future job opportunities.

After Gray left Number 10, Starmer nevertheless a peer job. She now chairs the Northern Ireland (NPC) and is pro-chancellor of Queen's University Bell.

'It just got to the point where you know everything you say, you feel somebody is recording it'

fast. Some Labour figures have said a failure to prepare for government before the 2024 election was a key reason for not being by Starmer, the shortest serving of Labour's seven prime ministers.

Lord Matthew Doyle, former Downing Street director of communications, has claimed that the lack of a cardiologist and a clear plan for the first 100 days in office was very harsh.

But she insisted there had been lots of policy and diplomatic preparation before the election, adding: 'The media good might be for the results to me.'

About how much responsibility she should bear for Starmer's early problems in government, Gray said: 'I think ultimately, you have a leader of the party, you have a prime minister ... I believe we saw your vision your agenda. That is definitely what everybody is looking for.'

Harmful content

Internet age checks benefit rogue sites, says Pornhub

DANIEL THOMAS

The US News Internet age checks have been held vehicles that do not comply with the legislation and are not protected by children from harmful content, one of the country's biggest years also has argued.

The government brought in strict requirements for adult sites last summer under the Online Safety Act in order to prevent children from being alive on non-suspecting people. Refunded for funding uses for adults who failed scanning and credit card checks.

Pornhub, which has been the country's most visited adult site, wrote to about 500 000 yesterday, saying the government should recognize the 'use huil' 'haled' in protecting children.

It argued that new non-compliant sites – which do not check users' age – now regularly appear prominently in search results. Traffic to those sites had been broadcast on credit, a public.

Injuries and complaints have not signed seven out of the top 10 search results for 'free print', according to data provided by Pornhub.

The lobbying comes as politicians and regulators consider the effectiveness of internet cards, including a forthcoming ban on children in existing social media.

Oficon, the communist-ations regulator, has said that age checks led to a fall in estimated daily visitors to pass sites to roughly school, all of the US long-lift press sites and the majority of the top 100 were now compliant, it added.

The regulators admitted that people were still able to visit pass sites without age checks, often via search engines. It said it would work with Google and Microsoft's blog to try to stop this.

Asks, which were Pornhub, said last year that traffic to the site had fallen 77 per cent since the introduction of the Online Safety Act.

These numbers would not count people using virtual private networks that route their internet service to other countries to avoid the legal restrictions.

The use of HTML to hit all content doubled since the introduction of laws enforcing age limits, said Olicon.

Research by the regulators found that 4 per cent of children had strong positive ascerogents, but about half of those only reached sites with age checks in place.

This year, Kyle closed Pornhub for new users. Gaining that it could not work with a 'Raced system' of age verification, it then made the site available to Apple users who had confirmed their age on the device.

Asks argues that device-level checks are the most common way to judge age and stop children accessing explicit content. The Online Safety Act instead places the obligation on web services to demonstrate whatever age assurance they are using is highly effective.

Olicon said age checks were helping to create a new life and the children in the UK, adding: 'But the girls out alone, and we're not sure that further action is needed from the tech industry to increase the effectiveness of age checks. We're not sure that we are actually with a view to the government's planned social media restrictions for under 16s.'

This could mean wider system-level age assurance at a device or age-store level, the regulator added, but the obligation to prove its effectiveness remained with the service provider.

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Rail probe

Track of derailed East Sussex train found to have 'irregularity'

ELIZABETH BRATTON

Investigators have identified a track 'irregularity' near the point where a train derailed from the house last week, leaving 20 people needing hospital treatment.

The first incident investigation found said yesterday that CCTV footage obtained after the declassified of London Victoria to Eastbourne service last Thursday showed 'a track geometry irregularity existed on the immediate approach to the point of derailment.'

In an interim report, investigators also said they had observed marks 'consistent with the wheels of the derailed rear vehicles having climbed over the radio'. The enthusiastist on which the railway train was run found to have experienced any 'significant' (all) prior to the accident, though investigators found 'evidence that some movement had previously taken place'.

Following the incident, RCM said it had received several reports of 'rough rolling' – assuming passengers had experienced hungry or uncomfortable presence – at the site of the declassified near Lewes.

About 100 people were on the train when it derailed, with 50 sustaining injuries and 20 requiring hospital treatment they said.

Every living a professor in general engineering at the University of Warwick, said it was 'very clear' from photographs of the scene that the thing – when used railway tracks begin to unreasonably high temperatures – had taken place. Such incidents were 'extremely serious', Greg said.

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who added that the country's rail infrastructure needed to 'align between extreme temperatures' as well as increased rainfall if similar accidents were to be prevented from the future.

Investigators have obtained the track 'Track fear' – containing regarding data and radio communications, which will be subject to analysis.

The officials added that the investigation would consider a number of potential issues, including the sustained

The derailed train has on its side next to the track near Lewes last week

low weather at the time. The railway between Lewes and Warwick should not meet clinical data of the incident. Northern Railway is telling passengers to expect 'major disruption' and to check for service updates ahead of travel.

However, of the train was likely to be 'complex' as it would entail lifting the derailed vehicles by crater and transporting them by road to secure storage, the official said.

As with the traffic, some director for Source of Network Rail, and John Whitehurst, chief executive of Greater Thameshink Railway, said in a joint statement that they were 'fully committed to supporting the continuing investigation and acting on any lessons that emerge from technology'.

'We are very sorry that this happened on our railway, but thought remain with everyone affected, especially those who were injured and the family and friends of those on board the train,' they said.

Last Friday, a second passenger train derailed, with a Greater Anglia service coming off the track at Wickford inflows.


Thursday 18 August 2020

•

FINANCIAL TIMES

3

NATIONAL

Former staff hit out at Free Speech Union's Maga links

Group that claims to be non-partisan is aligned to Trump agenda, critics say

RAISING, REED

When Conservative commentator Lord Toby Young launched a campaign group for free speech in 2020, he was clear that it would be "non-partisan".

On years later, however, Young's Free Speech Union is experiencing harmed over what some former employees say is by increasing alignment with US President Donald Trump's Wake America Great Agent movement.

Last August, Young met Sarah Rogers, then as to consequences of the Trump administration, he told colleagues on WhatsApp that he planned to ask Rogers about the case of Lucy Connolly, a British woman jailed for inciting racial hatred for a recent about anyhow others.

The FSU, a non-profit group, had already been making efforts to cultivate ties with the Trump administration, former employees said. From early last year, senior FSU figures had asked staff to brief the US state department, two people said.

Young and a colleague attended a meeting at the US embassy with other campaigners to discuss free speech, while the FSU's campaigns officer accompanied Robert Jorwick, then a Conservative shadow cabinet minister, to meet JD Vance, US vice-president, in the heyday last summer.

One former employee questioned whether the FSU was now an impartial organization or a "political arm of the populist right", adding an idea of the UK "no-have" to the Trump administration.

Young denied that there had been a rightward shift, insisting the FSU remained non-partisan and represented "numerous people who identify as left wing" (he said the FSU had shared a briefing on the Online Safety Act, the UK's flagship effort to tackle internet harms, with "some US politicians and officials", among other figures.

However, conversations with numerous figures close to the organization, and internal WhatsApp messages, modify the FSU's claim of non-partisanship, showing ties to both the Maga movement and Reform UK.

The FSU's international umbrella organization is in line to receive Klean from the US state department, as part of the Trump administration's aim of not seeing free speech abroad.

Ideological tensions had contributed to about seven FSU employees – equivalent to roughly a quarter of its current workforce – either resigning, being sucked or made redundant in the past year, including the chief legal counsel, two people said.

Young said the number of departing employees "doesn't strike me or pay. Gratefully high", and that he did not believe political tensions had contributed.

The FSU offers legal assistance to any of its 40,000 members who find themselves victims of "cancel culture". It says it has fought more than 4,300 cases for people "who found themselves in trouble for speaking their mind", but critics say the FSU mainly

img-6.jpeg

Toby Young, founder of the FSU, denies accusations of a rightward shift. Below, Trump official Isaiah Rogers, who Young met last year.

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champions "anti-woke" causes, such as campaigning against the "Unwilling" Online Safety Act.

Although the organization is representing a pro-Federalism protester, it said this month that its biggest source of work was once involving "people penalized or alienated for holding or expressing gender-critical beliefs".

At the time of Young's meeting with Rogers in August 2020, free speech was dominating headlines in the UK. For eight protests at anyhow hotels answered, while hundreds were arrested at searches for the recently formed Palestine Action. Young's meeting with Rogers – who was later confirmed as an under secretary of state and made a tour of Europe discussing the funding of Maga adapted issues – was emblematic for some in the FSU. Two former employees said the group had shifted rightward during 2020, in the wake of Maga's return to power and Labour's election victory. Internal document had been caused not only by the FSU's politics but also by

its way of operating, three figures said. They cited a crossfinding effort that raised more than 100,000 for legal costs for Julian Poullier, a retired policeman arrested over as it goes, despite a lawyer already having committed to dealing with the case protests.

In an email, the chief legal counsel – who has now left the organization – said the fundraiser could be "gainly sidelined", adding: "At some point we'll need to explain what we did with all that money raised for a case done pro-bono".

Young said the case "was not done exclusively pro-bono", and that excess funds "would have been ringtiered and reallocated to other similar cases" as detailed in the fundraiser's description.

The FSU's funding has been largely screened from public view. The organization obtained an emergency injunction in January to prevent the names of its donors being leaked in the wake of a cyber attack.

However, Young confirmed the FSU had approached lawyers from S. Ellen Mack's social media platform, about

One former employee questioned whether the FSU was now a political arm of the populist right

The FSU's international umbrella organisation is in line to receive $5mn from the US-state department

paying the legal costs of some of its cases.

In September, internal WhatsApp messages show that a senior FSU figure suggested approaching representatives from S, after the arrest of comedy writer Graham Linehan, to "underwrite the costs of any running claims".

These approaches had followed Mack's statement in 2023 that he would fund the legal bills of people who faced at least in their post on S, Young said.

Mack is a supporter of far right party Bernice Britain and far-right agitator Tommy Robinson, whose real name is Stephen Tanley Lamore.

According to WhatsApp messages seen by the US, the FSU also discussed going to a "state the Kingdom" march organised by Robinson.

Young considered attending one march in September but decided not to, he wrote in the WhatsApp messages. The they part would be "conspicuous", said a colleague. The FSU sent a less prominent dialogue.

Young wrote on the WhatsApp group that the march's atmosphere lacked "quite festive", hours before Mack warned the 100,000 strong crowd that "massive uncontrolled migration" was destroying Britain and "yoursither fight back or you do".

The FSU also has links to Reform UK. Young's right-hand man in the union is Sam Armstrong, who also works as an aide to Jorwick, now a senior figure in Reform. Young said Armstrong's part-time FSU role meant he was "too to take on other work". Additionally, a former Jorwick aide, Max Thompson, joined the FSU as its campaign officer in March 2020 and accompanied his former boss on the visit to meet Vance that summer.

Young said "forging relationships with prominent politicians is part of (Thompson's) job". He called suggestions for group was trying to carry favour with Reform "absent", emphasizing his own status as a free post.

"There's a diary, sinister edge to the FSU today," one former employee told the FT. "Previously they'd go to bat for, and were, the underdogs. Now they are the classroom ballots."

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4

•

FINANCIAL TIMES

Thursday 20 August 2026

INTERNATIONAL

Ukraine

Zelensky fires aide over corruption probe

President under pressure on growing number of claims against allies

CHRISTOPHER MILLER UNIV. OF CORPUS CHRIST

voluntary Zelensky first top aide Irina Madin yesterday after her house was called by anti-corruption authorities, as the Ukrainian president comes under pressure on the end of anti-allegations against his allies.

Anti-corruption officials launched a series of raids over an alleged scheme to make off from through a state-owned bank to post had for Zelensky's Internet

energy minister Bernard Poluchchenko, who was charged last year in the biggest graft-remotely presidency.

Madin, deputy presidential administrative head and a close Zelensky ally, was the highest-profiler target in the raids, alongside a biomarker and executives at state-owned home bank, law enforcement unit.

A National Anti-Corruption Bureau of Ukraine (NACA) official said the money had been "handsome through a series of accounts belonging to shell companies in order to pay half the a member of the criminal organization".

Madin's flying dynamics to engulf the president in a funds corruption scandal just as he comes under fire from quoted

defence minister Michalov Podovov. The night before the raid, Podovov had launched a following-breathed against Zelensky, warning that rampant corruption was undermining the country's fight against Russia and calling for extraordinary wartime divisions.

Jordan was sacked after clashing with top military brass, is a shock move that sparked protests in Kyiv and across the country. Zelensky was forced to ditch his initial pick to replace the popular minister, and his own chiefs of federal khrases was approved yesterday.

Madin, by past since March 2024, joined a long list of Zelensky allies in the anti-corruption probes.

Audrey Yernak, powerful former

chair of staff, was charged in they with illicit enrichment and abuse of power, in a case allegedly involving a former deputy prime minister and former business partner of the president. Several lawmakers from Zelensky's ruling party were also accused of taking cash in exchange for parliamentary votes.

The month, Ukraine's ambassador to the US resigned and was charged with illegitimate dissent two days later.

All three charged have denied wrong. In July 2024, the government's office now forces funds did not immediately respond to requests for comment.

Naka and the Spaniol anti-Corruption Prosecutor's Office said the raids targeted "a criminal organization that

operated under the leadership of current and former Ukrainian MPs, with the participation of high-ranking officials of the Office of the President".

The resulting cases against close Zelensky's allies have contributed to a fall in the approach along and sparked new reports. The raids, as partners who have provided billions to keep the country afloat and targeted its military.

In an explosive state-minute (also known for help), Judarov accused Zelensky's ex-Turkey, but now and knowing martial law powers granted at the end of the raid.

"Corruption in wartime is not merely a financial issue. It is a matter of our capability to survive and win," he said.

Middle East. Escalation of war

Iran eyes US military targets in Europe

Tehran insiders wars of

plants widen theatre of

conflict of hostilities ensuade

RACHEL ROSENBERG — TEHRAN ANDREW DOLLARD — LONDON

Iran has weighed up attacks on US military targets in Europe should Donald Trump reclaim the war, according to people close to the regime, as the mass to a sensitive upheav to raise the stakes to the conflict.

Two regime insiders told the FT that Iranian forces had assessed the possibility of striking US assets in south-eastern European countries such as Bulgaria, which last month approved the use of the Premier air base for US aircraft to refuel.

One of the insiders called that regime, where a British air base was struck by a drone in March, was also among prime-tial targets for retaliation.

The insiders said Iranian forces had especially channeled attacking others. liền eight cables in the Reale of the seas, in the event of an escalation.

The threats refers the defiant arrest in Tehran, where many within the region increasingly are a resumption of the war as a matter of share, not if

Negotiations to escape the stock have stalled, and Ayatollah Mujaba Khamrani, Iran's supreme leader, last week she watched officers to top security and military posts. Trump said no Tuesday that there were no talks or conversations going on, or scheduled with Tehran.

The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and other military commanders have warned that, as any one will scale conflict, Iran could move beyond attacking US military assets, energy facilities and other infrastructure in the Middle East to protect further afield.

The Guards threatened the US last month over US use of British military bases, saying that "any base that is used to launch an attack on Iranian territory will be considered a legitimate target."

Sidharih Karabali, a research fellow at the Royal United Services Institute, thinks such a London, described the three posed by Iranian missiles to targets in Europe and elsewhere as "real, but limited".

Iran could deploy medium-range ballistic missiles, such as its Shabah series, against US assets in southern and south-eastern Europe. In such a three-week struggle to do damage at longer ranges,

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A protest over the deployment of US aircraft at Premier air base in Bulgaria last month. Below, an anti-US billboard in Tehran

Iran's retaliation would depend on Washington's actions, according to the insiders.

One said the regime was preparing a plan to expand the conflict further over Trump to make good air previous threats to attack Iranian infrastructure. The US president last month said Washington would destroy an Iranian bridge or power plant every time the Islamic republic targeted a ship in the main.

The second insider said Iran would

place "no limits" on its response in the event of US aggression. "Should the US go in the, how will defend itself or any prior, go beyond the region and hit Europe too," the person said.

Iran has demonstrated its willingness to attack distant targets. In the weeks after the US had forced handed the war in February, Washington accused Tehran of flying multiple missiles — none of which reached their target — at Diego Garcia, a joint US-US base in the Indian Ocean, 6,000km away.

In March, Turkey said Natick air defenses had interrupted several hks to monitor launched bomfires, while the US air base in Akrotiri, Cyprus, was struck by a drone the same month. Western officials at the time said they suspected it was finally replaced proxy forces other than Tehran itself.

The insiders said an Iranian attack last month on the US base in Jordan, which killed three American service personnel, was the most precise long range attack the Islamic republic had carried out and demonstrated its capability to hit longer distance targets.

"This was also a message to Europe: it can receive missiles, so it should know where it should stand in this war"

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"This was also a message to Europe: it can receive missiles, so it should know where it should stand in this war," the first insider said. "A very big mistake, such as being one left on its nose, could make the war go beyond the region and reach Europe."

A June memorandum of understanding between the US and Iran fell apart last month after Tehran attacked vessels in the strait and both sides accused each other of violating the interim deal, leading to US for 1st strikes and a renewed US-MaAs deal on its base point.

The insider, where there failed to plan a brand through to reopen the waterway and resume negotiations over a broader deal, and Trump has grown increasingly humanist over the stalemate.

Karabali said however deep missiles could also be deployed, but would have to carry a higher payload or travel for enough — meaning damage would be minimal. He suggested "it would be more helpful for Iran; it's worth through power," who includes millions of maps and data from the Iran King, materials to Lebanon and the Muslim to Yemen.

Douglas Barba at the International Institute for Strategic Studies said: "These strikes then attempted in: large fiarria this year are hard of indication that they have got weapons with range greater than 1,000 km."

"How many of these they actually hold in different positions, and whether or not they would be willing to use even a handful for make sense that of good-sized, including statement in an open question."

"The risk is that the missiles fail or are shot down, so how would they be still? The longer the range, the harder it is to be really accurate."

Iran's hardest hit Tehran before the US cannot be trusted to implement any deal, and from most stifles a greater cost on Washington to ensure it meets its willingness of any final settlement.

This includes Mohsen Barani, a former Guards commander whose Khamrani has been aggravated in the country's top security official.

Iranian insiders interpreted that more as a sign that figures such as Mohammed Najimi Chaffed, the country's top war forces, have been pushed aside for two.

Iran "sending a clear message that if you don't reach an agreement with Chaffed, you have to deal with Israel," said the second insider. "The message is 'Iran's be read, because I am smaller than you are.'"

Russia

Putin pledges to help rebuild warehouse as destroyed by Kyiv drones

PHILADELPHIA — EDINBURGH

Thailand: Putin yesterday ordered Russia's government to help rebuild warehouse destroyed by Ukrainian drones this summer in a campaign targeting Wildberries, the country's largest online retailer.

Russia's president did not mention Wildberries by name but told officials the country's logistics and storage capacity to be the result, including with government support.

The attacks have made an completely destroyed areas of Wildberries' 10-bag set facilities. But Putin claimed Russia's retail infrastructure was "efficient and resilient ... and entirely coping with the challenges of our lives".

He also shrugged off the broader impact of Ukraine's largely homogenous advances in drone technology, which have brought the war home to Russia this spring and a manner in an escalating series of attacks.

Ukraine's strike on Russian refiner in have forced one of the world's largest energy expenses to support petrol and kerosene—meaning at the penny in its largest fuel crisis state the collapse of the Soviet Union. From attacks on Russia's black Sea ports have also paralyzed its grain exports and cut off one of the main seamen for fossil sales.

Putin admitted for drone attacks and workers could have been including back Russia's GDP growth, which rose by just 34 per cent in the first half of this year.

He added that "there have not and cannot be any critical consequences from these attacks, but, of course, they are doing harder to us, that is obvious."

The announcement offers a potential lifeline to Wildberries, the recommence retailer whose business has become a main target of Ukraine's drone campaign. The attacks have destroyed investment and facilities and left the company facing losses Russian analysts have got a high as that of the 1,000 km.

Ukraine has postured the attacks on the basis that Wildberries sells drone components and other dual use equipment for Russia's military.

Enrico Moliterano, an founder of Fire Point, the Ukrainian defence manufacturer whose drones have been heavily used in the strikes, said Kyiv hoped the losses would trigger a broader economic crisis by forcing Wildberries to default on its debt to state banks including VTB, its master partner.

The total bill for Wildberries' rescue will be as high as 50% for 10,000 km now after 50% to the end of the 1,000 years' classroom has fallen for 35 per cent after the small businesses that make up the bulk of its sellers last their inventory or left the platform, said independent businessmen site The Bell.

Putin did not say how much Russia would be forced to help with Wildberries but promised that the destroyed warehouses would be rebuilt at a "quality-ready new technological level."

He suggested that government support could include tax breaks and subsidized loans.

The central bank has already instructed banks to restructure Wildberries either after an favourable terms, while the company has pledged financial support to the sellers most affected.

img-11.jpeg

Financial buffers

Europeans dash to save as inflation fears stifle economic recovery

GREATERNIS AND ANY BURNT? LONDON BLUE TOBREES — FRANKFURT

Households in four-fifths of European countries are saving more than before the Covid-19 pandemic, as they build up their financial hallmarks on power, a succession of crises, according to FT analysis.

The figures underscore a challenge to the continent's growth, as economists say. The trend of the energy crisis and rising inflation will open many economic rms to increase their savings at a time when Americans continue to spend.

Savings intentions remain above levels that preceded the pandemic, while confidence remains in the dishonest, according to European Commission consumer surveys.

Savings ratios surged showed only during the pandemic as economists went into lockdown and spending changed. Economists are therefore closely tracking how saving patterns compare with the situation just before the shock.

The IMF expects US GDP to grow at 8.5 per cent this year, propelled 16 part by strong household spending, versus

6.8 per cent in the European and 5 per cent in the US. The fresh surge in energy price this month gives reversing hostilities in the Middle East, could intensify inflation from strong households and further hamper any recovery in Europe.

IT has also been spent over part at these savings, it would give consumption a significant boost, further renewed rise in energy prices this year has once again clouded the economic outlook, said Sebastian Dukes, a former director of the IIML, a German think tank.

In the European, the gross savings ratio — which measure the share of the possible income net spent on goods and services — was at 14.3 per cent in the first quarter, well above the average of 12.1 per cent in the five years preceding the pandemic.

Analysis of data from Harvard and the UK's Office for National Statistics shows that across 18 European countries with rates for the first quarter, 10 have a higher savings rate than before the pandemic. The UK's savings ratio is below pre-pandemic levels.

A range of factors in driving the reluctance to spend, including shocks that

have jolted confidence and concerns that a renewed surge in inflation will result cash savings and hit living standards. European inflation was 5.5 per cent in the top, up sharply from a year ago.

High savings rates could provide the six possible for a consumer will recovery from the 1,000 and 10,000 times thousands of their funds. But there is little evidence of a significant change in behaviour in the European economies such as Germany.

The global consumption continues to provide relatively strong support to the US economy, amid solid demand for goods and services," said Marieke Kees,

img-12.jpeg

For the Invest: the Labour market remains robust in Germany

chief economist at DNL. "European households remain more cautious, with higher savings savings as a long-term consumption."

The utility, said Hedge Technologies of Berreberg Bank, was that the labour market remains robust in countries such as Germany, meaning more consumer confidence and consumption cannot be put down to fears of job losses. Instead, a series of shocks has made people far more sensitive to bad news.

"There is no reason, one could be followed another. That has done lasting damage to many people's optimism under the future," is bestselling said.

A further difference with the US is that in this European countries individuals have a lower direct exposure to stock market, as it is necessary, they can be directly hit the beneficial wealth effects of financing equity valuations.

European households held just under a third of their financial assets in cash and deposits, compared with 12 per cent for US households, who are more heavily invested in equity and investment funds, according to research from Shishikashi including the Centre for European Policy Studies.


Thursday 20 August 2020

•

FINANCIAL TIMES

5

INTERNATIONAL

Germany's far right retreats from Maga's embrace

FT series AfD seeks to soften pro-Trump messaging as voters' concerns grow over impact of Iran war

LAURA PITEL - STYL IN

Packed into a band409 meeting room one dark spring evening, more than 200 lawmakers from the far right Alternative for Germany had gathered to listen to a little-known Republican activist from the US.

It was late March, a month after Donald Trump had launched his war on Iran, and part of prices were soaring. Economists were warning higher inflation could create the German economy's green sheets after years of stagnation.

Germany AfD 80% still absorbed and applauded an intense force, the president of the New York Young Republican Club, praised the US president.

One of the most influential thinkers of Germany's "new right" watched in silence, however.

Beautiful Kaiser, a bequeathed former war rival, is a cutting about the AfD's Maga "Iran". "It starts out really banal. They like the cape. Make America Great Again, Make Germany Great Again," he told the FT. "They are fans and fans before this turn."

His disdain underlines the awkward dance the AfD has based itself in with Maga. The party has plenty of Trump enthusiasts. But many members of its most radical wing have long been deeply sceptical of the US. Their voices have become louder as the public mood snares towards Washington.

Kaiser recited off Trump's overseas interventions since the start of the year, providing some party figures' reactions. "Maduro! Bravo! Iran! Bravo! Greenland! Bravo!"

"They didn't think through the consequences at all," he said. "They did not think about the fact that this has repercussions on Germany, on Europe."

Kaiser said the Iran war had vindicated them, as he said, who had warned about the risks of drawing too close to Washington. "This group within the two years right that was itself an air-stitched of Maga has now been proven wrong," he said.

The March event was one of the last public gatherings of AfD and Maga figures after months of close contact.

'Iran has damaged the image of Trump in the eyes of the public'

AFD official

The party has been forced to reckon with soaring perceptions of Trump. The Iran war has compounded misgivings about a US president who had already imposed tariffs punishing German industry, detained European citizens over minor riot violations and repeatedly threatened to cause Greenland.

The AfD has also had to balance competing internal currents, especially as it prepares for two key elections in contest status. The party leadership in recent months has asked 50% to train down the publicly visible relationship.

"Iran has damaged the image of Trump in the eyes of the public," said a senior AfD official. "There is still contact, but it is not that before."

The AfD's divisions capture a dilemma facing Europe's far right and is courted by a US movement fixated on the continent's "chillwatched decline".

Founded in 2015 in response to the European crisis, the party has tried from a fringe movement to leading national polls. Yet it remains overacted by Germany's numerous parties, which have ruled out co-operation with it as part of a postwar effort to avoid the mistakes that enabled Afd/FAF's rise.

This helps explain why the AfD was in that need and energized by attention from Trump's Republican Party.

Many AfD members enrolled in Trump's return to the White House in January 2020. A group of senior party officials enrolled in Washington for his inauguration, among these was Austria won March, a deputy party chair who keeps a red Maga cap on her Bundestag

img-13.jpeg

desk. "Washington haffed in red," she said of the trip. "Wonderful."

In the world before Germany's parliamentary election last year, in which the AfD finished second, the party's ties to Maga grew deeper.

Also: World, the AfD's co-leader, joined their block for a free event on it, his social media platform. She also met US vice-president Jill Yance at the Munich Security Conference, where he shocked European leaders by urging them to tear down the "formal" against co-operation with the far right.

The AfD has become increasingly radical over the past decade, giving space to hardline figures who play down the Holocaust and filter with Nazi-era slogans. It has embraced mass deportations, which it often didn't 'compromise' a term popularized by an Austrian extremist and also adopted by Trump.

For March, a staunch Christian and the granddaughter of one of Fifteen's massacres, Trump's second term has offered a playbook on migration, family policy, social media regulation and the "anti-woke" agenda. Though the AfD "doesn't have to glorify everything America does ... we are on the same wavelength," she said. "It is also paving the agenda that we want."

Alignment with Trump has also raised hopes of political crisis: When Germany's insecure intelligence agency last year classified the AfD as rightwing extremists, US secretary of state Marco Rubin called it "to scare in disguise".

Even Kaiser concedes that "protection" from a possible ban is one advantage of building ties with the US.

Below the level of Yance and Rubin, much of the AfD's contact runs through Machael Frohmmater, the MP in charge of the party's foreign policy.

"For a long time, the party's focus was on eastern Europe, Russia and China," said Frohmmater. "After I became foreign policy spokesman ... I wanted to place more emphasis on US contacts."

Over the past year, he has met Sarah Rogers, a state department official who has become a leading US critic of restrictions on free speech in Europe, and US congresswoman Anna Paulina Icaza, who has been active in building ties with Europe's far right.

In December, Frohmmater received an award from Paris's New York Young Republicans at an event where alternatives sang the taboo original first verse of Germany's national unibers — Deutschland, Deutschland also also ("Germany, Germany above all"). He and March organized Paris's visit to Berlin a few months later.

The depth of the connections is sometimes unclear. Frohmmater's early contacts included a former American intern who later worked for health secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr., while World reached Mark through a 24 year-old influencer after failing to successfully contact the US billionaire herself.

Even the ties that exist have cooks, though Frohmmater is reluctant to admit it. Partners "do not have to agree on everything," he said. But he added that he had no plans to visit the US for the rest of the year.

In June, he travelled instead to St Petersburg for Vladimir Putin's flagship economic forum, where he held talks with the local citizens and another key contributor to the Russian president.

After Trump launched air strikes on Iran at the end of February, Frohmmater praised their 'surgical precision and

Maga comes for Europe This is for us and in a sense an Iran Maga since Europe and its complicated relationship with the continent's right wing © Lviv/Imagaz Europe

their focus" but warned of the dangers of so the conflict.

Since in the party before more visible contact will resume after elections in the status of January-Ashok and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern in September. Others believe upheaval within Maga

could make alignment less complicated for the AfD, especially if the more isolationistic anti-globalisation Yance becomes the next Republican nominee. March, who warned against "overtaking" the influence of figures such as Kaiser, said that "body" communication

Talking point: Austria won March, AfD deputy party chair, partners to a Maga hat in her office at the Bundestag. Below, former new Nazi BOMBRO Kaiser is highly critical of Donald Trump's overseas interventions

with US colleagues continued behind the course.

World still regularly visits Mark, according to a person familiar with their relationship. Met co-leader Theo Chespolla joined a recent US embassy party in Berlin marking America's 2000s birthday.

The Conservative Political Action Conference, a Republican producer that has held events in Poland and Hungary, is planning its first conference in Germany next year. George Weinberg, head of Republicans Overseas in Germany, said the event was aimed at bringing an "echo of the current American administration" to the European nation.

While some AfD members are opposite the idea, Frohmmater is dismissive. He wants to organize his own conference to bring together this minimal politicians from across the world.

His reasoning sums up the difficulty for the AfD and other rightwing nationalist parties: how to take Maga's net-trenched hand without alienating voters at home. "If you hold a CFM in Europe, then at the start of the event they play the US national unibers," he said. "It's a beautiful unibers. But it could create the impression among some people that it's essentially ... a formal imported from abroad."

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The latest FT Tech video shows how agentic AI is helping a New Zealand telecoms business to monitor hundreds of programmes, detect problems early and cut faults by 60 per cent.

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5

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FINANCIAL TIMES

Thursday 20 August 2020

INTERNATIONAL

IDF recommendation

Israel to probe troops over Gaza killings

Critics dismiss military's call for two criminal investigations as 'charade'

NEW JERSEY - 20, 2020 TIME: 04:20 - 12:00

Israel's military has recommended criminal proceedings against troops accused of killing civilians and media in two of the most extensive incidents of the war. Canada's first including of Palestinian child Hind Rajah.

I am finding task force from the Israel Defense Forces and yesterday that it had concluded to review into the cases from the conflict, recommending that military prosecutors upon some of the victims and take an further action in the others. The two cases in question

were the January 2020 killings in Gaza City of two paramedics and seven members of the Nawash family, including five-year-old Mind Rajah and the March 2020 killing in Tel al-Ikhbar of over a dozen first responders, medical personnel and ITN employees.

The IDF investigation found that in the 21st incident, Israel forces fired on the Nawash family on killing its relatives. Rajah was trapped in a bullet ridified within his brain while plucking on his phone with Palestinian authorities.

An IDF staff then struck a Palestine Red Crescent ambulance that arrived at the scene hours later, killing the two paramedics, the Israeli military said.

In the 2020 case, Israel forces in Tel

al-Ikhbar fired on three separate occasions at various news articles, including a fire truck, ambulance and local UN

vehicle, according to the IDF investigation. Fifteen people were killed, with over 50% of the active information, making the vehicles and covering them with dirt and metal mesh. The IDF only launched an initial investigation into the incident after radio and video from the attack site, contradicted the troops' original concerns.

Israel criminal proceedings against its troops have been exceedingly rare since the start of Israeli campaign in Gaza, which was triggered by Nawash October 7 2021 attack. Military prosecutors will now have to decide whether to file charges and against whom.

Eyalı Abou Jafajah, who came the Israeli-based Mind Rajah Foundation, which ranks Israel's military overseas to seek trials for those implicated in alleged war crimes, said the IDF's

announcement amounted to an attempted whirlwind.

"We have no real whatsoever in the Israeli judiciary system. That system has always been complied with Israeli crimes and the military judiciary is even more complicit," he said. "So this is a durable activity at conservating and whitening the criminals who murdered the Moslem of the Israelites."

In time other cases that were investigated, the IDF task force found there was no reasonable suspicion of criminal misconduct that would justify the campaign's criminal investigation!

These included two instances where personnel from Maldives from Frontiers were killed by Israel fire, and an April 2018 attack on a World Central killings in Afghanistan outraged.

Over 75,000 Palestinian have been

killed in Gaza over the past three years, according to local health authorities. Some 3,500 Israeli cases killed during Hamas's October 7 attack, with 330 new tubes bootage.

The International Criminal Court in 2020 issued arrest warrant for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and then defunct minister Tom Lakkim "for crimes against humanity and war crimes". South Africa has also brought an ongoing case in the International Court of Justice accusing Israel to prescribe Israeli officials voluntarily into all the allegations.

According to an Israeli military official, 1,000 cases from the war have been flagged to the IDF task force. Reviews of 100 of these have already been completed, including the five cases in yesterday's announcement.

Middle East

Erdoğan and Netanyahu clash after strikes Syrian base

JOHN PAUL RICHARDS - 9, 10 HERALD, 10 PRESS, 10, 10 PRESS, 10, 10 PRESS, 10, 10 PRESS, 10, 10 PRESS, 10, 10 PRESS, 10, 10 PRESS, 10, 10 PRESS, 10, 10 PRESS, 10, 10 PRESS, 10, 10 PRESS, 10

Turkey and Israel have traded accuses from after the Israeli bombing in Syrian air base near the Turkish border intensified a growing power contract between the 1st and Middle East's strongest militaries.

Ankara yesterday hit out at Israel over its strikes a day earlier on the idea of the 1st war, which left the Turkish bomb (Oversea) from Kuwait, who called them as "international vocalizers".

The office of Benjamin Netanyahu, Israeli prime minister, accused Israel of being on the verge of breaching an agreed security "status quo" by allowing Turkish troops to deploy at the base. Israel had "reportedly warned" finances that such a deployment would threaten its security, it said.

But the office of Turkish President Abou Jafajah Erdoğan dismissed the claim about Turkish deployment in the base as "untrouble", saying it assumed from Israel's desire to pursue "explanation and knowledge against" ahead of the issue in Turkey.

Turkey is one of the principal teachers of Syrian president Ahmed al-Sharaa, a former militant Islamist who led the rebel offensive that mental dictator Bashar al-Assad in December 2020.

Ankara has provided military training equipment for the three respective Damascus to help rebuild nine institutions destroyed by nearly 14 years of civil war.

Israel, however, sees liberals government, which is dominated by the Islamist faction, as a threat. It has conducted widespread strike on the country since Assad fell, destroying much of the old regime's military infrastructure and occupied positions in southern Syria.

Israel has also objected to Turkey - which has maintained thousands of troops in northern Syria following successive intervention during the civil war - establishing military infrastructure that could restrict its freedom of action, especially in Syrian airspace.

The idea of those air base in Syria's north-eastern Mith province has been largely out of service for more than a decade but is undergoing reconstruction.

A Turkish delegation had visited the Gulf, have harbor the strikes, accord log in Turkish media.

Reflexion between Israel and Turkey, which has finally second biggest arms after the US, began in decimation in 2020 and the war in 2021.

But their differences have since escalated, particularly over Syria.

In June, amid Israeli military operations in Syria and Lebanon, Erdoğan declared that "Turkey's security... began from Aleppo, it began from Damascus, it began from the Qaida".

Israel has increasingly portrayed Turkey's expanding regional rule as a security challenge, with some politicians even defining Turkey the "one that" - the "one that" - that is the "one that" - that is the prime minister's party. Liked, has erected campaign officials, drawing Erdoğan alongside Iranian supreme leader Mujahid Al-Shehrani, Hirakulla leader, and the Iranian and New York mayor Zoltan Mumtaz.

"They want Poland to be less," the billboard says. "Don't let them win."

Economy. Energy supplies

US industry feels pain of soaring diesel prices

Rising fuel costs threaten

surge in inflation ahead of

November midterm polls

WILLIAM CUMMELL - WASHINGTON JAMES SMITH - NEW YORK

A surge in diesel prices is dealing a pro-rata force in US industry, pushing up costs for businesses and distributors ahead of midterm decision.

The group price of diesel - the life-blood of the economy because of its essential role in promoting industry and agriculture - hit $14.7 a gallon on Europe, approaching its all-time high of $1.82 as soon as the Middle East and Europe distorts global supplies.

Prices have jumped 4 per cent in the past month while the gap between the cost of diesel and crude oil, known as the 'crash spread', has hit a record high in recent days in a sign of the deepening supply shock.

The price is urged that it is not up to the truckers and farmers that are not to close the through the broader economy, requiring inflation and approving already likely state-floor measures.

"It is already a crisis - a quiet crisis," said Tom Khoa, chief energy officer of Gulf Oil. "There are body punches to the middle of the economy. I think they are going to be a good deal for the future."

Rising fuel prices risk intensifying the public of turmoil having forced Trump president, as voters grow increasingly frustrated ahead of November's mid-term decision, including a potential Congress. A recess of 7 paid board must not on both sides off under the president.

The new empirical of fuel inflation is also leading into a roll off in US government hands, sending yields to multiyear highs and pushing up borrowing costs for energy production.

Taylor Rogers, White House spokesperson, said: "I've heard Trump and his entire energy team have taken decisive actions to mitigate disruptions to the energy markets and remain firmly committed to unloading American energy dominance and cutting costs."

Diesel has shot higher since the beginning of Trump's war against Iran as well as the 2018-20 United States shipments through the front of Germany and handling campaigns based on energy infrastructure across the region.

img-16.jpeg

Pump action: the diesel price hit $5.47 a gallon this week, approaching its all-time high of $1.82 as soon as the Middle East and Europe hit supplies

The conflict has exacerbated existing diesel shortages driven by a surge in Ukrainian driver attacks on Russian oil refineries, which have crimped the situation in one of the world's biggest suppliers and caused Moscow in therefore experts.

US refineries have been running at $10.00 in an attempt to fill the gap,堡-going record volumes of fuel to global markets, which analysts said would be difficult to sustain because of falling inventories.

"There is a huge amount of refining capacity within in the Middle East and Russia," said Robert Campbell at Energy Aspects. Combined with lower exports from China, the fuel left the US as the "supplier of the vessel".

With diesel production near its peak, analysts warned that further disruption could send prices up further.

"When the refining systems running out, every producer matters," said Kevin Reid at Dow View Energy Inc., Inc.'s top rating that is seen by any reason, whether it is in wartime or

just a consequence of an accident, could tighten supplies accordingly.

"Easily takes one threat from a storm, and things could get pretty ugly," Khoa added. "There is potential for what we would call stupid numbers - fire, air, and/or wind-fields a game."

Diesel on Tuesday was trading at a processor of diesel $10.91 a month in US crude, which is more than three times larger than the average spread last year.

Crack spouses have more than doubled since the US and Israel attacked Iran on February 10 and then more than 20 per cent this month as talks between Tehran and Washington have stopped.

The site rated prices have piled pressure on US businesses, which have few options to curtail anger.

"I need to be fabricated of the industrial economy and can do not perform it off," Campbell said.

Highly rated prices come at a positive lady sensitive time: earners, households prepare to buy, buying, or ahead of winter, retailers stock shelves for the hold-

"These are body punches to the middle of the economy. I think they are going to have a pretty dramatic impact"

Tom Khoa, chief energy officer of Gulf Oil

day period and farmers prepare for harvest.

John Swed, founder and president of the National Black Farmers Association, told the F-F the coming price of diesel was pushing away farmers to the levels of Americans.

"Farmers are very exposed to rising diesel costs and the economic after the big increase in fertilizer prices, which were also caused by the Iran war," he said. "My field income holds about 200 gallons, so we still up really much a lot."

The White House has taken steps to alleviate the oil supply crunch, including to re-thinking global releases of strategic reserves and lifting sanctions on Iranian and Russian crude.

Time, the state's energy and water document rising, analysts said the administration might take more drastic action, such as restricting exports - although a White House official insisted it could be more reasonable style.

"And since that were discarded in April might get returned back to District Eprices only high," Swed said.

Progressive candidate

Democratic socialist wins Florida primary

STEPHEN PALMA - LONDON

A member of the Democratic Socialists of America and especially won the primary election in the Income Florida Democrat, pick for the US Senate, strike latest in terms for progressive electing at the party's establishment.

Anglo Nixon, a Florida state representative, directed the Democratic nomination yesterday. The best Mrs. Vladman, a US army veteran whom Donald Trump fired from the National Security

Council after he testified against the persistent during congressional impeachment proceedings in 2020.

Nixon's 12-point win in the latest threat to the Democrat progressive wing, which has occurred primary victories in Minnesota, was then sent to a tobacco campaign on voters' discontent over the political establishment.

"Together, we went up ... against millions of dollars ... We were adopted 16 to one and we won," Nixon said in her victory speech, as she called for tab-

legue "aampati corruption in Wading on 20C".

"We showed the world what organized people can accomplish," Nixon added. "And we showed the world what the people will build up on the black shift. We have a number of thinkers, visit affordable housing, fully funded public education and an end to somehow too!"

Other progressive bill short to organize Florida primaries, however, Elijah Hunter, and other women respectively met heavily to incumbence Debbie Wasserman to help out Jared Andaman in an congressional district polls.

The 16-16B has also suffered defeats in other primaries, including in Wisconsin, where Milwaukee County executive recent (crowly), a senatorian, debated a democratic socialist in a tight race to become Democrat, pick for governor.

In Florida, Byron Donalds, the nominee backed by Trump, provided over $1,000,000 including the eight James Fishback, Donalds will face Democrat-based (left), a former Republican, in a race to determine the replacement for Republican governor. Ron DeSantis, who has reached his term limit.

Trade

Trump says tariff deal reached with Canada

AVA HENDRY - TORONTO

Donald Trump has said he has reached an agreement with Canada and passed the introduction of a new credit tariff in the US's second largest trading partner for three days.

The 13 president wrote on Truth Social News, Tuesday that he had postponed the 30 per cent tariffs, due to kick in yesterday. "Based on the fact that Canada has set a, and the other 'businesses of document, have a M.A.'"

"The good for private US, Option, long ago killed by Sleepy Joe Riden, may be another item the game," Trump wrote, referring to a proposed oil project, hours before a midnight deadline when levies on $2.00 a month of goods were set to go into effect.

The last minors nephew will now terminate between the two countries after Trump last month threatened the US to become more good, including crimes and border sinks.

Mark Garney, Canada's prime senior, too, confirmed the US had postponed the 16-16 and the end of two years.

"Over the last number of weeks, Can-

ada has engaged in extensive discussions with the US to address outstanding trade issues and deliver greater certainty and real benefits for Canadian businesses, workers, farmers, and families," he said. "Substantial progress has been made, although there is important work still to be done."

The Trump administration has accused Canada of discriminating against US businesses, citing the dairy industry and government policies. It has also demanded that Canada resume sales of US wine and spirits,

img-17.jpeg

The US has demanded that Canada resume sales of US wine and spirits

which were pulled from shelves in total intensive Trump's market duties.

"Canada has expressed a consistent trend to the discrimination," the White House said. "Because of the status of these negotiations, the public interests have no responding for a period of three days."

Confused a day, president of the Canadian Chamber of Commerce, welcomed the reprieve, saying: "Businesses may not be. During up-duty with this news, but an extension doesn't bring the certainty that a significant time is downed."

The US and Canada found the principal oil evolving the forfeiture US oil pipeline last year as part of a bargaining case. Energy tariffs on such and also minors, it was proposed to be issued 12 years ago to transport about $50,000 from Canada a day of crash from different industries under 10/12 all year.

It was closed down under three years after the move in Ukraine in 2015. Before Trump returned back in 2017, Maine resigned the project in June 2021 as environmental grounds.

Additional reporting by James Smyth in New York

Contracts & Tenders

MATERA COURT

Washington, June 4, 2020. (AP) A court admitted that the beginning of NYSEF 1/01 (pending of NYSEF 1/01 1201, 1201, 1201, 1201, 1201, 1201, 1201, 1201, 1201, 1201, 1201, 1201, 1201, 1201, 1201, 1201, 1201, 1201, 1201, 1201, 1201, 1

  1. 2017年,公司与上海浦东发展银行股份有限公司签订了《关于使用部分闲置募集资金进行现金管理的协议》,同意公司使用不超过人民币5,000万元的闲置募集资金进行现金管理。

The last 1st has also suffered defeats in other primaries, including in Wisconsin, where Milwaukee County executive recent (crowly), a senatorian, debated a democratic socialist in a tight race to become Democrat, pick for governor. In Florida, Byron Donalds, the nominee backed by Trump, provided over $1,000,000 including the eight James Fishback, Donalds will face Democrat-based (left), a former Republican, in a race to determine the replacement for Republican governor. Ron DeSantis, who has reached his term limit.


Thursday 20 August 2020

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FINANCIAL TIMES

7

Supply dilemma Controversy over 'surge pricing' for water usage distracts from need to reform charging structures © MORAL MONEY

Companies & Markets

Chinese maker of humanoid robots surges 600% in debut

  • Unitree valued at $50bn in Shanghai
  • Onshore frenzy for tech investments

WILLIAM SANDLAND — MORAL KONG WILLIAM SANDALL — SANDSLEY

Shares in Chinese humanoid robot maker Unitec surged more than 600 per cent on their trading debut in Shanghai yesterday, highlighting a mounting onshore investor frenzy for technology companies.

The stock gained as much as 10% per cent before Sifang back to close 600 per cent higher at BankHUI (B2G), valuing the company at BankHUI (B2G).

The initial public offering was priced at BankHUI a share, giving Unitec a market capitalisation of about 90% ahead of its debut, which raised just over 800 times.

The transfer of share for retail investors was more than 5,500 times over-

'This would provide a valuation on her and a path reference for the subsequent listings'

suited, which reflected 'concordious investor enthusiasm for the company', said Krong Ng, a manager of KooJongin Insurance International. "This is partly due to Unitec's high house recognition in mainland China."

Before from the Hangzhou-based company have been shown drawing, jumping and boxing at home new year gains, which are among the most watched events on Chinese robotics.

Valuation for some of China's newest technology firms are at record highs because of a combination of government support and investor enthusiasm.

The surge put Unitec's trading price to earnings ratio at almost 1.25%, underscoring the high expectations for the company's growth potential.

Unitec shipped 1,500 humanoid robots last year, Kinai Metcalon, who

recently founded Humanoid Analytics to track android shipments and usage, said Unitec back a 'surge on her' as it dominated the market for selling robots to researchers, but that it now needed to expand into others.

"Where money comes from will be from the household and personal motorist and couple the industrial and commercial (market). Unitec just started the first step," he said.

Investors remain optimistic about the sector's growth prospects. Kieron Poon, investment director for Asian equities at Aberdeen, said: "We are positive on humanoid robotics but companies' suppliers to robotics firms would have the most benefits. 'Right now we're looking at the optimum for the humanoid supply chain first.'"

Unitec is the first Chinese humanoid robotics company in list. Its largest competitor, Agilink, is private while rival's BTech is insides Hong Kong.

The IPO main Unitec 's core popular player of humanoid robot (i.e. the Chinese 4-short stock market', said Ming Lee, head of United States data and industrial research at Bell's Global Research. "This would provide a valuation on her and a path reference for the subsequent listings of a large other Chinese robotics companies."

Unitec, officially called Yuzhe Technology, said it would put about two-thirds of the funds raised in the IPO for research, expanding manufacturing capacity and 45 month development.

The US Federal Commission attests Commission housekeepers of humanoid robots last month in a move widely regarded as targeting Chinese products. According to Unitec, overseas overseas accounts for more than 40 per cent of its earnings, with US US making up between 13.3 per cent and 18.4 per cent, depending on the year.

See Let

Cheap calls Travel e-sins boom poses threat to traditional mobile industry's roaming revenues

img-18.jpeg

About 15mm travel e-sins are forecast to be used globally this year, up from 101.8mm in 2023. Carlsom.com

COSMOS DAVIS — LONDON

Demand for e-sins cards used for travel is set to jump by about a third this year as international travellers seek out cheaper alternatives to data roaming packages, posing a threat to traditional mobile operators.

Analysts at researcher FDR COE Single estimated that about 15mm travel e-sins would be used globally this year, up from 101.8mm in 2023.

Consumers are downloading e-sins from operators including Airds, which has raised close to 850mm from investors including private equity firm (VC), and fully, as operator owned by NordVPN developer Nord Security.

They offer data packages for overseas travellers that are typically cheaper than roaming deals from their existing mobile provider.

The trend was posing a growing challenge to established mobile

groups, who made between 3 and 5 per cent of revenues from roaming, according to Joe Gardner, analyst at FDRCOE, who called that this income was typically higher margin.

"Now (operators) can't re-that challenge, whether their through interest rate, posing parity or better service, will determine how much of that revenue is it for," Gardner added.

The five most popular e-sins apps have been downloaded more than 20mm times this year, following 36.4mm downloads in 2023, according to data from market research group-based firms.

Consumer including Airds and Kintu also offer e-sins data packages to first customers. Airds' data collection uses with 50K of data over seven days for 12.4K on an e-sins, whereas 35 second/35 can charge 18 for 500M of data on an in-24 hour period.

Researchers at ITU's Horizon estimate that the travel e-sins market was

worth 44.4Mms last year and could reach 43.2m in 2030. The growth has been fueled by an increase in the number of many places that are compatible with e-sins.

Early chief executive Vykintse Rishin has said that the e-sins market was launching from widespread consumer awareness. "The market's moving from educating customers to converting them and that conversion is accelerating," he said. Hermann Frank, chief executive of Gigi, the connectivity start up whose technology underpins the mobile offerings of Airds' data and Kintu, said the development of e-sins was finished a 7.6K end-to-end digital television service.

"The structural advantage that these players have is that they don't have to pay for customer acquisition cost and have a better user experience as well, you just need to click a button on the app," he said.

Martin Sandhu (page 2)

Google strikes custom AI chips accord with Marvell

JAMES JONES — LONDON

Google has struck a deal with Silicon Valley semiconductor group Marvell to develop custom AI chips, including an option to buy up to $12.2bn in Marvell shares.

Marvell Technology yesterday said the two groups would work together to develop specialized hardware for the search giant's AI chips, known as tumor processing units.

It said it had issued a warrant allowing Google to purchase up to 36.9mm this will share at $206.36 each, according to a regulatory filing.

Marvell helps hypercapsers including literature design their own specialized AI accelerator chips, providing a derivative to Nvidia's general-purpose graphs to processing units.

Marvell's shares rose 6 per cent yesterday following the announcement, conceding game that a new data source more than implying a value over the past 12 months. Shares in Broadcom, Google's main supplier for its TPUs, fell 5 per cent.

The expanded partnership with Marvell comes as Google begins to sell its products at the market, and it is forced largely to its own data centers, to extend customers.

The search giant has built a mammoth focus on generation to supply over 100% of its chip-to-knitropic, the FT reported this month.

In April, Google signed an agreement with Broadcom to develop TPUs and other components for the search group's AI infrastructure until 2025.

Marvell said it would work with Google to develop custom semiconductor products tried to the TPU ecosystem, including "AI inference accelerators, storage controllers, network interface controllers, memory interface controllers, and near-memory computer".

Under the terms of the deal, some 2.5mm of the shares sent to equal quarterly instalments during the first year after the execution of the warrant.

The remaining shares will vest based on "the entrance purchase" from Marvell's third quarter of 2027 to the end of 2033, with one tranche vesting for every $500mm in revenue from the custom products the past develop together.

ProBots in March said it was investing 8.6bn in Marvell and that the two chip-makers would work together on silicon photostats as part of a push-to-speed update flow in data centers.

Mexico is trying once again to break its costly addiction to cash

BUSINESS INSIGHT

HONDA

Christine Murray

img-19.jpeg

Among Mexico's rich and poor, cash is unusually persistent, to the battleless, petrol station and on toll roads. Anything from lawful buildings to private medical loss can be paid for its limitations.

For purchases under 500 pesos (about $50), about 10 per cent of Mexican use they mostly use cash, informal companies and workers fear having to put out if payments are processed through the banking system, and card transactions can cost small businesses. The fear costs of each sale.

But the reliance on the physical peso is an example for a middle-income, complex economy, which is also the biggest trading partner of the US. And the current current has costs.

Cash enables tax evasion, corruption and crime. Monthly before from the Sinaloa cartel to a host of public officials were allegedly paid from a large loss of cash, according to a recent US indictment. Politicians are among the most enthusiastic users of cash, with campaign finance experts saying just a fraction of donations are formally declared.

After previous attempts failed, the current government says it is down to make a serious push to digitalise the economy. President Claudia Steinbaum has returned one of her closest advisers, José Antonio Peña Merino, to co-

sertिवार a plan for mass adoption of digital payments. He—and others—say she wants to be heard of last figure.

"The president had this in her head from the beginning, from the transition," he said in an interview. "At 2025, at least 10 per cent of adults will make at least one digital payment. I think it'll be higher than that honestly... In the end, if you make a product that others a problem, it'll be adopted."

There are reasons for scepticism. Seven years ago the central bank launched Cash, a payments platform comparable to Brazil's widely popular, Pa. But consumers barely noticed as banks and businesses did not promote it and the user experience was cloudy.

Peña Merino said his main bail looked at two of the world's most successful examples, India's Unified Payments for Police (UPI)

and Pa. In both, cash are left precipitously and was replaced with free account-to-account payments, calling out cash fees.

Steinbaum's plan has several components, including simplifying and promoting Cash and encouraging informal businesses to open a new kind of online bank account that is not linked to a tax ID. She has pushed and will mandate digital payments at petrol stations and toll road booths.

Peña Merino, who digitalised much of the capital city's government while Steinbaum was aware, oversees a newly created federal agency for Digital Transformation and Telecommunications with a sweeping month. Mexico's social programmes are an obvious place to start, he said. The government will die out almost 20x pesos ($27.2bn) this

'It's the starting point to reduce informality, improve productivity, increase the tax take ... and even reduce crime'

year mostly to the elderly, students and disabled.

A third new central bank rules, all banks in the country will have to adopt a standardised user experience for Cash, with options of using phone numbers and secretaries to send payments, by the end of the year.

The banking sector says it is on board. "It's the starting point to reduce informality, improve productivity, increase the tax rate, increase financial inclusion and even reduce crime rates," said Emilia Romano, head of Mexico's banking association (4th).

The policy's success will depend on whether the new Cash experience is good enough, and whether Mexico's informal sector, which accounts for more than half of workers, believes the benefits outweigh the fear of eventually being taxed.

Some big companies are jumping ahead already. Rapidly expanding discount retailer Tereske 20 (the Division for Good, Nice and Cheap) is piloting stores accepting only cash and Cash to cut out cashiers. Peña Merino said they are were talks with companies such as Pepsi, Grape Models, and others that supplied small shops to expand digital payments. These companies have hugely complex, and sometimes risky, cash movement operations in the filing places in Mexico.

"They get up places almost no one else does," he said.

The story is that if Mexico succeeds, it could face a different kind of problem. The Trump administration put tariffs on the offsite year, partly saying that In Pte platform has treated US pressure companies unfairly. Given the problems can eventually represent, that might be a risk Mexico is willing to take.

christine.murray@fi.com

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FINANCIAL TIMES

Thursday 20 August 2020

COMPANIES & MARKETS

Technology

China eases curbs on Nvidia H200 chips

Small shipments approved by Beijing in attempt to boost its leading AI groups

ZUMM WU - HONG KONG

Small batches of Nvidia's H200 chips have been allowed to enter mainland China, as Beijing wins to add its leading AI companies to the rise to each US trade.

Bychizuo and Tenzori have each received about 10,000 H200 processors in recent weeks, while a few other Chinese tech groups could soon obtain approval for shipments of similar size, according to two people with knowledge

of the matter. The 9,200 is at least two generations before it talks to our powerful chips, which Chinese customers are not allowed to buy due to US export controls.

While the Chinese groups have been allowed by the US today up to 100,000 H200s apiece, lượng waste them to keep most of these chips outside the mainland to support domestic chip-makers, one of the people said.

As additives to the small number of H200 chips permitted to enter the mainland, Chinese regulators have told companies that they can ship each processor to Hong Kong, which operates on a territory outside its customs border, and are therefore.

The US licenses permit shipments of Nvidia's H200 chips to mainland China and Hong Kong.

Allowing the chips into Hong Kong still presents a challenge to Chinese tech groups as the former British others lacks enough data centres to house them.

Yet a dilemma, Everyone needs the chips but struggles to find a way to use them in Hong Kong," said a person familiar with the situation. "They need for the control to know so gradually."

While has ahead held audition H200 chips in stock mainly for Chinese clients, Sales were held up due to helping's restrictions, according to multiple people with knowledge of the situation.

Some Nvidia partners such as Lenovo said Chinese customers but work that they could resume placing orders for their products containing H200 chips, one person said. These partners integrate Nvidia chips with CPU and other networking tools such as AI server.

Purchases would still require separate approval through an application process overseas by the state planner National Development and Science Commission (NDSC), according to a person with direct knowledge.

China's continued import controls reflect its desire to support domestic chipmakers led by Huawei, which aim to dominate the world's second largest semiconductor market where Nvidia is

mostly shut out due to export controls. However, China's lack of the most advanced chipmaking equipment restrict its ability to meet surging domestic demand, meaning some imports of Nvidia chips will continue to be needed - especially for 30 training.

License regulators have started becoming cards on US chips to ensure that leading domestic AI devices can come from training outing edge models. Chinese groups are trying to compete with advanced models such as Anthropic's R6Max's, and one of the people familiar with regulatory thinking.

Nvidia, Bychizuo, Tenzori and the NDSC did not respond to imports for comment.

Sport

EQT acquires majority stake in Australian rugby league club Storm

WE PRADEN - 9 (TUNE)

Institute private equity group EQT has taken a majority stake in one of Australia's top rugby league clubs in a core deal in the country's sports sector.

The aim of the Melbourne Storm – a club providing overall by Rupert Murdoch's from Central – is unusual because most teams in the National Rugby League are controlled by their benefited club members.

The deal values the club at 48.000m (30.000m), according to a person with knowledge of the club, EQT the benefits common to the financial details.

It is EQT's first direct investment in a sports team as it increases exposure to the sports market.

In 2015, the first bought 1961 Academy, a sports education brand, was a deal worth 81.23m including debt and it has led a $25mn investment in a six-6-mile football competition called the fuller League.

EQT is one of private equity's larger players driving a fundraising revival that has left smaller times trading in June, the first stock value for PYM 100 testing company Intertek worth about £30.7m, marking one of the year's biggest US takeovers.

Private equity has invested heavily in sports teams in the US and Europe as the

'It's not small here. Private equity is every where but this is rare for Australia'

Tim Hercourt, sports economist

sector transforms into an asset class attracting large amounts of capital looking for growth.

Silver Lake, the US private equity fund, acquired a stake in the argmines and related the deal. Contact All Blacks rugby union team in 2015.

The investment in EQT, via its mail-market opportunities fund, or the first feature Storm follows a record 400.20m (30.70m) seven years ago about that struck last month between the 9th, and media companies including Dutch's Excel.

The 9th broadcast deal followed a similar AALON agreement struck by the Australian Football League, which became the deal with known as 'has an rules'.

Tim Hercourt, a sports economist with InfoInfo Access Economics, said the broadcast deal showed that Austral European news among the many public life spent from the world's top-tier footballing age.

'It's not small here,' he said of the private equity interest in the country's sport, 'Private equity is everywhere, but this is rare for Australia.'

The results are established in 1999 as the only 9th club in the state of Victoria where men will, 16 men are found, it has been one of the most consistent performers in the region despite a dig on the market.

The deal comes as the 9th, expands the number of clubs competing in the league with teams in Papua New Guinea and North of Europe.

Both have been more recent than, who will remain a shareholder, and the funds would be used to strengthen the club's facilities as a planned to produce more local talent. Only a handful of players, including the few were halfback名额 of 16 shops, have come through the cash in Victoria.

Food & beverage

Carlsberg's alcohol-free sales offset beer decline

MAJORE HILLS

Alcohol-free beer and soft drinks helped offset a big-ticket volume sales at Carlsberg, as the drinks sector attempts to better lead against a global fall in alcohol consumption.

The Danish Version – which owns brands including Kromsbourg, Pocetti and Kellinger – exported first half-year mass of 50.67m (37.3m), a 2.4 per cent increase on the same period last year. Volume sales of soft drinks rose 7.8 per cent, while beer volumes fell 1 per cent, the company said yesterday.

Sales volumes of alcohol-free beer rose 2.1 per cent globally, driven by a 12 per cent increase in western Europe.

The latest results made a sales revival for the former, which suffered a meager than expected drop in volumes in 2015 after losing its US license to soft-but. Biggest, the Spanish time brand it had formed for 15 years.

Carlsberg bought UK soft drinks group firm in January last year in an effort to diversify your from beer. The purchase led to a doubling of its soft drink volume from 10 per cent of group revenues in 2015.

One serving from the acquisition of a company's schedule, the company said, with about half of the £330mn of crew-give targeted boxing been achieved for the year, compared with an earlier expectation of the 40 per cent.

To add a heavy market, third executive, said the company's earnings growth was mild, with 'particularly strong growth for soft drinks and alcohol-free brews', as softdrunve outage partnerships with hoppers and Pepsi's. The company increased its full year earnings gain due towards the upper end of the range. It now forecasts organic spending profit growth for the year of 4.9 per cent, versus 3.4 per cent in April. Carlsberg's shares closed down 2 per cent.

The drinks sector has been grappling with the effects of falling alcohol consumption, as consumers shift towards healthier lifestyle and cut back on spending analysis of living problems.

Under third European owner Disguis suspected to cut up to 3,000 jobs as part of a restructuring to streamline the business under new chief executive Sir Dave Lewis, having already reduced the workforce by £2000 in the previous financial year.

Media, Financial squeeze

Creditors seize Hollywood studio supplier

BlackRock and Oaktore take

over MBS as industry woes put

soundstage version in default

END NEXT AND

JAPAN PURCHASE A YEAR - NEW YORK

A supplier of production equipment to film studios including Netflix and Warner Bros Discovery has been seized by creditors after disturbing us in debt, a forecasting for those of were affording the entertainment industry.

BlackRock's private credit arm, MP6 Investment Partners, and specialist discussed debt concern follows Capital are among groups of creditors that has work look control of MBS Group, which provides lighting up and after film equipment to sound stages across the globe, according to people familiar with the matter.

The company services more than 600 sound stages, including two two's in-average Studios – when When Harry Met Sally and The Japanese were shot – and Los Angeles Television City, once home to The Id-Mobile Show.

But MBS Group has struggled under its debt load and the decision by big entertainment groups to draft production budgets, which has weighed on the TV and film industry since the remaining bubble been in 2022.

The group's previous owners, Hackman Capital Partners and Affilates Capital, exited the business as part of the transaction, the people added.

His Annual Capital and Affilates bought MBS in 2019 from private investment shops Carlsberg to be sold.

Hackman Capital worked to integrate the business with sound stages that it owned directly.

The Los Angeles headquarters of Hackman used two interest rates to its advantage earlier this decade, assigning up period filming business across the world.

But activity in Hollywood has spitched, hitting everyone from caterers and cartoons readers to the agents and actors involved in the

Producers have blamed tighter budgets and the move to streaming where seasons are typically much shorter than the 22 to 24 episodes that were the same. Asking the loyalty of network TV-Today, streaming users methods run out at eight or 10 times.

Spending on scripted TV series is down by a fifth from its 2012 peak, according to Proffito, a company that tracks activity in the entertainment industry. And even as the number of

img-21.jpeg

Lighting the way: MBS Group supplies services to sound stages including New York's Glorotrap Studios where,

'The Japanese, above, and 'When Harry Met Sally,' below, were shot

in 2022.

films starting production rebounded in 2015, the uptick was driven by lower budget independent films. Proffito also showed.

Hackman Capital and MBS Group have been working with restructuring adviser Alzfortuero in a bid to cut costs and restructures debt.

One person briefed on the matter said MBS Group was also being affected by Hackman Capital's own financial pressure, prompting to begin discussions on a straightforward deal region.

The person added that MBS Group faced either conflict to over how it was

MBS has struggled under its debt load and the shift by media groups to slash production budgets

paid for services provided across Hackman Capital's wider property portfolio. About 14 per cent of the stages MBS Group services are owned by Hackman Capital.

The company capital did not immediately respond to a request for comment. MBS Group and the leader group declined to comment.

Hundreds of millions of dollars of cash held by MBS, Oaktore and other leaders will be connected into equity as part of the transaction with creditors planning to provide an additional itemless, long MBS Group entities to business and interest growth.

The key to the business are being transferred to a focus on corporate credit markets since and businesses first ever presented interest rate rises by the US Federal Reserve.

That will have significant implications for the investment in a large credit firm such as MP6 and Oaktore, which are still adjusting to a world where money is no longer cheap and capital is the long-term shock.

Fitch Actings warned last week that private credit officials had the a-wound 5 per cent in the year to the end of July.

The report was established in 1999 as the only 9th club in the state of Victoria where men will, 16 men are found, it has been one of the most consistent performers in the region despite a dig on the market.

Technology

Beijing to lift travel ban on Manus founders

TUMM WU - HONG KONG

Beijing plans move to lift a travel ban imposed on the founders of Manus as the artificial intelligence agent continues towards the 82th acquisition by Meta.

Eras being chief executive and a co-founder of Manus, recently told staff that its planned to return source image pore, where the agents' platform is based, according to two people with knowledge of the matter.

Xi'an and Manus management, including their associate J. Chiba, were restricted from leaving China after being announced in Beijing to franchise as investigators into the start-up's sales of food-boring group Meta to determine whether investment rules were increased.

Means of the work announced it would soon return to operating as an independent business. "This is part of an separation from Meta, we must take this

step to comply with regulatory requirements to specifically provide we will," the group said in the report.

Considering plans would require food approval from regulators led by the National Development and Science Commission, Chiech powerful state sponsor, which is April blocked the Meta takeover.

Regulators including Quercull Manus that its business operations would not be affected since the succeeding deal is settled in a way that enables all requirements, the people said.

Beijing's move to short China's nuanced approach to tightening control of its tech and AI industries while also allowing companies and entrepreneurs to develop their businesses if they abide by the rules.

In the unwielding deal, most of China's license investors – including Tencent, Zhenfund and private equity firm (BIC), as well as management – will buy back the company from Meta for

about the same valuation of 82m, the IT's reported last month.

American women capital fund benchmark, and a few smaller investors, will not participate in the feedback and the shares they previously owned will largely be acquired by Tencent, Zhenfund, because the biggest shareholder in Manus.

Tencent will only have a minority stake and Manus will continue to operate independently from Singapore rather than being folded into the Chinese technology company.

However, in the past year it has started backing some of the biggest manager funds, trial67m/7.

Canada's largest pension fund has increased to funds managed by Blackstone, KKR and EQT to allow it to clash the increasingly big deals on offer in partnership with the private capital groups.

"The net-turner deals are becoming increasingly large," said James Bryce,

Financials

Canada pension fund turns to private capital

ALEXANDER-HOLLAND ALAN LYNDI

LONDON

One of the world's biggest infrastructure investors is turning to private capital groups to help it lead long periods as three such as KKR, Blackstone and BlackRock expand their influence in a sector long dominated by pension funds.

Canada Pension Plan Investment Board has built almost 300bn in response to energy and infrastructure by investing directly in companies.

head of infrastructure at CPYIS. "As an investor with 1x fund, a new site is opening the beta and a total opportunity for that we may not have been able to clear on our years."

CPYIS's shift demonstrates the extent of the infrastructure market's transformation from a backwater where deals were cut by pension plans to one of the

img-22.jpeg

most important strategies of the largest private capital group.

It also underestimates growing size of infrastructure deals coming to market as artificial intelligence and energy security becomes two of the world's most popular investment homes.

Infrastructure megabials this year

include two investing blackbooks' (the McKell-antennore Partners, the expati-neror's Bigger-State, the McKell-ant-power group (425) to $60bn and $75bn, respectively.

Last year marked a record for infrastructure funds during its 3mm when managed cash for institutional clients with $200bn raised, according to McKell-ant.

"Twenty years ago, there was no $200m infrastructure fund," said John Graham, chief executive of CPYIS. "If you wanted to display a $200m dollars into this space, you would have been 80 per cent of the fund ... it was probably somewhere in the past five years where there was an affection."

EQT, which BlackRock bought two 2000 shares was established in 2010 as a assets and recently raised a $2.00 fund. KKR's latest infrastructure fund just raised $50bn and Blackstone's open-ended vehicle now manages around $75bn.


Thursday 20 August 2020

•

FINANCIAL TIMES

9

COMPANIES & MARKETS

Walter's gambit risks upending Wall Street

The billionaire's much-copied strategy of leveraging insurers to build an empire is now the subject of regulatory scrutiny

ARTHUR SARA AND LEE MARKS

NEW YORK

Before Mark Walter amused one of the biggest privants to fall agents and investment empires in the world, he was a little known trader as an obscure market on Wall Street, far from the greed and glory of high-stakes corporate take-over and and action trades.

Now, Walter's businesses are at the center of an investigation by US prosecutors into allegations that insurers be controlled not to other parts of his investment empire without disclosing linked-ribose loans.

This probe could further undermine confidence in a multi-fillion dollar private credit business that in the past decade has copied his strategy of tying insurance to alternative assets.

After growing up on a farm in Iowa and working accounting at Nebraska's Creighton University, Walter spent overrooming a finance company called Liberty Hampshire, which specialized in handling securities in the commercial paper marketplace that companies turn to for short-term cash.

In that niche market, Walter became an expert in squeezing out extra profits by managing large posts of short-term debt securities, perfecting skills that would be the foundation of his rise on Wall Street and beyond.

"Mark was always looking for arbitrage and inefficiencies," a former executive at one of Walter's companies told the FT. "He understood how to search assets and liabilities," the person added, referring to the complex task of properly managing interest rate risks while co-ordinating quickly maturing assets with new investing interest payments.

In the late 1990s, Walter and Liberty Hampshire were introduced to us, but in the Guggenheim he now behind the equestrianess measure in New York City, teaching the financier's belief that the mainstream of finance.

Walter and co-founders, including financier's Todd Reeley and Peter Lawson (blessies), a group of children's Guggenheim's business executive Partners in 1999 and the brokerage quickly became a giant on Wall Street, managing over $500mm in assets.

Walter's career took off during the 2000s, and he was known for directed Guggenheim into the always fast-borne insurance marketplace, spending an opportunity to take advantage of her gain reduction across the industry after the failure of industry giant AIG.

Guggenheim acquired large insurers in Kansas, Delaware and elsewhere as Walter and his analyst Todd Reeley ploughed billions of dollars of policy-holder liabilities into untraded assets that could not high returns.

The insurers were a powerful gold mine: unlike commercial paper markets, where assets could continue as soon as the following day, these insurers contained policies that would last many years or even decades.

While Guggenheim became a name for the company, Walter and Reeley catapulted into the spotlight with their $1.5bn acquisition of the Los Angeles Dodgers baseball team, a record-sports purchase and home that emerged off. The company's former market results right-handed between head from it during the bankruptcy of their prior owners, allowing Walter and Reeley to sign a TV deal that would pay them multiples assets, and a more powerful for Reeley.

When they handled that TV deal into a multibillion dollar debt security and sold it to banks and insurance groups – including new inside Guggenheim's empire – Walter and Reeley pulled out profits greater than their entire purchase price of the baseball team and

img-23.jpeg

LOAN TIER

Financer held talks with Apollo

Mark Walter held discussions with private investment giant Apollo Global Management about a multibillion-dollar loan against the Los Angeles Lakers stake in a sign of the billionaire's rush to raise cash this year.

The talk's lead place throughout the allowed and continued until former Disney chief executive Bob Iger and sentinars captured Jack Kushner offered to buy Walter's stake in the Lakers, according to people Reeley with the matter.

Walter's discussions with Apollo were overtaken by the deal announced last week under which the Guggenheim Partners chief executive agreed to sell his majority stake in the NBA basketball franchise at a $12.8bn valuation.

The sale secured chief capital as Walter's business empire came under interesting scrutiny.

Walter and his TWG Group are at the centre of a brewing controversy that is gripping Wall Street as federal, prosecutors examine whether the investment practices at the billionaire's sprawling insurance to assert management empire are compliant with US law.

After maturing subpoenas this year from US prosecutors, insurers controlled by Walter revealed that they had made more than $20bn in taxes to related parties without disclosing their connections to those licensees.

TWG is working to clean up the balance sheets of its insurance subsidiaries, according to people with knowledge of the matter, as part of a plan against with regulations.

In addition to calling the Lakers, Walter is also in talks to offhand his stake in Chelsea Football Club, the English Premier League team. Walter also controls the US Major League Baseball team at Dodgers, making him one of the most influential people in global

sports. Delaware's Be one of the insurers Walter controls, discussed on Tuesday that it had reached an agreement to exchange $6.5bn in assets linked to TWG corporate inflation for unrelated investments.

The many issues: Delaware's Be, along with private's trade in provided by TWG, with more than $50bn in affiliated investments.

The scrutiny of TWG has raised questions about a multibillion-dollar private investment industry that has increasingly adopted Walter's model of paving insurance capital with alternative investments.

Walter is the co-founder and chief executive of TWG Group and Guggenheim, which owns the equestrianess investment bank and asset manager overseeing $24.7bn.

His strategy, which included channeling money from insurers into more upstage and leader-to-raiser assets, has been echoed across the private investment industry.

The investments, such as the Lakers, are widely considered to be rather than the corporate and government bonds that often fill insurance balance sheets, providing retirees potentially lucrative returns but with greater downside risk.

Representatives for TWG and Reeley did not respond to requests for comment. Apollo and Guggenheim declined to say.

Separately, a Guggenheim unit was set to hand a call with some of its borders yesterday, with investors hoping for insight into an unexpected revenue decline in the second quarter from a year ago, two people briefed on the matter said. The drop was held a part to change in when the Guggenheim unit accounted for some of its revenues, one person said. But Platt Sun Yu, Oliver Barnes, about Porsche Atlas, Lee Harris and All Shah

resolved were cadets they more insurers. "He already had Guggenheim Partners at that point, but he went from being the head of the archdiocese of New York to becoming the paper," said the co-executive of Walter's model.

As Walter and Reeley posted the strategy of buying security and the insurance companies and lending their alternative assets such as sports, film and television distribution rights from other companies they managed, their profits in business and thefts went clear.

Reeley, who later took over one of Guggenheim's insurers and spun it out of the bookkeeping, is now an owner of Chelsea FC, acclaimed movie production studio A20 and high-end properties in Beverly Hills and Miami.

Walter assembled a business empire worth billions of dollars and eventually bought the Los Angeles Lakers basketball team for $100m. This year, he earned a White House certificate on 4th US President Donald Trump after the Dodgers won the World Series.

Yet while Reeley recently placed the cover of Forbes magazine as one of America's 60th richest people, Walter has been one of his own most secretive financiers, rarely speaking to the press.

Walter's strategy was seen replicated by the most powerful on Wall Street. Rivals such as Apollo, KKB and Brookfield have bought life insurers and rotated their investments into private, illegal loans, often organized by other businesses they own.

The private capital firms can capture investment profits over protected pay outs to policyholders and invest in long-dated, often hard-to-value assets. Cal lechrist's three firsts were manage more than $1bn in insurance assets.

To Walter, according to the former colleague, this was "further proof that the kid from this different get them first", beating the titans of Wall Street into one of the decade's general codes.

As competitors have emerged, Wal-

Mark Walter, whose sports assets include the Los Angeles Dodgers baseball team, has been one of his own most secretive financiers

The private capital firms are the first to be a good deal with the bank and the bank.

ter's multiplying network of holding companies within his insurance-funded empire has heraldified some of New York's most aspirate and insurers.

For years, Guggenheim has fought all allegations of still dealing from internal whistleblowers and lawsuits, which have alleged that its insurers had no better capital to share.

Now, it is Walter's empire that is facing scrutiny. In June, invest the insurers Walter on to assist his umbrella company TWG, which also houses his stake in Guggenheim, disclosed that they had failed to identify more than $100m in related-party assets.

They have been moving to restructure or sell large results of these investments, which are linked to other part of Walter's investment empire, to avoid ratings downgrade that would threaten the financial standing of the insurers.

These potential conflicts were unsuspecting to people who had previously worked with the firm, multiple former advisers to Guggenheim told the FT, who said its well-of-overlapping subsubsidies was already evident when Guggenheim pushed into insurance.

The private capital industry is now worried that a scandal regarding Walter's insurers could last double about how millions of dollars of investments funds are being managed by private capital groups, spoiling the party.

While the issues at Walter's insurers could control over many months, one top insurance adviser said their new disclosures posed longer-term risks over their capital position.

The law with Walter's companies, the lawyer added, was that "we pull one thread and the whole thing anyway."

TWG Global said it and "Guggenheim have created tremendous value for clients and shareholders and done so for more than 50 years within the stringent conditions of some of the most highly regulated industries in the U.S."

Jan FT View

Transport

Mideast conflict and low water levels drive surge in shipping costs amid supply chain fears

ALTERNATIVES — LONDON

The cost of shipping goods through many of the world's maritime chain-provoking countries is the past month due to new and modern change, leading fears of higher consumer costs and underlining concerns about the fragility of global supply chains.

The dual impact of conflict and low water levels caused by long periods of drought in Europe and Latin America has pushed up rates along key shipping routes including the Panama Canal, the Rhine, the Red Sea and Black Sea to record highs, according to pricing agency Argos.

The continuing conflict in the Middle East, which has all but shut the front of the state to shipping, is also having ripple effects worldwide as events remain to the long-term energy supplies. About one fifth of the world's oil and gas previously passed through the waterway out of the Gulf.

"This is something which is unprecedented," said Alexander Iovovs, chief executive of Belgrad shipping company CMR Tech, of the "brightness house."

Exclusive would reach to shut down or source goods from "more expensive parts of the world," he said.

Rates for shipping of from the Gulf to Asia hit $15.22 per barrel on August 10 because of the General situation in South Arabia-linked tankers attempting to transit the Badr at Abdullah Street, according to Argos. the highest level since the agency began assuming the rate of 2015.

In the Black Sea, bright rates for tankers into the Mediterranean were also at their highest this week since at least 2005. At the same time, after to sail through the Bahamas Canal from 100 record highs thanks to falling water levels resulting from the intense $370bn weather system and high levels of traffic – a knock-on impact of the conflict in the Middle East.

Shipping prices have spiked at many trade chokepoints

img-24.jpeg

Source: Argos/Walter's "Twitter" page capacity, President Iovovs.

Prices to get through both sets of locks on the Panama Canal, which are designed to cater to different-cord ships, hit words of $5.1mm and $2.3mm this month, the highest since August records began.

Meanwhile, droughts across Europe have caused water levels in the Rhine, a critical river serving Germany's heavy industry in 160 perhundred tons. Freight rates for herge up the Rhine to Europe, Hamburg, Frankfurt and Karlsruhe have reached their highest levels since 2012.

This is without doubt the single greatest disruption that the shipping market has seen in record, shipping the Covid pandemic and Russia sanctions," said John Hlink, head of Europe freight prices at Argos.

The trend has been similar to the container shipping market. Average spot rates for container freight going from the Far East to the US East Coast, for example, are also up 25.6 per cent year

on year to $10,249 per 40-foot container.

"The disruption caused by only the Middle East is becoming a deep set and also to strengthen the off-charge areas any time soon," said Peter Lund, chief analyst at Norwegian analytics company Iovovs.

Costs would be passed through the supply chain, he added.

The leverage that has has exerted over the front of the市场, about which it is now negotiating a deal with Oman that could involve ships paying for passage, has increased more worldwide about the fragility of waterways crucial to global trade.

"Chokepoints are becoming more critical largely because smaller countries now recognize the disproportionate political and economic leverage they can world over global trade as an increasingly multi-polar world," said Henry Cretz, head of research at ship-broker firearms.


10

•

FINANCIAL TIMES

Thursday 20 August 2024

COMPANIES & MARKETS

Bank

Revolut seeks to lift chief's loan limit

Fintech proposes allowing Stornsky to borrow up to $250mn against his stake

ELIZABETH KISUM, DAVID FOY AND LATTAL KHALAF • LONDON

Revolut has proposed increasing the amount chief executive Nik Stornsky can borrow against his stake in the British football to $250mn in a move that would allow the billionaire to accumulate cash as the group's valuation starts.

Europe's most valuable start-up words to investors last week seeking approval for the increase, while also preparing to choose a common investment in a general for larger share pledges, according to documents reviewed by the FT.

The proposed changes come as Revolut's surging valuation has transformed Stornsky's personal fortune, making him one of the UK's richest people, though the vast majority of his wealth is tied up in the share in the British.

Under Revolut's governing documents, employees owning more than 20 per cent of its ordinary shares – a threshold met only by Stornsky – can pledge upon 40 per cent of their holdings as security for borrowing from another bank's without bond approval.

They can pledge a fee that 1 per cent with the backing of a majority of directors. The current articles limit Stornsky's borrowing against his shares to $250mn.

The new proposed articles of association, drawn up as part of an exercise cofounded "Project Sharm", would raise that cap to $250mn and remove

the limits on the proportion of shares that can be pledged, giving Stornsky's greater freedom to unlock the value of his stake without reducing his holdings.

The changes would also expand the classes of shares that could be used as collateral.

Revolut was founded in London in 2011, and its valuation has soared at the fintech has rapidly expanded internationally, assuming 70mn customers. Its pre-tax profits last year rose by more than half to £4.7bn on revenues of £4.3bn.

According to a person familiar with the matter, Stornsky never about 20 per cent of the group, which was valued at £1.0bn in an employee secondary share risk (unaudited last month).

Revolut has previously signalled that it is aiming to be worth $250bn at a potential public listing, which execu-

tives have said would not take place before 2026.

Stornsky has said his incentive package could increase his stake to about 40 per cent if Revolut reaches a $250bn valuation. At that level, his holdings would be worth about $80bn, putting him among the world's richest people.

He is now in discussions over a new pay deal that would further increase his ownership if Revolut reaches a valuation of about $350bn.

A big share over Stornsky's purchase of a $250mn superfund has highlighted how his stake is Revolut has catapulted that into the ranks of the world's superrads.

One person familiar with the proposed changes said "the previous [borrowing] threshold was not years ago when Revolut was a function of its current size", and that a $250mn cap repre-

sented "an exceptionally low borrowing limit" on Stornsky's equity stake. The person called that the proposed articles "do not reflect any borrowing that has taken place or any intention to borrow".

Stornsky could still exceed the new $250mn borrowing cap if approved by the company's board and 75 per cent of shareholders, the person said.

Revolut said it routinely updated its articles of association to ensure its "corporate governance and administrative provisions reflect the current scale and valuation of the business".

"The current update covers a range of technical and administrative provisions. Among them, the share pledge limit would be brought up to date, replacing an unstated threshold with a defined cap, and any borrowing under it remains subject to applicable regulatory requirements," it said.

Technology

US private equity firm to take over Pinewood

WILLIAM BRAUN AND ELIZABETH KISU, LONDON

UK software group Pinewood Technology has agreed at £3.5bn to take over by US private equity firms in Edgerton Province, months after 1998 beyond group Aqua withdrew its offer over fears of A$1 impact on software companies.

Edgerton will pay 440p in cash for each Pinewood share, a provision of 41 per cent over the closing share price on July 25, the day before the firm made its interest public.

The deal values the Birmingham-based company that develops software for car dealership at less than Agas1 £37.5mn, or 500p a share, after earlier this year. Pinewood's shares fell sharply after Agas withdrew from the deal, hitting close of 100p in April.

The company is a former division of Prodragon, which said its main cut deal on big business to LibSain 2025.

The deal offers a sign of life in the software market, albeit at lower valuations. Deshending in the sector largely died earlier this year after investors shed software stocks on fears around A$1 impact on their business models.

Private equity firms bought up results of groups to debt further beyond its the years before the firm was born in 2012. London remained a happy hunting ground for such deals in recent years, however, including Thoma Branch £4.3bn purchase of hardware in 2024.

The Pinewood agreement is also the latest in a range of deals involving foreign buyers targeting London-based groups. Companies such as zanzjes, logos and brands have all agreed take-aware by foreign buyers in recent months.

Edgerton plans to work with Pinewood on a "stop change in technology investment – particularly in data and A$1 driven innovation", the groups said in a statement, and to expand its software platform across North America.

Agas withdrew its offer in February, shortly after the new chief European lypur, or sell off its software sector shares, which had been triggered by the release of new A$1 technology.

img-25.jpeg

Europe push Chery to set up research centre in UK

A Chery assembly line in China. The launch of an R&D centre would be followed by manufacturing in the UK, according to the group's UK chief executive. - AP/AP/AP/AP/AP

Chinese caretaker Chery will open a research and development facility for passenger vehicles in the UK as the owner of brands and Jaccus brands expands its presence in the market.

The move comes as the Chinese group pushes into Europe. In February Chery announced the launch of its Lepus brand, designed specifically for European markets. The group also signed a deal with Nissan in June to manufacture its vehicles in the Japanese caretaker's standard facility.

The launch of an R&D centre for passenger cars would be an important step in localising its operations, which would be followed by manufacturing in the UK, said Gary Lan, chief executive of Chery International UK, at the FT Future of the UK Summit in May.

The facility was "the next step to our long-term plan for the UK", and Lan is a statement yesterday. "We waited over 20 years for the right time to enter this market, and our ambition has always

gone much further than simply bringing vehicles here."

Chery said the facility would open its late autumn. Under a redefining memorandum of understanding, Nissan is looking to start producing the Chinese group's vehicles at Amsterdam from next year.

Chery, which also owns its

The group says it has long-term ambitions to recruit local talent and create new jobs at the hub

sponsored in Europe, is one of the fastest-growing Chinese caretakers in the UK.

In July, Chery and its friends and Jaccus brands took almost 8 per cent of the UK market share – up from 5 per cent last year, according to the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders. Other Chinese automakers including

BYD, Gerly and Xiaomi are also expanding rapidly into the European car market.

The new R&D facility will be built within VTA/ NEBSmark, a vehicle testing and development centre in Netherlands. The area is a hub for engineering and manoeuvre and home to several automotive R&D facilities.

Research will focus on how to calibrate the company's service the UK's driving conditions and, eventually, autonomous driving and artificial intelligence.

The group said it had long-term ambitions to recruit local talent and create new, high-drifted jobs at the R&D hub.

Chery said about 380,000 vehicles globally in July, and expects reached 202,000, up 70 per cent year on year, making it the first Chinese automaker to export more than 200,000 in a month. - Biggin Health

Travel & leisure

Virgin Atlantic and Trainline investigated over fears of 'drip pricing'

FRANK KELLY

The UK's competition watching has been held a probe into three companies including Trainline and Virgin Atlantic over concerns about so-called drip pricing, where changes are added later in the buying process.

The competition and Markets Authority announced the investigation yesterday into the trade ticket booking platform and airline alongside Red Driving School over concerns that customers were not shown the total price upfront.

Drip pricing can give consumers the false impression that one company is cheaper than a rival and therefore hamper competition, the regulates said.

"At a time when many households are watching every pound they spend, it is important that people are not surprised to take into what booking main and coach tickets, holiday or driving lessons," said Robert McNutt, executive director for consumer protection at the CMA.

"The first price customers are should be the price they pay," she added.

The latest probes follow the CMA's action against the ticket seller Shalchah earlier this year.

In June, the regulator ordered the

As households are watching 'every pound they spend, it is important that people are not surprised to extra fees'

company, which runs a secondary market but not a secondary market. The company, which runs a secondary market but not a secondary market. The company, which runs a secondary market but not a secondary market.

If the CMA finds there have been infringements, it can order businesses to pay compensation to customers and issue fines of up to 10 per cent of their global turnover.

In a statement requesting to the investigation, Trainline said that it had "proactively engaged" with the CMA and was "taking steps to enhance the presentation of certain fees".

"We will continue to work constructively with the CMA to ensure our customer experience remains both transparent and compliant," it said.

Shares in Trainline, the only one of the three companies that is listed, left 14 per cent at Lander yesterday.

Virgin Atlantic said: "We take our responsibility to customers incredibly seriously and we always want to ensure they can make an informed decision when booking a holiday without the need for a new

"Mandatory fees are indicated at multiple stages throughout the booking process," it added. "We are reviewing the points raised by the CMA carefully and will co-operate fully with its investigation."

In a statement, Red Driving School expressed "disappointment to have been included in a wider investigation into drip pricing".

It added: "As an organisation we have been ... working closely with the CMA as we take ... our obligations under consumer law with around house and ambulance. We look forward to continued engagement to support the CMA to a swift conclusion of this investigation."

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© 2024 The UK


Thursday 20 August 2020

1

FINANCIAL TIMES

11

COMPANIES & MARKETS

Currencies. Capital Flows

Kazakh tenge jumps as global traders pile into sovereign debt

img-27.jpeg

High interest rates attract

investors despite Ukrainian

attacks disrupting oil exports

JOSEPH GUTIERL | LINCOLN

WILLIAM JOHNSON | CREEK NEWS

Kazakhstani's tenge has become the best performing currency in Europe and runs this year as global investors buy the central Asian nation's domestic debt despite recent Ukrainian domestic attacks that disrupted oil exports through those.

The tenge has gained 9.7 per cent against the US dollar so far in 2016, surpassing oil but a handful of Latin American and African currencies, as double-digit interest rates in central Asia's largest economy have drawn in foreign asset strategies.

"It's a really strong fundamental story ... people want to diversify their portfolios," said John Gekkinos, head of emerging markets fixed income at UCF Capital Partners, during that Kazakh bonds have become easier to buy and trade.

Kazakhstani currency has strengthened as foreign holdings of single-denominated government bonds have risen to 80% as par under a result of the total, as of June compared with about 82% a year ago.

Investors have also been drawn in by Kazakhstan's high interest rates relative to many other economies, despite recent cuts.

The central bank reduced its base rate to 70.2 per cent in July, the second cut in two months from a recent peak of 28 per cent, after central inflation fell from about 15 per cent last September to

about 10 per cent in June. This month, Ukraine's deficit attacks on shipping at a Kossian Block but terminal stock is a major report gateway for the country's oil following a request from US independent 20 Vance, Ukrainian officials said the FY.

The increasingly intense attacks caused those at the terminal in July, threatening the subjects of a more than handfuls more Kazakh oil exports.

While Kazakhstan's currency is often seen as a tenethtary of higher oil prices, the tonight rise this year. To mostly related to capital flows rather than trade flows, said Dmitry Stegin, chief economist for Russia and US countries at PIE.

Inflows have accelerated since Kazakhstan set out plan in April to connect its domestic government bonds to Euro-class the international clearing system, which makes it easier to trade securities.

"The most active inflation have been to recent months," Stegin said, as officials have made far more market information available and the central bank has

kept even much higher than inflation. "All of that is contributing to higher interest by foreign investors in the domestic market," he added.

Gekkinos said: "We have seen quite a bit of pick-up this year. I'm foreign holdings of Kazakh bonds. From that access will most likely increase the attraction."

As usual in greater with less in the Russian economy, Kazakhstan is also seen by some investors as an energy producing alternative to Russia, which became an international boost growth after its 2022 iteration of Ukraine.

But Clemens Grafe, co-head of CIE-90A Economics at Goldman Sachs, said the country's appeal to foreign capital was not as a plus on off-price.

"Most [Kazakh] oil is produced by foreign companies so when the off-price goes up, most of that extra oil income goes less these foreign oil companies or ... into foreign assets hold in the oil fund, rather than the Kazakh economy," he said.

Kazakhstan also has an investment grade credit rating, unlike countries

Bridging the gap: investors have been drawn in by Kazakhstan's high interest rates relative to many other countries

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neck as Egypt and Nigeria whose currencies offer double-digit yields but just off investors who cannot hold junk-rated assets.

Kazakhstan is ultimately aiming for inclusion in a 1998-year benchmark, known as the UK 100, that covers domestic currency bonds across big emerging markets.

The US bank is also working on an index just for frontier markets where Kazakhstan's bonds would make up 8 per cent if they were included, the central bank said in July.

Foreign direct investment, which rebounds the 80, this is the first quarter, has provided additional support for the currency.

"The government has looked to become a transit hub for goods moving from China to Europe as an alternative source of income other than oil.

"They're putting a lot of money and a lot of it having a market into transport infrastructure," said Grafe.

Roche Invest, a food manager at Asia Frontier Capital, was known in the country's equity markets, said "Kazakhstani is benefiting from China's trends of goods into Europe."

China and the US are increasingly vying for influence in Kazakhstan, Deua and Washington, saw China making investments in Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan. The US wants to have a foothold to the region."

In August, Kazakhstan signed $100bn deal with Artoba and Fezhnits in build that centre in the country.

"They are landlocked between China and Russia," said Asia Hopkins, a research analyst at City CLIA. "They don't want to be forbidden to either of them as they're inviting more capital."

Retail

Target profits double after $1bn refund from tariffs

GREGORY MEYER | NEW YORK

US states market retailer Target reported higher second-quarter profits alongside a $1bn refund from President Donald Trump's scheduled tariffs, revealing early fruits of a turnaround plan that aims to lower prices and keep shelves full.

Some store sales rose by 5.8 per cent in the quarter ending on August 1, the second straight quarter of gains for the market after three years of fall to do the big growth, the company said yesterday.

The two was slower than in the first quarter when Target's same-store sales rose by 5.6 per cent.

Company veteran Michael Feldsher took over as chief executive in February with a row to spread up stores and its supply chain problems that led to customer complaints about empty shelves.

He has helped restore Target's reputation for affordable chic — in June, he named fashion designer Issa. Marcela acts first creative director at large.

The results of pre-on increasing confidence that the investment we continue to make, all in service of our strategy, will support continued growth on bank our top and bottom line," Feldsher told analysts.

Target, which imports significant amounts of merchandise from revenue, reported a $990mn pre-tax boost because of volume from US tariffs.

'Management's efforts

around value, newness

and differentiation

appear to be resonating

which were constructed by the US Supreme Court in February.

Jim Lee, chief financial officer, said the state made up a 'significant supply' to be imported itself without.

Other big US retailers have also reported substantial tariff adjustments. U.S. stock cross-cases including 12 Years and Greatest units, and yesterday that it received $15.1mn in refunds during the quarter, while Union Depot got back $600mn.

Target said it had held down prices to offset the impact of tariffs on consumers in 2020. This year it has reduced prices for more than 20,000 items amid frustrations with the cost of living.

"We think it matters to consumers right now," Feldsher said.

Lower prices may have helped drive designers back to Target's more than 2,000 items, and the most comparable traffic increased by 5.6 per cent in the quarter while the average purchase size rose by 0.2 per cent.

Net sales rose 5.3 per cent to $26.8bn, beating Wall Street expectations, according to survey of analysis by Yulike Alpha. The volume doubled to $6.9bn, bounty by the tariff refund and an improved operating margin due to 'abnormal machines'," the year before.

Target also raised revenue and profit problems for the new US shares rose 5.8 per cent in after-taxing results.

"Management's efforts around value, newness and differentiation appear to be resonating," said Corey Tudnow, an analyst at prftimes.

We need to rethink how we pay for such a vital resource like water

img-28.jpeg

Just before Hallowson in 2015, a fledgling ride leading start-up named 'Over problems', a long introducing users to a concept in called 'surge pricing'.

In response to the huge demand from partypers, 'Over ride fees would increase by up to 200 per cent in apartment drivers into action.

This would mean customers didn't end up "alone at home while the numbers aren't increased too", wrote the credit executive Travis Kalantka.

Should UK water consumers focus for something similar? The past few days have seen a flurry of headlines about future 'surge pricing' in the world.

Regulation are considering allowing new billing structures that could mean higher charges for heavy use and permitting suppliers to use water scarcity as classes in UK calculations - grouping speculation about rate hikes during

periods of drought. The story comes at a delicate moment.

The UK has been enduring one of its worst droughts in recent history, prompting Prime Minister Andy Raye's home label the country's 'Vodafone'.

Separately, discontent with its privi-tized water companies has been reaching new heights after years of multi-zone infrastructure investment that has left widespread, scourge spills.

Often, the water regulator, said claims that suppliers could abruptly increase prices during a drought were 'sungly wrong'.

The media coverage, it said, had mis-represented angiographic above changing structures "that help customers save water and, in many cases, save money".

Water UK, the sector's trade group, gave a planless response to suggestions that the potential new billing systems will be another way for companies to find their products.

Water companies' revenue is capped by the regulates of production, meaning that any changes in fees would really care the cost burden among customers rather than increasing the aggregate amount they pay.

While it said, with water company had proposed raising the cost of water

during droughts, it added that the sector needed to 'engross better and more modern ways of charging for water' as the country faces dwindling supplies in the coming decades.

This sector has done much to curb the public distrust it now faces, in the 57 years since Margaret Thatcher privi-tized the 10 regional water authorities in England and Europe. The sector has paid out tens of billions to investors while woefully undercovering its infrastructure with costs undisputable costs.

But on the need for pricing reform, the water companies have spilled.

More than a quarter of groundwater bodies in England and Wales are currently being exploited at an annualized life rate, according to government estimates.

Climate change is adding to the problem, worsening droughts while also shortening the 'recharge season' during which groundwater and reservoirs are replenished by heavy rain.

Without action, the government said, the country could face a public water supply deficit of up to 8% from per day within 30 years.

Similar problems, and for worse ones, we faced around the world — as was made starkly clear by a 2024 report

from the Commission on the Economics of Water, an international report group with ex-chairs including World Trade Organization head Nigeria Bungu Bunda and Ghana scientist John Roe Burton.

It argued that higher prices for water are needed, warning that "the widespread underpicting of water today encourages its profligate use across the economy."

Crucially, it noted, pricing reforms must be carefully targeted to reduce

'If you look at the distribution of water use, there's a long tail of very, very high usage'

wanted consumption by heavy water authorities than minimizing low-income households who already struggle to afford basic services.

Water authorities in much of the workforce already being probably moving towards so-called increasing block tariffs, whereby larger amounts of water consumption come at a progressively chingering.

The approach is now, instantly, being explored in England and Wales, where

water providers have been running trials of new pricing schemes with other's encouragement.

Afficial Water, for example, has tried as a model for some of its customers in south east England with such house-hold pricing. Model flows a year for five (the country's average household water consumption is about 130,000 litres a year).

Usage beyond the free allowance was charged in a progressively rising rate. In part, South West Water, has been experiencing with a model that it said would reduce 50% for 90 per cent of customers while raising them for the heaviest users.

"If you look at the distribution of water use, there's a long tail of very, very high usage," said Mike Kell, chief executive of the Consumer Council for Water, an independent public body that represents water and sewerage users in England and Wales. "In the general case, how do you point the rise really high rates?"

Boughty a third of households, he added, still do not make water reform, instead paying a flat fee linked to the use of their property — giving them an economic incentive to restrain their consumption.

As for surge pricing during droughts,

clearly it cannot range new water supply rates the system like a saddest jump in rates can pull their drivers into action.

Both clubs threat and Water UK sales in such measures were being contemplated, they can be an effective way of managing demand, according to a recent study on emergency risk behavior. California, California.

Household water rates are clearly just one part of this problem. Refusal water was call for serious government action to strengthen standards and drive the necessary investment in infrastructure.

Internationally, the CEW report high. Sighted the office per cent policy incentives around water use for agriculture and industry, which can be more water than households in most major economies.

But the way we price this vital resource, whether for household or business users, is long overdue a rethink.

The fact that this argument is being championed by Britain's much derided water sector should it deny it drawing.

A version of this article first appeared in the World Water newsletter. Sign up at 8.am.besadget


12

•

FINANCIAL TIMES

Thursday 20 August 2024

COMPANIES & MARKETS

Unit labour costs are the key inflation signal for investors

Richard Clarida Markets Insight

The early weeks of Kevin Wankle's turn in short of the US Federal Reserve, there has been renewed focus on how "underlying" inflation should be measured to guide decisions on interest rates.

Common inflation measures, including the Fed's preferred personal consumption expenditure price index, have been above the control limit 1.2 per cent target for 5% years.

But at least some of this reflects higher energy prices and tariffs, which should not be the future for an ongoing source of underlying inflation.

Neither tariffs nor objectives might be forever. And in the case of the latter, the futures market signals all prices are expected to be lower over the next year.

In how should yield numbers look at the underlying trend? Many popular measures of this are based solely on price data itself.

For example, "core" inflation strips out food and energy prices, "intended mean" measures and statistics of methods to strip away outliers in price changes, and "sticky price" inflation indices filter out the prices of goods whose prices adjust frequently.

While each of the measures has something to offer, all walks from the same problem – the signal is always from the labour market and, in particular, wage gains adjusted for productivity growth.

This is odd. In the US, labour compensation adjusted for productivity (referred to as unit labour costs) historically accounts for about 60 per cent of value added to the non-financial corporate sector.

In the postwar US data, all previous episodes of sustained and rising price inflation – including the 1960s, 1970s and 2020s – have been accompanied by

sustained and stringent cost inflation. And all the times when inflation fell for lengthy periods – including the 1960s, 1990s and 2020s – have been accompanied by bills in cash cost inflation.

This is not a coincidence. Indeed, in the workhorse theoretical models used by many central banks, unit cost inflation is a key input along with expected future price inflation.

There are of course "shocks" such as those on energy or import prices as well as profit margins. Benefits in much those are important but over the workhorse term – say three to five years – the underlying trend on prices tends to

The Fed may decide it needs to raise rates but not because too many people are working

track unit cost and expected inflation reasonably closely.

This brings us to today. Using a four-year average to smooth out shocks and noise, the most recent data, released earlier this month, coves that unit cost inflation over the past four years has averaged 2 per cent and during the past year is running at 1.5 per cent.

This pace is actually running at or a bit below the measure of underlying inflation in 2018. Whether the pandemic when measures of rising prices were at or below the Fed's 2 per cent target.

Importantly, unit cost inflation is falling for two reasons – wage inflation is reducing and productivity growth is rising.

Indeed, over the past 12 months, average hourly earnings have risen at

img-29.jpeg

the slowest pace in seven years and measures of underlying productivity growth are increasing at the fastest pace in seven these decades.

Although forecasting is hard – especially about the future – it is reasonable to expect underlying unit cost inflation to continue to rise at or below the 2 per cent pace consistent with the Fed's target.

Employment growth has been sluggish for some time and the unemployment rate has been falling for the wrong reason – declining prime age labour force participation.

If anything, it is plausible to expect productivity growth to rise in coming years as AI is deployed and diffused more broadly in the economy.

Indeed, the debate among experts is not whether AI will boost productivity above the current pace but by how much.

Which brings us back to the Watch Fed and the focus on underlying inflation. The labour market is not a source of underlying inflation today.

Actual inflation is running above the 2 per cent target for other reasons, which today include increases in computer chip and electricity prices pushed up by the hyperscale investment boom.

Moreover, unlike in previous business cycle expansions when labour's share of national income has tended to rise, in recent years it has been falling.

Inflation remains too high and the Fed may decide it needs to raise rates – perhaps to keep inflation expectations anchored – but not because too many people are working.

Richard Clarida is former vice-chair of the US Federal Reserve and global economic adviser at Pitex.

The day in the markets

What you need to know

  • Treasury department's business boost Wall Street stocks and bonds
  • Announcement parties the dollar doses with gains for the cars and sterling
  • Oil loss for fourth consecutive day on scepticism over a 30/10 of Horrisco deal

Wall Street stocks and bonds rose attention as investors reacted to a Treasury department announcement that it would boost its husbands of long-term (20 government debt)

The blue-ring S&P 500 index gained 0.1 per cent by lunchtime in New York with the tech-heavy Reuters 0.01 index up 0.1 per cent following an earlier sell-off in chip stocks.

The Treasury said it was "increasing by at least double the rate of liquidity support business operations" for bonds, maturing in 10 to 20 years and 20 to 30 years.

The announcement sparked a rally in long-stand US debt. Totals in 20 and 10 Treasures, which had risen to 0.1 (upset level since 2007 a day earlier, fell 9 basis points to 0.9 per cent amid higher buying. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield fell 7.8p to 6.4b per cent.

The Treasury announcement pushed the dollar down 0.8 per cent against a stable 10 currencies with Gallup. Saismith of Deutsche Bank FX Research meeting that "the more these currencies are perceived as deteriorancy to market (bond) pricing, the more the dollar is likely to weaken"

Once, Jeffrey Head of macro strategy at UDR said the business announcement was "part of a pattern of attempts (by the Financial) to relieve some of the upward

Long-dated Treasury yields fall sharply

img-30.jpeg

pressure on long-dated yields", which included its intervention to boost the Japanese yen under this month.

Other government bonds called along with the US after the Treasury announcement. Totals on 20-year UDRs fell 3.8p (0.05 to 5.7b per cent).

Another stated girls were also supported by UK inflation data, which showed little evidence of high energy prices passing their advices during inflationary pressures.

The two-year gift yield, which is truly sensitive to interest rate expectations, was 3bp lower at 4.3b per cent.

Other assets rose following the announcement with gold up 3.7 per cent to $6,400 per ton a year.

European stock markets were little changed. The year-registered Dimex Europe 600 slipped 0.5 per cent which, underto FTSZ 100 benchmark rose 0.1 per cent.

The euro gained 0.8 per cent to $150.00 against the dollar while the pound was up 3.6 per cent to $1,800.

Oil loss for a fourth consecutive day as investors grew more sceptical at a 5-year off-horizon deal. Global benchmark (base) gained 13 per cent to $92.3b per barrel. Habibition Wright and Emily Herbert

Markets update

US Eurozone Japan UK China Brazil
Shares S&P 500 Eurofror 200 Value 220 FTSE 100 Shanghai Group Average
Level 7.6p 2.6p 4.0p 12.4p 38.6p 50.0p
% change on day -0.15 -0.09 -0.16 0.16 0.45 0.63
Currency $ index (CNY) $ per € Yen per S $ per € Yen per S Real per S
Level 98.92 7.9p 9.8p 7.5p 6.7p 5.7p
% change on day -0.76 0.69 -0.74 0.66 -0.9 -0.92
Stock bonds 10-year Treasury 10-year World 10-year JDR 10-year SDI 10-year Bond 10-year Bond
Yield 4.65 3.3b 2.8b 3.0b 1.5b 1.7b
Basic gains margin at day -0.06 -0.03 -0.06 -0.06 0.03 -0.02
Market/Commodity FTSE A4 World UK - Brent UK - B11 Gold Other Middle (LPR,SE)
Level 0.6p 0.2p 0.3p 0.4p 0.6p 0.7p
% change on day 0.05 -0.02 1.0p 2.0p 2.0p 1.2p

Main equity markets

S&P 500 Eurofror 300 FTSE 100
Yield 2.4p 2.4p 2.4p
Basic gains margin at day -0.06 -0.06 -0.06
Market/Commodity FTSE A4 World UK - Brent Gold
Level 0.6p 0.6p 0.6p
% change on day -0.06 -0.06 -0.06
Market/Commodity FTSE A4 World UK - Brent Gold
Level 0.6p 0.6p 0.6p
% change on day -0.06 -0.06 -0.06

Biggest movers

US Eurozone UK
Low Lunar 0.6p 0.6p 0.6p
Medic 6.5p 0.6p 0.6p 0.6p
Securities 0.6p 0.6p 0.6p
American Hiring 0.6p 0.6p 0.6p
Toy Maze 0.6p 0.6p 0.6p
Goodfries Major 0.6p 0.6p 0.6p
Low Research 0.6p 0.6p 0.6p
Medic 6.5p 0.6p 0.6p 0.6p
Medic 6.5p 0.6p 0.6p 0.6p
Medic 6.5p 0.6p 0.6p 0.6p
Medic 6.5p 0.6p 0.6p 0.6p

Financials

Singapore unveils tax cuts for asset managers amid global talent tussle

GREENWOOD, UDR - UNCOFFEE

Singapore has unveiled a package of incentives to entice asset managers as the city-state responds to tax breaks being implemented by regional rival Hong Kong and the sector's global talent tussle.

The Rosemary Authority of Singapore (RAS) yesterday said it planned to remove the tax paid by investment professionals relating to profits from fund management services.

The move has the potential to be wider reaching than the tax cuts on carried interest being brought in by HongKong.

The Singapore regulator also said it would set up an international programme to provide hedge fund managers operating in Singapore with capital while becoming less expensive to be senior fund management staff.

"We do need to take a look at what is happening in the global landscape in reviewing and adjusting our own policies," said Choe Hong Tat, Singapore's

minister for national development and deputy chair of the RAS.

Fund management hubs such as London, New York and India as competing for a global talent base that is increasingly mobile.

Hong Kong sparked the latest round of competition with sweeping tax changes to its rules on carried interest

"We need to look at what is happening in the global landscape in reviewing and adjusting our policies"

that could allow asset managers to earn their performance from low of any tax. The proposals have been described as being a "big bang" of industry reforms

Central interest reform is the share of the profit in a private equity fund – about 20 per cent – that grants the general partner managing the fund after retirement and a certain health cut.

The FT reported last month that his

gigover was in talks with fund management groups about rolling out its own tax reforms for the industry to response to Hong Kong's moves as incentives warned of a potential event and a high-paid manager to the Chinese territory.

The Alternative Investment Management Association has warned the RAS that several of its hedge fund and private equity members in Singapore were considering moving senior staff to Hong Kong to benefit from increasing tax cuts.

The lobby group called on the regulator to make a statement of its intention to encourage fund managers to stay in the city state with incentives.

The RAS did not detail the measures, such as how much it would invest in the hedge fund or what the tax breaks would cost, saying more information about the tax changes would be revealed at next year's budget.

People with knowledge of the measures said the exemptions would potentially be open to a broader wealth of investment workers than those being introduced in Hong Kong.

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Thursday 10th August 2016

•

KIRKMAN, SIMON

13

MARKET DATA

WORLD MARKETS BY A GLANCE

FTC ON MARKET DATA

Change during previous day (1 during 1)

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STORE SHOP 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100

img-33.jpeg

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STORE SHOP 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100

img-35.jpeg

SHOWING POINTS (SHEET)

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74

•

FINANCIAL TIMES

Thursday, 29 August 2024

MARKET DATA

BY GLOBAL SOA, THE WORKING LARGEST COMPANIES

Year 1998 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Year Avg. SD Year Avg. SD Year Avg. SD Year Avg. SD Year Avg. SD Year Avg. SD
Australia 2000
All Countries 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
Asia 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00
China 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,101 1,101 1.00 1.00 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00 2,100 1,100 0.00

NATIONAL STATES OFFICIAL

State 1998 2000
Total Percent SD Total Percent SD
U.S. 1,000 0.00 0.00 1,000 0.00 0.00
U.S. 1,000 0.00 0.00 1,000 0.00 0.00
U.S. 1,000 0.00 0.00 1,000 0.00 0.00
U.S. 1,000 0.00 0.00 1,000 0.00 0.00
U.S. 1,000 0.00 0.00 1,000 0.00 0.00
U.S. 1,000 0.00 0.00 1,000 0.00 0.00

NATIONAL STATES, MARKET

State 1998 2000
Total Percent SD Total Percent SD
U.S. 1,000 0.00 0.00 1,000 0.00 0.00
U.S. 1,000 0.00 0.00 1,000 0.00 0.00
U.S. 1,000 0.00 0.00 1,000 0.00 0.00
U.S. 1,000 0.00 0.00 1,000 0.00 0.00

NATIONAL STATES, MARKET

State 1998 2000
Total Percent SD Total Percent SD
Alaska 1,000 0.00 0.00 1,000 0.00 0.00
California 1,000 0.00 0.00 1,000 0.00 0.00
Delaware 1,000 0.00 0.00 1,000 0.00 0.00
Florida 1,000 0.00 0.00 1,000 0.00 0.00
Georgia 1,000 0.00 0.00 1,000 0.00 0.00
Hawaii 1,000 0.00 0.00 1,000 0.00 0.00
Idaho 1,000 0.00 0.00 1,000 0.00 0.00
Idaho 1,000 0.00 0.00 1,000 0.00 0.00
Idaho 1,000 0.00 0.00 1,000 0.00 0.00
Idaho 1,000 0.00 0.00 1,000 0.00 0.00
U.S. 1,000 0.00 0.00 1,000 0.00 0.00 0.00
U.S. 1,000 0.00 0.00 1,000 0.00 0.00 0.00
U.S. 1,000 0.00 0.00 1,000 0.00 0.00 0.00
U.S. 1,000 0.00 0.00 1,000 0.00 0.00 0.00
Total U.S. 1,000 0.00 0.00 1,000 0.00 0.00 0.00
U.S. 1,000 0.00 0.00 1,000 0.00 0.00 0.00
U.S. 1,000 0.00 0.00 1,000 0.00 0.00 0.00
U.S. 1,000 0.00 0.00 1,000 0.00 0.00 0.00

img-37.jpeg


Thursday 20 August 2024

•

FINANCIAL TIMES

15

FINANCIAL TIMES SHARE SERVICE

Male Market

Price % By Pct % Share 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Bermuda
Red Sunflower 2.98 0.00 2.98 0.00 1.78 1.78 2.00 2.00
Jamaica 1.98 0.00 2.98 0.00 1.78 1.78 2.00 2.00
Jamaica (Lima) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jamaica (Lima) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jamaica (Lima) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

AIM

Price % By Pct % Share 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Bermuda
Red Sunflower 1.92 0.00 1.92 0.00 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.92
Jamaica 1.92 0.00 1.92 0.00 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.92
Jamaica (Lima) 1.92 0.00 1.92 0.00 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.92
Jamaica (Lima) 1.92 0.00 1.92 0.00 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.92
Jamaica (Lima) 1.92 0.00 1.92 0.00 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.92

Investment Companies

Price % By Pct % Share 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Bermuda
Red Sunflower 1.92 0.00 1.92 0.00 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.92
Jamaica 1.92 0.00 1.92 0.00 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.92
Jamaica (Lima) 1.92 0.00 1.92 0.00 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.92
Jamaica (Lima) 1.92 0.00 1.92 0.00 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.92
Jamaica (Lima) 1.92 0.00 1.92 0.00 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.92
Jamaica (Lima) 1.92 0.00 1.92 0.00 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.92

AIM

Price % By Pct % Share 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Bermuda
Red Sunflower 1.92 0.00 1.92 0.00 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.92
Jamaica 1.92 0.00 1.92 0.00 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.92
Jamaica (Lima) 1.92 0.00 1.92 0.00 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.92
Jamaica (Lima) 1.92 0.00 1.92 0.00 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.92
Jamaica (Lima) 1.92 0.00 1.92 0.00 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.92
Jamaica (Lima) 1.92 0.00 1.92 0.00 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.92
Jamaica (Lima) 1.92 0.00 1.92 0.00 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.92
Price % By Pct % Share 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Bermuda
Red Sunflower 1.92 0.00 1.92 0.00 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.92
Jamaica 1.92 0.00 1.92 0.00 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.92
Jamaica (Lima) 1.92 0.00 1.92 0.00 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.92
Jamaica (Lima) 1.92 0.00 1.92 0.00 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.92
Price % By Pct % Share 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Bermuda
Red Sunflower 1.92 0.00 1.92 0.00 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.92
Jamaica 1.92 0.00 1.92 0.00 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.92
Jamaica (Lima) 1.92 0.00 1.92 0.00 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.92
Price % By Pct % Share 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Bermuda
Red Sunflower 1.92 0.00 1.92 0.00 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.92
Jamaica 1.92 0.00 1.92 0.00 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.92
Price % By Pct % Share 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Bermuda
Red Sunflower 1.92 0.00 1.92 0.00 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.92

10

■

FINANCIAL STARS

Thursday, 25 August 2024

MANAGED FUNDS SERVICE

Advertising Features March 2017 - July 2018 Cumulative Growth of 2018 (Gross growth) Total Report 2018 Growth Rate Index Service Weights % Top 10 Holdings %
Brown ADVISORY(Thoughtful Spending) 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018 2017
2017 2016 2015 2014 2015 2016 2015 2016 2015 2016 2015 2016 2015 2016 2015 2016
2016 2015 2014 2015 2016 2015 2016 2015 2016 2015 2016 2015 2016 2015 2016 2015
2015 2014 2015 2016 2015 2016 2015 2016 2015 2016 2015 2016 2015 2016 2015
2014 2013 2014 2015 2016 2015 2016 2015 2016 2015 2016 2015 2016 2015 2016
Total Total 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033
Total Total 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032

img-38.jpeg

Algebra Investments

Registered
Algebra Cover Rate 1 EUR 0 25.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Algebra Cover Rate 2 EUR 0 25.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Algebra Powered Cover 1 EUR 0 25.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Algebra Powered Cover 2 EUR 0 25.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Algebra Powered Cover 3 EUR 0 25.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Algebra Powered Cover 4 EUR 0 25.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Algebra Powered Cover 5 EUR 0 25.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Algebra Powered Cover 6 EUR 0 25.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Algebra Powered Cover 7 EUR 0 25.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Algebra Powered Cover 8 EUR 0 25.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Algebra Powered Cover 9 EUR 0 25.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Algebra Powered Cover 10 EUR 0 25.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Algebra Powered Cover 11 EUR 0 25.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Algebra Powered Cover 12 EUR 0 25.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Algebra Powered Cover 13 EUR 0 25.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Algebra Powered Cover 14 EUR 0 25.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Algebra Powered Cover 15 EUR 0 25.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Algebra Powered Cover 16 EUR 0 25.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Algebra Powered Cover 17 EUR 0 25.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Algebra Powered Cover 18 EUR 0 25.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Algebra Powered Cover 19 EUR 0 25.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Algebra Powered Cover 20 EUR 0 25.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Algebra Powered Cover 21 EUR 0 25.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Algebra Powered Cover 22 EUR 0 25.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Brewery Feed Managers Ltd (TEMP)

TCE, a division of the United States (US$ 1.5 million US$)

Authorized for Funds

Americas Corporate Board II Inc. 7.9 0.0 -1.1 0.00 0.0 0.0
American Global Insurance Co. 24.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
American High Income Co. Inc. 7.9 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
American Insurance Co. 23.9 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
American Minority Bank Inc. 6.9 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
American Share & Share Bond 6.9 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
American Investment for any Co. Inc. 12.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
American Investment for any Co. Inc. 12.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
American Investment for any Co. Inc. 12.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
American Investment for any Co. Inc. 12.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
American Investment for any Co. Inc. 12.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
American Investment for any Co. Inc. 12.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

img-39.jpeg

ASB Capital

ASB Capital B. 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021

B. 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021

ASB 2018-01 0 104.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
ASB 2018-02 0 97.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
ASB 2018-03 0 97.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
ASB 2018-04 0 97.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Minority Share

Other International Funds

American Corporate 0 4000.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
American Share 0 1000.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Bank Group 0 1000.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Commonwealth 0 1000.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Tax Rate 0 1000.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

img-40.jpeg

Blue Whole Investment Funds-CAF

www.industries.com

RSC Investment Index 2017

Blue Whole Investment 2017 0 0.00 -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Brown Advisory Funds-PLC

BROWN ADVISORY (2017-2018)

BROWN ADVISORY

Global Advisory Fund (GAC) 0 22.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Global Advisory Fund (GAC) 0 16.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Global Advisory Fund (GAC) 0 9.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Global Advisory Fund (GAC) 0 9.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Global Advisory Fund (GAC) 0 9.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Global Advisory Fund (GAC) 0 9.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Global Advisory Fund (GAC) 0 9.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Global Advisory Fund (GAC) 0 9.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Global Advisory Fund (GAC) 0 9.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

img-41.jpeg

Canaccord International Fund Managers Limited

Biomedical Strategy 1 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Biomedical Strategy 1 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Common Biomedical Strategy 1 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Common Biomedical Strategy 1 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Biomedical Strategy 1 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Biomedical Strategy 1 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
High Biomedical Strategy 1 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
High Biomedical Strategy 1 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
High Biomedical Strategy 1 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
High Biomedical Strategy 1 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Strategy being limited therapy for the in-mission of any in the in-charge category

CANDRIAM

at the new US and new investment

American Insurance Group

ASB

ASB Receptors
Candidate New York and New York (C) Co. 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00
Candidate New York and New York (C) 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00
Candidate New York and New York (C) 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00
Candidate New York and New York (C) 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00
Candidate New York and New York (C) 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00
Candidate New York and New York (C) 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00
Candidate New York and New York (C) 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00
Candidate New York and New York (C) 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00
Candidate New York and New York (C) 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00
Candidate New York and New York (C) 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00
Candidate New York and New York (C) 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00
Candidate New York and New York (C) 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00
Candidate New York and New York (C) 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00

Executive Insurance Group

Other International Funds

Candidate New York & New York 0 2.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Candidate New York & New York (C) 0 2.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Candidate New York & New York (C) 0 2.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Candidate New York & New York (C) 0 2.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Candidate New York & New York (C) 0 2.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Candidate New York & New York (C) 0 2.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Cereb Asset Management Ltd

C. 2017

C. 2017

C. 2017

In Canada (International) (UK) (UK) 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
In Canada (International) (UK) (UK) 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
In Canada (International) (UK) (UK) 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

CG Asset Management Limited

G. King Street Limited 1.5.2.1

Banning Co. 1.5.2.1 1.5.2.1 1.5.2.1 1.5.2.1 1.5.2.1 1.5.2.1 1.5.2.1 1.5.2.1 1.5.2.1 1.5.2.1 1.5.2.1 1.5.2.1 1.5.2.1 1.5

RSC Receptors

CG Portfolio (Total PLC)

Algebra Report No. 1 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Capital Sharing Portfolio (GBP) 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Capital Sharing Portfolio (GBP) 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Debt of Credit (C) Co. 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Debt of Credit (C) Co. 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Debt of Credit (C) Co. 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Debt of Credit (C) Co. 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Chartered Asset Management Pro Ltd

Other International Funds

COM (C) (C) 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

img-42.jpeg

CP Global Asset Management Pro Ltd

BROWN ADVISORY (2017) 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021

International Market Funds

CP Global Strategy Fund 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

CP Capital Asset Management Limited

www.camc.com (2017) www.camc.com

International Market Funds

CP Fund Purpose Fund

CP Fund Purpose Fund 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
CP Fund Purpose Fund 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
CP Fund Purpose Fund 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Dodge & Cox®

Worldwide Funds

Dodge & Cox Worldwide Funds

G. 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021

International Market Funds

Dodge & Cox Worldwide Funds Emerging Markets Stock Fund

Emerging Markets Stock Fund (C) (C) 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Emerging Markets Stock Fund (C) (C) 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Emerging Markets Stock Fund (C) (C) 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Emerging Markets Stock Fund (C) (C) 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Emerging Markets Stock Fund (C) (C) 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Emerging Markets Stock Fund (C) (C) 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Emerging Markets Stock Fund (C) (C) 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Emerging Markets Stock Fund (C) (C) 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Emerging Markets Stock Fund (C) (C) 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Dodge & Cox Worldwide Funds Global Stock Funds

USD (International) (Total) (C) 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
USD (International) (Total) (C) 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
USD (International) (Total) (C) 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
USD (International) (Total) (C) 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
USD (International) (Total) (C) 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
USD (International) (Total) (C) 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Dodge & Cox Worldwide Funds 3D Bond Fund

USD (International) (Total) (C) 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
USD (International) (Total) (C) 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
USD (International) (Total) (C) 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
USD (International) (Total) (C) 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

DIAGON CAPITAL

Borgon Capital

Borgon Capital (2017) 2018

Borgon Capital (2017) 2018

Borgon Capital (2017) 2018

Borgon Capital (2017) 2018

Other International Funds

Commercial (Commercial) (C) (C) (C) (C) (C) (C) (C) (C) (C) (C) (C) (C) (C) (C) (C) (C) (C) (C) (C) (C) (C) (C) (C) (C) (C) (C) (C) (C) (C) (C) (C) (C) (C) (C)

CME

EdenCine Investment Management Ltd

EdenCine (2017) 2018

Authorised for Funds

EdenCine (International) (Total) 0 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 ( \text{Total} )

FB Investment Services (CORE)


Thursday 20 August 2006

FOUNTAIN TIMES

17

MANAGED FUNDS SERVICE

Fund Bio Other Total 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000

Guide to FT Funds Data

The first annual quarter of the year was reported for the first quarter, but the average of the first quarter was 100% of the first quarter, and the first quarter was 100% of the first quarter. The first quarter was 100% of the first quarter, and the first quarter was 100% of the first quarter, and the first quarter was 100% of the first quarter, and the first quarter was 100% of the first quarter, and the first quarter was 100% of the first quarter, and the first quarter was 100% of the first quarter, and the first quarter was 100% of

  1. 2017年,公司与上海浦东发展银行股份有限公司签订了《关于使用部分闲置募集资金进行现金管理的协议》。

Markets and data happen here

ice


18

FINANCIAL TIMES

Thursday 30 August 2024

ARTS

The painter and the 'housewife'

Betty Freeman was one of David Hockney's firmest friends -- and a mirror image of the artist himself. By James Cahill

On his 64th birthday, July 9, 2000, David Hockney received a tax from an old friend. "You know that you get better looking, with every hockney as you never have to worry about having too many," wrote Betty Freeman, a renowned Los Angeles art collector and patron. "I think of you, love you, miss you -- not only today but especially today."

Her message was one of many handwritten notes that Freeman found to the artist over the course of their long friendship. Ironically, these were marked by expressions of love and admiration. Los Angeles, she wrote to another letter from 2005, "[a] deflated her as when you are not here."

Along with the fashion designer Celia Bitwell, whom Hockney captured in his seminal picture 'We and We-Che's and Percy' (1970-71), Freeman -- who died in 2009, aged 87 -- was among the artist's greatest female friends. Compared with the other main characters it is in the same way that he was a probably because of her own retiring nature. Even to those closest to her, she was forever something of an origin.

They met in the late summer of 1966. Hockney, then 29, was back in Los Angeles after spells in defeat and London. The city, which he had first visited two years earlier, was still a dazzling novelty - three times better, as he later said, than he had expected. But his attention was beginning to shift away from the more back of the place -- in palm trees, architecture and ourselves beautifully — towards real people.

The first painting that Hockney embarked upon in 1968 was a 6-by 12-foot portrait of a how woman glimpsed amid the light and shade of her garden terrace. He had been introduced to Betty Freeman by their mutual friend Jack Larson, an actor and scientist who

was best known for starring in the television series Adventures of Imperium. Hockney had asked if he might come and photograph Freeman's pool. he was at the height of his fascination with nails water. He was rapidly intrigued, however, in the woman's head -- all to exhibit at 43, a bottle blouse like him, and attired in a dress of pink indomous oils.

The Poisoned snapshots that he took of her formed the basis of the final painting, in this, she has the powers, about not what her friends remember as characteristic. According to Hockney's first desire, John Kamein, "the bad a sort of atmosphere about her, as though she were too fond on her hand." Perhaps she simply knew how to keep her reactions concealed. She later recalled how Hockney had brought along Peter Schlosinger, an 18-year-old art student whom he had met while teaching at UCLA, who took a swim in her pool. "He came out naked. I was a little bit overleaf by that I tried not to show it, but I was startled."

For all her love of avant-garde art, she remained the product of her conservative upbringing. The title of the painting was Freeman's idea. While Hockney took pictures of the garden, she boated herself with dusting the stuffed antelope heads that hung on an outside wall -- trygkins of her husband's hunting expeditions. "There's only one thing you can call this painting, since I'm dozing," she dirty observed. "Beverly Hills disavow!"

But she was never just a rich collector in Hockney's eyes, for all that she epitomised the glamour of Los Angeles: their meeting marked the beginning of a life-defining friendship. Although they formed an unlikely pair -- the flamboyant York-blooman and the self-effacing "housewife" -- they seemed to perceive the deeper potential in one another. Hockney was on the brink of a decisive phase of his career: "Beverly Hills

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She was never just a rich collector in Hockney's eyes, for all that she epitomised the glamour of Los Angeles

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Housewife" marked the onset of the realist style that would dominate his work for the next decade. Freeman was at her own, painter turning point, as her marriage was arched and her ambitions gravitated in a new direction.

Like Hockney, she had come to Los Angeles from elsewhere, Born in Chicago in 1921, the daughter of a business-joyside singer who became a leading petrochemicals-magnate, she grew up in New York and its environs before studying at Wellesley College, where Vladimir Nabokov was among her lecturers.

Every Friday, she would attend classical concerts at Boston's Symphony Hall. It was during her time at Wellesley, too, that she met Stanley Freeman. They were married in 1941, and had four children between 1941 and 1952. The family moved to California in 1959, where Freeman continued to train as a concert pianist, routinely practising for eight hours a day. But in 1963 came a solemn realization. She had just performed a recital -- the best she had ever played --

and it struck her in that moment that she would never be so good as she needed to be. She closed the piano and never played again.

In the years that followed, Freeman carved out a new life as a champion of experimental classical music: "Old music is fine," she later explained. "Well like complexity, challenge, ambiguity, abstraction." In the mid-1960s, she rescued the self-styled "kobo" composer Harry Farish from the streets -- weathering his creations and alcoholism.

Later, throughout the 1980s, she hosted a regular series of concerts at home. Hockney was a frequent -- if not always reverential -- attention. As he later recounted: "I remember one afternoon when there was this event which consisted of just one solo going on and on and on for hours and hours."

But Freeman's Sunday afternoon musicals became legendary, with John Cage, Philip Glass, Pierre Rooker and Crollon Nancarrow among the many performers. In 1982, Hockney

David Hockney and Betty Freeman in front of 'Beverly Hills Housewife' in 1967. Below, the Los Angeles art collector in 1973

www.founderlandwomen.com

himself became one of the few non-medical participants, delivering a lecture on his stage designs. These salon-style events reflected the individualistic style of Freeman's patronage. In 1998, the New York Times hailed her a "moderately flinch!". "Art was the only thing that mattered to her," according to the composer: Thomas Adin, a longtime friend. "She was not there and at the forefront of things, and that actually pushed me along her other people."

After the turn of the millennium, Hockney spent less time in Los Angeles. On return trips, though, he was a frequent visitor to Freeman's home, often sharing Chinese music around her poppy-shaped table. Fumorous photographic capture them together at different stages of their lives, in the shadow of the original painting. These after a vivid, sometimes discouragely intimate window on to their relationship. In later years, she made a sign bearing the words "smoking is encouraged" to left the pen, it was just on display whenever Hockney visited. Among true holes, they shared a defiantly liberate on each side.

Hockney's pictures are their own testament to his strength of feeling for Freeman. The numerous portraits that he made of her following "Beverly Hills Housewife" (including a facsimile graphic of the artist's first in a moment of smiling animation) show an enduring fascination -- a sense, perhaps, that she could never wholly be captured.

The wonder that he felt in Freeman's garden that day in 1964 is palpable in the Poisoned's far back. In these, she stands aside uncivil palm bonds, her lips slightly parted, a picture of cool child's mansion -- but aware of the artist's scrutiny. Decany, carefree and art ever conscious of being seen, she was an unlikely mirror image of Hockney himself.

James Cahill is the author of 'The Beverly Hills Housewife: Hockney's Californian Mass and the World Beyond the Pool,' published by Thames & Hudson on August 27.

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Thursday 20 August 2020

•

FINANCIAL TIMES

19

FT BIG READ, SHIPPING

Containers have transformed cities and trade. Now the revolution is reaching its limits as ports become congested and global chokepoints constrain the size of ships. By Alice Hancock and Peter Foster

The steel box that built globalisation

Seventy years ago it would take at least 10 days for a ship at London (he Islands to be emptied and released by around 30 doctors. Pilfering was oth, accidents were commonplace and port business was vulnerable to labour strikes.

Then came the shipping container, an 88 x 240 steel box that needed increasingly vast vessels to carry an ever-expanding volume of goods, back big ships and/or leagues and agrib Thames to issue London's desks. The use of cranes to lift the boxes wiped out the need for hundreds of longshoremen.

"You would have seen bagged cargoes being disposed of in Explosion Decks. I'm the seat of Tower Bridge (in the late 1960s, but by the late 1970s it was a development scheme," says Paddy Rodgers, director of the Royal Museums Greenwich.

But that was not the end of London's sea trade. Today, around 30 miles flowstover at London (airways, post operator DP World is expanding the UK's largest container port.

Now it takes a mere supply 80 tonnes to empty and refused a large container ship – around 20,000 steel boxes lifted by 100 meters high compacted cranes that more less containers every three to four minutes.

The efficiency and scale is testament to the unglamorous steel container, an invention that has driven down shipping centre such a low fraction of total manufacturing value that it has enabled the rapid expansion of global trade over the past 70 years.

But humanity is available demand for container goods is now pushing the global shipping network to its limits. Port congestion is a threat to ships, while the surgeon Chinese reports means there is little to lift boxes with at the retracting, leaving shipping lines to host the bill of carrying their back.

"The [trade] imbalance is getting worse," Kofi Haldon Jansen, chief executive of shipping line Hapag Lloyd, told reporters last week. "And that is a problem because that means the cost of [transporting] empty boxes is going up."

Empty containers are chagging up ports and ships are lift up using the box both ways to unload, pushing up the expense and time for shipping goods. More new ships are being built to meet growing demand, but low ports have the infrastructure to accommodate them.

Such is the level of congestion that around 2,000 containers are essentially "toward," from global shipping networks at any one time, an amount roughly equivalent to the carrying capacity of the world's eighth largest shipping line, according to maritime analysis company Sea Intelligence.

If container shipping reaches its limits, the smooth operation of team-continental supply chains and the cross-border flow of goods could falter, markedly the end of a 50-year need of the high-ball trade, and into say.

"There's never been a larger order from [for container ships] and there's never been more capacity that's going to be coming online, but global trade statistics continue to rise," says Joe Krusnik, chief executive of the World Shipping Council. "We's wonder beginning to lift the maximum size that ports and chokepoints such as the Sea-Canal will allow. There are natural limitations that the industry will confront as it goes forward," he adds.

Smooth steel boxes

For decades there the 2000s there were attempts to standardize the recent business of cargo shipping. Open vessels bound to a halt in the best-selling cranes from larger to rather unstaged during the English industrial revolution were arguably the first "intermodal" containers, capable of switching from one forward transport to another.

The growth of rail freight across

Europe also drove moves to regulate the "lift van" boxes – heavy wooden cranes used in railcars. A bureau set up by the Paris-based International Chamber of Commerce in June 1933 set rules for container-coated vessels foreign.

Later, the US Navy developed a "transporter" – a stifled steel box just over eight feet long – that would remain sealed until the point of delivery and led to the 1952 creation of the "container express" in Guam.

There have, which could be easily shifted between road, rail and ships, reduced shipping time from the US to Korea and helped with theft on the desks.

But it was a maverick tracking execution who went bankrupt across at times, who created the commercial container trade on board-ship.

Malcom McLean started his first bankrupt business in 1954 and at a North Carolina gas station after opening an opportunity to transport goods himself. Within a year he had met drivers working for him and had developed a relentless discussion relevant.

"Just of no reason to change to do was to do cost per container mile comparisons on different competitors and see what their cost was," says John McGrew, who worked with McLean for more than 20 years. "He always had a yellow pad and a pencil by his side."

After a few years, McLean's drivers were heading for more than all. The tracking boss became floated on bypassing the congestion on the US east coast. He looked at several bus vehicles by barge. In 1958 he filed a patent for a

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standardised shipping container that could be stacked on to vessels and locked in glass before being easily unfastened, lifted by crane and dropped out of trucks.

A year later he sold his 75 per cent stake in his tracking business for 80 tons to acquire the Pan Adams Tender Company, which had a fleet of old oil tankers. On April 28 1956, a converted GmbH called Ideal 3-mix loaded with 36 containers in Port Newark in New Jersey and set sail for Texas, all worked by astonished executives invited by McLean.

According to McLean's 1956 calculation, loading a typical cargo ship cost $1.83 per ton. Loading Ideal 3 cost 12.6 cents per ton – 1.87 per cent reduction.

Such was the discount that, despite fightback from labour unions, there was little to prevent the rapid growth of container-holding.

The box's dimensions were standardized from 1968 – a step that is "frequently overlooked," says Brian Black, a professor in geography and planning and economics. Uncovered, Montreal, Willmott, "containerisation would not have been an evolutionary it turned out to be".

McLean died in 2003, the year that China joined the World Trade Organization.

By that time the reduction in freight costs brought us by the shipping container had enabled businesses to measure production to parts of the world with easily cheaper labour, prompting a manufacturing boom in south and Asia that has prevented an extended challenge to highly industrialized Europe and the US.

"China would not have become the manufacturing powerhouse it is if it

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is used to be that for every 80 containers coming from Asia about six were going back with US exports. Today that is more like three or four'

wrests's for the shipping container," industrial designer Sebastian Constanzo, remembering pre container days when it would take "at least a week to get [products] on board and a week to take it off."

Since then 280 tons journeys were made by containers between world markets last year. They bear around two-thirds of global endowment cargo – about 60 per cent of total world trade, according to UN Trade and Development.

Now than 5,000 container ships are currently operating. The largest can carry cargo equivalent to a 45-mile-long freight trade with, for example, around 120,000 hectares or 30,000 pairs of items per bus. The average size of the ships has more than doubled since 2003, according to the WIK.

Railflow passes of shipping line Hapag Lloyd said that trade on of Asia on the so-called "dominant leg" has "greets about 25 per cent" in the past three years and that Asian ports in particular are permanently more congenial "because of that strong growth".

To service the demand for goods, shipping lines have ordered larger and larger ships. The current record also has a container ship is the so-called ultra-large container vessel 8M3 trims, which has a carrying capacity of 24,544 twenty-foot equivalent containers, or 7.8% of the total of the container ships on order to equivalent to around 60 per cent of the current sailing fleet – a record high.

Ports are struggling to keep pace.

"You vessel offloading 5,000 containers in a question of hours presents an enormous challenge to even the number of maritime logistics chains and there are physical limits certain ports can reach, especially when historically located in cities," says Patrick Verhoeven, managing director of the International Association of Ports and Harbors.

In 2019 the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey had to spend $1.7m to train its Supreme Bridge road way to accommodate new megachips – a car that was paid by taxpayers.

It is "the whole infrastructure around the ports" that is feeling the strain, says Keith Svendsen, chief executive of Munich-owned APW Terminals, which invests in sailing transport.

Container shipping lines are increasingly buying into ports and terminals in an attempt to improve the efficiency of their operations. French shipping line CRAVUS® bought a controlling stake in Brazil's main port operator in 2024, for example.

Yet space remains not right for the number of new ships. "The certified point is really the port congestion because we can have as many ships on the planet as we want. But if the ports are congested and cannot handle the ships, we will just have ships waiting," says Inner Telt, chief executive of BEC, the shipping group.

The other issue is how to pay for the empty boxes, and using them the US and Europe to China – the backload leg of the trip.

"On the Asia-US route, it used to be

that for every 50 containers coming from Asia about six were going back with US exports. Today that is more like three or four [going] back half," says one container shipping executive. "We're moving a higher percentage of containers empty now than we ever have done before."

That means more expensive freight rates for Asian exports or shipping companies scrambling to find cargo to fill their ships.

"We are generally trying to find any containersed goods," the executive says. Being paper for recycling, who is huge plastic bags and even grains that would normally be shipped from in dry cargo ships have become critical backload trades.

Ports under strain

At the start of this year, industry executives were warning that a long boom period that started with the Covid pandemic would come to an end thanks to an overweight of ships, causing shipping rates to climb. It was a prophecy familiar to many who work in an industry vulnerable to cycles of boat and famine.

Instead, despite all the disruption to global trade issues and off-locations and climate change, bookings for container space for approving.

Global container demand rose 1.2 per cent year on year to the first half of 2018 and Chinese exports rose 12.4 per cent, according to the maritime analysis company Sea Intelligence. The companies diversified supply chains and rushed to increase inventories ahead of the introduction of more US traffic in July.

"The trade tensions have certainly made the supply chain a lot more global in the sense that previously, people were more inclined to put more eggs in one basket, but now with everything that has happened we are clients trying to diversify their supply chains across more regions of the world," left says.

There are a surprising number of goods and regions that have not yet

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joined the global container trade. One region attracting major interest is Africa. "If you get a population boom you need containerisation," says Peter Sand, chief auditor at Souria.

Ten years ago, APW Terminals and others invested in port expansion projects in Ghana and another in Ivory Coast. "We thought that it would take a long time to lift them," says Svendsen, APW's chief executive. "But they were full almost immediately, which was surprising, in quickly as the industry can pour concrete, so to speak, we are building capacity [in Africa]."

There are further efficiencies to be made if some of the commodities currently transported have in bulk cargo ships, such as grain, were loaded in containers.

But it is unclear how the world's ports would handle the same containers in circulation.

London Gateway is one of the few European ports with the space to grow. The port processed 3,100 containers last year and will expand by a further 2mm when DP World adds a second rail terminal and another two bottles by 1,000 kg from four-tasks. The only day that the 30 copies may lifting from in Christmas the US.

Charlie Othley, who has operated the largest gear vessel for two years, works 12-hour shifts sitting in a glass box 60 meters above the North with the containers swinging from where the target is to move 24 containers every hour. Some of the work is being automated but that's "sneaker." Othley says.

The port is installed in the world's first port and is now in the world's system for empty containers, able to hold 27,000-73,524 busload in high. If the system works, it could allow space-constrained ports to handle increase capacity. "It has the potential to become really a power-change to our industry," says DP World's chief executive of UK ports Eric Adams.

Looking out at the 1000s, Munich, which carried from Shanghai the night before carrying around 12,000 containers, about four feet the length of steel box has "very much thought the pace of globalisation," but that pace may prove unsustainable.

"Capacity is always an issue," he adds. "It's difficult to build a new port."

Global trade volumes have surged, but there have been regional winners and losers

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Source: BFC's World Bank indices

"There are physical limits certain ports can reach, especially when historically located in cities"


20

•

FINANCIAL TIMES

Thursday 20 August 2024

The FT View

img-50.jpeg

FINANCIAL TIMES

"Without fear and without favor"

R. van de la Mer

Private credit risks remain at large

Regulators and investors must pay attention to strain in the direct loan market

Almost a year ago, US companies First Brands and Trivision filed for bankruptcy. The fullness involved alleged foundry previously rather obscure credit points, but just together, they raised alarms about the highly interconnected web of private lending that had arisen in recent years. Investors, CEOs and policymakers began to warn about corporate debt stress and suggest this episode might be a canary in the coal mine for the roughly fifty private credit industry, one of the fastest growing areas of debt markets.

JPMorgan Chase (US) (junior) firm on the market that "when you are one cockroach, there are probably more." The bank of England started to explore where the cracks are, and what might happen to the broader financial system

if private credit were to make a serious widespread bank. A year then, some of the more special pits predictions about horrors supposedly falling within the market have so far proved ill-bounded. But it is also seen clear that late summer 2023 was not a May. The growing rise come about private credit, especially if the brand of so-called direct lending, are here to stay.

Private credit partition have expert record: much diverse, uncivilized and defaults in recent months. Many parts of the market, such as so-called invest more goods more backed lending, appear resilient – but others do not. Direct lending, in which new banks provide capital to businesses, laers strain in the FT's special title work, the value of troubled loans held by some of the largest private debt investors has reached levels in the market.

Some on Wall Street characteristics concerns over private credit markets as media hype, but the pockets of instability are real. Even more private lenders

have themselves suggested in recent comments that cyclical dynamics were now to at play.

Private lending really blossomed several years ago, when interest rates went at record low and most markets were ranging private equity firms, which had traditionally leveraged their corporate investments with bank loans, issued a cheap and easy to do so through the credit arenas of their private capital countries. This has raised concerns about risk concentration within firms. Circular ownership between firms can further magnify risk.

If there were a serious downturn, the question turns to who is on this bank. A fashion has emerged in recent years for private capital companies to buy or use up life assurance companies, with the premiums of everyday policyholders derived from private credit. A special investigation into operations run by a pioneer of this structure, Mark White, has raised concerns about the scope for mismanagement or worse. Unlike

If there were a serious downturn, the question turns to who is on this bank.

books, which must meet strict federal requirements on capital and reserves. If insurance companies are primarily overseen by state regulators.

Aspects for some private credit assets appears to be slowing down. Blue Owl Capital, flagship private credit arm reported its slowest pace of fundraising in their open this summer. Following a period of time, the financial impact is for the firm. Aces Management scaled down a billion-dollar private credit continuation vehicle this month by more than half when investors pushed back from business.

Niacov dynamics exacerbates this: a global "bond jolt," with heavy emerging supply relative to demand, has put upward pressure on market interest rates and contributed to a recent bond sale off.

Call those concerns or endowments, but the recent signal of stress among get rates credit payments should be a warning to investors and regulators alike to increase their vigilance.

Opinion Society

Don't take that summer trip for granted

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Martin Sandhu

45 summer to the northern hemi sphere: the time for many of us to hit the road, to be somewhere other than where we usually live. If you are on holiday, take a moment to reflect on the remarkable achievement that today's widely accessible travel for leisure conditions.

Hermans have always travelled, of course. But for much of our existence virtually all travel was done out of need. This instance's hit movie. The thinner should remind viewers of two ancient reasons for displacements and sick feelings, and finding one's way home. Honors's eyle also illustrates that throughout much of history to be on the move often meant to be lost. This is still true to today when many of those who travel and migrate are exiled by conflict, climate stress or economic need.

Hermans have always travelled, that for much of our existence it was virtually all out of need

Even more positive motivations to hit the road have historically been instrumental in progress. Merchants have prospered by connecting far-flung places through trade – for profit, not for discovery. Nonprofit projects have made through locations that often compare you's rich yield for hosting or gathering. Prescriptions, evangelists and missionaries have had religious or ideological disputes to spread. Discovery has a side effect.

There have, to be sure, always been some who travelled for travel to take, to find what was new and uncovers what was unknown. But they used to be free and for believes, and almost always in the employ of someone with more progressive purposes. If someone became a negotiator, every or under of new trade means out of curiosity, that was rarely what sentrums/draw pictures to put forward the resources required to send them on the road.

One of the great, under-agreed and beautiful standards, capitalism, and eventually mass consumption has been to make it possible, at scale, to travel with the primary insistence of curiosity and self-improvement. An early way was that the scientific regulation – discovery (mostly) for discovery to take – became established as something worthy of prestige and sup-

port. There was also the existence's grand tour – visiting the night of Europe for pleasure and self-improvement – which hinged a cultural template for the holiday aspirations of the later age of broad prosperity.

The most mundane version of travel for travel's sake is mass tourism. This phenomenon is frequently criticised, and often for sound reasons. Contemporary versions of the grand tour tend towards kitsch. The climate footprint, especially of distant travel, is unmaintained. Thus there are the recognisers to tourism inflicts on places too small to cope, from Yonkers (Norway's Larkens island).

But we can accept these criticisms, and the need to find solutions, while recognizing one powerfully returning feature of modern travel. Never before in history have so many had the opportunity to go somewhere else simply for the sake of experiencing something different.

The shock of the new - the chance to see how obvious it is, to adopt another perspective on most conscious time – it no longer something that is either patently inflicted on us through war or only, or reserved for a lucky few. Billions of people have the time and the money to take to the road freely, without risk of danger or ruin, through the simple means of a holiday to an unknown destination.

To seek discovery is a fundamentalist, but not a bit. The way not be an obvious in your own holiday memories of spending for moments. Nobody parks and beach spences is a whit, for example, Michel or Montaigne among foreign cities connected with Native Americans in the Age of Discovery into a social critique of his own society. But even if the scale is smaller, the fact of being exposed to difference in the same. Mandate experiences can be customized for those who live there. Many are those whose lives have become unharmed sharply by society with their own eyes that another life is another than the one they have at home.

This humanist potential can be undermined if the travel is compromised – whether because of social media's pressure to take, or whether to preserve rather than be present in the moment; or the temptation to replicate elsewhere the comfort of items, reducing travel to some physical displacement.

Some right, however, travel for discovery is also sensitive not received wisdom. It increases our knowledge of the unsounding, diversity of human ways of life, and it makes it a lot harder to take for good of life very that large people to be out of life. Every time that happens, it strengthens a little the bad work we surely need against forces intent on shrinking our horizons.

martin.sandhu@i.com

Letters

Vietnam must as much for its SMEs as for its conglomerates

A Anantha Lakshmi's report on Vietnam's bet on South Korean-style shaded (August 12) captures the Communist party's results to promote the development of this country's own private sector after years of over-reliance on foreign investment and state enterprises. Indeed, Vietnam is attempting to a single generation what two countries have accomplished, and its leadership deserves credit for the seriousness of that ambition.

Your excellent article highlights the skill and perhaps two factors: the capabilities of Vietnam's domestic small and medium-sized enterprises

(which remain woefully underdeveloped), and the capabilities and political deservedful of its state to avoid capture by large private ideograms whose objectives often can to their own gains are enough in real estate, rather than productivity.

South Korea and also Taiwan are instructors. Support in both countries during their industrialisation drives was that to hard report and quality targets, and withdrawn even from the largest firms when they failed to deliver. A deepening base of capable suppliers gave alongside the champions, nurtured and incentivised

by an increasingly capable state demonstrably committed re-supporting conditions—inhibitor to their development.

Several of Vietnam's domestic "transport" companies are genuinely capable, as you note. But concentrating support in the program while the supplier base state weak stories state capture while stalling industrial deepening.

Vietnam's fledgling SMEs remain the country's weak line, starved of capital and with little incentive to invest in technology or skills. Meanwhile capital keeps flowing to land and vanity

projects rather than to production, entrenching the interests that benefit and leaving the base unbuilt. Value outflows in the FDI sector already cause outflows.

Last mentioned, the 6th business story hard to reverse because the interests it became gain the power to defend it. To secure its future, Vietnam must create the conditions for its SMEs to a certain level succeed.

Jonathan London Associate Professor of Political Economy, Ladish University, the Netherlands Former UNDP Junior Economic Advisor for Vietnam, 2024-2028

Democracy and high finance is a two-way street

You report the chief committee of JPMorgan Chase "warning" for the chancellor not to create "a more hostile tax environment for family" (Report, August 17) – saying in effect that it's the job of politicians to defend the reputation and rewards of the private financial sector.

My response would have been to remind Justin Denoe that it is also his responsibility to defend and justify the financial sector to the public. Democracy and high finance are not easily compatible. The US and the US have been through periods in which a catch and banks became the target of popular politicians. The rise of the Greeks in the US, and of driving populars within the US themselves fairly, suggests that another surge may be coming.

Some finance institutions already prefer to operate offshore without the scrutiny and tax burdens that demonstrate state's impact. I hope that financial leaders in New York, London

CALL BORN/ALL/FREE COMEDY

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and a few cities in democratic states will continue to recognize that these countries' institutional structures provide a more secure framework for a market economy than市场经济 systems, as well as a more pleasant

social environment in which to live. I think many politicians in defend banks from attack. As a politician, I expect that and the colleagues in return are only to defend their own sector but also to address the responsibilities to contribute to the maintenance of stable democratic societies that come with their prominence and rewards.

William Wallace

As a call back, London (RF), UK

Politics of 'respect' makes majoritarianism a virtue

Kana Forovitsa's "politics of respect" (Opinion, August 17) risks confusing two quite different things: forget-drawny respect, their values deserve scrutiny. To insure that respecting people requires respecting their values is to make disagreement as found and to give an opinion, I think.

Patriotism may not, after all, be the last refuge of the crusaded. There is always respect.

Eunice Mishkin Risholm, County Dublin, Ireland

Oddly dated watch piece

Your style piece "The ugly watch that returns free" (Life Is You, August 1) offers an oddly dated account of income. It treats the watch shortly as equipment for reasons and, laterally, a badge of record status. But the more complete, right in health is away from the old doctrine of pushing the body over health and towards understanding regulation. The autonomic nervous system, vagal activity, deep stress and recovery.

A Gormis is not a medical instrument, and no proprietary score should be mistaken for one. So power is longitudinal.

These more abstract pictures overnight physiological stress despite skin factors in bed. A preceptor loss to seek medical help. I was diagnosed with severe dysmenorrhea.

It is a perfect novel, including that, health is not synonymous with fitness, Gormis can reach as not only how hard to push, but when not to push at all.

Josephine Jones London (RF), UK

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Thursday 20 August 2020

•

FINANCIAL TIMES

21

Opinion

Mike Ashley's luxury retail empire is going cheap

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When the Dickens Poon, the thing being the most popular, goes to the market today's prices for Harvey Nichols 15

ago, he declared the Kinglandship shop "one of the greatest stores in the world". He turned the department store for granted by Henry, Princess of Wales, into a certain group of stores, in outlets and several international franchises.

Harvey Nichols was acquired against tax with, like time for about 4.8 times in a pre-packaged administration. The last owner of the following, the US company controlled by Mike Ashley, who became a billionaire for building his Spent Direct discount chain from one store into an international multi-brand group with a market value of £3,000.

It is typical of Ashley to strike a bargain for "Harvey Nick" if a US tech incongruous that a former squads coach known for car price retailing, a shop ever for trading corporate assets and registered trucks brands rivals should meet the price of the company. As the total fee 7 recently, "i'm not Harry nipples – when you go to a fight with me, I'll come back in you."

His reputation for being a discount retailer is sustained. France has been moving steadily squashed under its "deviated" strategy for since 2012 by Michael Murray, chief executive and Ashley's son in line. It controls about 100 luxury stores, led by the Flammés department store chain, and has parted ships with brands such as Macbeth, Gasol and Bunbury.

But Ashley who is no longer a director of France but holds a majority stake in the business, is so deep on one: Some of the suppliers who've been able to do something from France's tactics after it acquired the MacRae fashion district in 2012 and shut it down within months. It emerged with a profit, while they get pennies on the pound at trade creditors.

The road to Harvey Nichols stretches out in decade, so since Spent Direct was overtaken by its amateur rival Zil Sports. Ashley had fallen out with suppliers such as Nike and Adidas over his millions discounting and money stores. He saw that shoppers were no longer poorly seeking bargains but were increasingly being directly brands.

His second single wacked of a value

It still feels incongruous that a former squads coach known for car price retail should own Harvey Nichols

investor. High street retailing was shrinking out what shows new listings to economists even, giving him the chance to recite Spent Direct's surplus cash into brands and physical stores. "It's going to be a lot smaller pond but cannot fish are going to be enormous," he conceded in 2019. This led to today's France, which owns a range of brands and stores,

including the House of France chain. Spent Direct bought the latter car of administration in 2018, found it was in even more trouble than Ashley realized and a critical through. It, closing stores and uniting jobs. In 2018, have had him to reach out, it usually finds a way to retain some return.

The strongest agent of France is that it also behaves like a corporate hedge fund, having stake in public companies including Mulberry, Hoebies (also known as Imboudans) and Huge Iron, the German market, which sold to 42.7% takeover offer for from its June and that work announced that it had built its stake in 40 per cent, despite getting a debt/equivalent.

The investments can turn out to be the prelude to a bid, as with Ross, an attempt to secure leverage over market in France stores, or simply Ashley's market for an undervalued asset. "I just think it very cheap," he said of the first stake building. But they puzzle even for him. "We see the other brands on the figure, but only he knows the picture," says one investor.

Olive Hall, head of consumer research at those typical, describes how a "scientific beauty." But his tactics do not do much for France's rating as a public company. Many investors find it too opaque and unpredictable to track, although they are not yet situated in a race by 50 per cent in a year amid its burst of debilitating.

The salutary comparison is best, another profit-based retailer that a stock price of 1.5 times and tighter, is perform, but has ascended steadily to a market regularisation this week of £1000 – five times that of France – thanks to a consistent growth under Simon Wolhan, chief executive. Their operation here is let to common, but there is a gold between their styles.

One answer would be for Ashley to take France prices again, although he denies even considering it. While they say needs be to do things. But head of the market is not well known. France purchase of Harvey Nichols may elevate its reputation but do not expect Ashley to change his nature.

Don't mess up London's knowledge economy

Michael Spence

In north London's knowledge (Quarter), you gave Google, a simplified, the France's 16th business, UCL. Image out next the final Spring business on the 2nd, and the 2nd, the 1st. The same is known for the 2nd since United UCL more than five years ago. On any given day there will be researchers moving between laboratories and students who are working on computer management and dietitians collaborating with scientists on problems that have occupied medical care for decades.

In institutions have arrived in this area over the course of centuries (at UCL war on collecting our 2008 birthday), it's immediately known for the UCL and scientists that at latest, businesses follow the talent, investors follow these businesses. And physical proximity is still the mechanism of success.

Just 19 half, we celebrate the 2nd chief economist, recently argued that the government must look the place a real institutions with edge. He is right to point out that if the UK wants innovation but growth and prices investment, it must support research intensive rather than more directly built with at least around world class universities and major hospitals. This is a fact that our national discourse keeps avoiding. Addressing the over concentration of political power in London should not lead to uncertainties in the era as a world-leading centre of innovation.

Critical mass cannot be built overnight. The Internet administration recognised for the Can. So as one of these research intensive innovation factors, and invested in it accordingly. Andy

Political devastation should one London state the city's role as a world-leading centre of innovation

Bourbon is one in forming Street after a decade building. Manchester into the country's fastest-growing city region, partly on innovation, he if we accept that we will drive growth by developing areas which have developed a high concentration of innovation, and that Manchester is one and the United Cambridge corridor is another, surely it is now time to accept that London is every bit as important.

Successive governments have, rightly, focused more challenges the regions of the UK where growth is known. That makes the UK's own growth is a good investment, that investing in London's success then should be a priority true. The capital basis several state-based biomedical research centres, without which wants recently to be a good investment but have been possible. But the funding for these centres is at risk.

Nowhere can growth be delivered better than in London, with its unique role in AI, life sciences, threats and the cultural and creative industries. Its universities train producers and strict international talent who build businesses across the country. To take product research that becomes treatments delivered throughout the 90th, and experts that help finance the health service, UCL spinster Astellas (Theopastatic), for example, is based in London, manufacturers in Stevenage and is delivering its pioneering treatments first in Manchester. Capital raised in London finances compared to the UK.

This should not leave another villain. The Internet business event an connected clusters shows that rather than competing culture of the UK regions and countries is not a good growth. The UK has London and Manchester contribute to growth across the country through high-value supply chains, developing skills, research and innovation and trade. When productivity in technology or life sciences rises in London, other places gain two, and vice versa.

Every place receives enough funding to survive but not enough to scale, the UK should not be surprised if it is not a good growth. The UK has a good, which have spent decades building world class innovation in nature.

Bourbon's government can make this english student the major feature, back there and spread the growth they generate. London is central to the country.

The order is president and present of University College London

Europe booklet

wish Rubio a bright future

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After his death last month, a video surfaced of US Senator Lindsey Graham, the song the bombing of Iran and his own part in it. Other Republicans had advised President Donald Trump against the war. But Graham knew his pdf partner "News Showing on all" up! The recording was apparently made in that it.

In August, Iran still controls the future of Horizons. The US has lost four and Patriot missiles. Meanwhile have lost purchasing power as will prices have risen. From 8 the war had worked, a new user to his eighth decade might be expected to grow the war of India from 1985 until a major market event.

Still, European liberals cannot recall too much, to share belligerence often cause no useful. He was a friend of Ukraine in Washington. He was sighted in the threat to the Vladimir Putin when Germany was still holding a gas pipe. In a minute, and they had been a very serious threat upon the the Eurasian connected with. But last public act was a visit to Kyiv. The US is going through Congress now that would grant extraordinary new tariff power against Russia and the提供. Graham introduced it. He was

pro-Nato in a Republican movement that often wasn't.

Just the two things – the Ukraine stalwart and the man who never met a war he didn't like – responded? Could Europe have had the one without the other?

If not, then Europe must prepare to experience this problem all over again in the coming years. Something of the human lives are in the sun. The secret of state's aggression can be concerning, what with his role in the Iran war, but with Iran as a kind of imperial personnel in Venezuela, the pressure on the region to Cuba with who knows what planning for the aftermath of the possible collapse. At the same time, this is the man who wanted to sacrifice Russia's own defense to the state of Ukraine in 2022 as a deterrent.

Rubio, as Graham did, personifies a dilemma for the continent. The American who are lifeblood is agitated by reds to an African abroad are sometimes also the lifeblood to defend democratic Europe. Both habits come from a belief that Americans a historical and almost identical role in great five countries. It is a dangerous belief and, by a continent in need of friends, a sentinel one. On the basis, Europe's own war has a better rather than 20 Years or Tucker Carbon in the future of republicans.

In theory, of course, it is possible to have the best of both worlds a side-effects belligerence under the opportunity the right figure, but in the field of action, existing Republicans candidates are vacated Trump, the choice is between

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Rubio and those who would describe the American fields even when the cause is just. (Or only when the cause is just.) I've argued the war secretary Pete Hapstle as keen on the Iran intervention but reluctant to support Ukraine. I'd should be obvious with whom Europe's faint hope lies.

Let me anticipate the obvious counter-segement. Rubio is slipperier than a deismed cell. He voted against aid to Ukraine in 2018. Through the chief a reason – the bill did not come with extra border funding at home – the vote worked as concrete desperation from someone who turned getting on the wrong side of Roger Banta apologists. Graham was a career-long war mallet. Rubio is not a career-long anything. Don't let Europe see a man who is

Americans who agitate for reckless actions abroad are sometimes democracy-like

like that defenders.

months ago account the continent of working 'in' Scotland around 'through' immigration. As even in the 90s, nothing, writers civilization is supreme. Yet also is real as to succeed in a few decades of liberal government. It is not for us to purchase them at an in-depth.

The issue against Rubio, there is but one answer: consider the alternatives. Vanu's attitude for Europe, and specifically for underwriting its security, is much deeper and longer standing. Let's see has described himself as "unco-engagements in Paris" that is to 'chdy any chemistry. 1914-2020 the Iran war is seen as the right as a clear attitude and chemical of America 1914, both of them men could enter the Republican primaries on and visit you as opposed.

On the balance of probabilities, Democratic president would be better for Europe. But even that is less clear than it was. The leftward drift of the party might extend to a new waypoint. The "war machine" is temporary, but it is not a plan that sounds everything upon ended. The left will argue that the Rubio grew unpopular.

because he was seen as being preoccupied abroad as inflation was great in future. "Through a gift of all of all obstacles, then, Europe's left with Rubio, certainly is only GCP rule. When Graham died, he became the closest thing to a traditional George W. Bush was back in Trump's home, not certainly the last one with a future.

As such, Europeans have no choice but to wish him well, even if it is through teeth as gifted that we have to perform a good aftermath. There were always two side in America as a protector. It was indispensable, and it was no choice. In the new remnants land era of US Europe solidarity, when Nato was secreted, the US fought was in Vietnam, in which as European country patriots were still long, while a gift of the continent. Those who live under one wing of the book can't hinge anyone when the other flags around to disastrous effect from time to time. Europeans would find a President Vance dangerously prudent.

www.annulab.com

The US munitions crisis goes back further than Iran

Katherine Thompson

The heavy expenditure of critical munitions in the Iran war has set off a change of headlines warning that

the US has fallen on the increasing dry. While certainly alarming, these truth is true that this war conflict has simply exposed and accelerated a pro-existing problem. The warning signs of serious munitions shortage – and lounges on the US military – were apparent long before.

Since 2020, 19 strategic doctrine has achieved high fluctuations on the scope of American engagement in international conflict, particularly given the US military. The 2020-2030 conflict with China in the Indo-Pacific, a USಕ್ತet entry. However, leaders in Washington from both political parties have consistently refused to grapple with the hard choices that come with prioritisation.

The large scale drawdown of high-value munitions from the US around its own Ukraine following Russia's full-scale invasion in 2021 reflect the war chest in the time of approximately 80. The combined with the inability to maintain its own specific given significant industrial base constraints, the US traded once a significant degree of optionality. Peter Nello, Congress had protected US discipline from fleeting war in being repudiated the expansion of US preparedness for its own global requirements, but there was no evidence that debate under trade-offs.

The US intervention is Iran has only exacerbated these unfavorable conditions by further stressing munitions strategies already in effect. The numbers speak for themselves. Media reportsintomation the inflation of nearly 80 per cent of the US 'flood inventory and close to half of Soviet interceptions. The supply of handbooks, a long range munitions critical for a potential conflict in the Indo-Pacific, is also estimated to have fallen by 30 per cent.

The Trump administration is now seeking a $1.2bn defence budget from

Congress, as well as $7.9bn in additional supplemental funding just to address the costs of the war in Iran. Munitions funding is significant portion of this.

But while money and higher production targets look good on paper, this cannot speed up estimated delivery timelines. Even if requested funding and significant production increases

Rubber-stamping on watering levels of defence funding will not solve the problem

break through the budget statement on Capitol Hill, the replenishment of critical munitions back to pro than was for six years away.

The notion that more money, more munitions and more time will always materialise permanent policymaking in Washington to an unhealthy extent. This is evident in the very decision to move over to the Middle East. President Donald Trump chose to do this despite

stretching a stressed and limited resource environment. Moreover, he appears to be keeping further escalation on the table. False confidence only both strategic ones. It cannot improve the structure balance sheet.

The pressure on munitions is the government to deliver both a defence budget and an Iran supplemental fund, but it is September. But rubber-stamping on watering levels of defence funding is a significant problem. The Iran war has brought the structural and strategic limitations of the US military into focus, but reducing the munitions crisis to identify a negative of this conflict alone misses the forces for the term.

The fundamental issue is that the US is overcommitted to the defence of other nations and cannot materially deliver in more than one theatre of conflict, then money and better production targets without accompanying adjustment to protect American workplace. The matter another munitions crisis is future.

Congress gives its sole power over the purse, is the only branch of government

that can require and achieve guardrails on the nation's critical military resources. It should not move the defence budget or an Iran emergency supplemental forward without stimulating and expanding restrictions on US munitions strategies. From a course the US can meet and sustain its highest priority equipment that – ensuring a credible deterrence by dental approach in the Indo-Pacific, a culture of the future. At the political aisle no longer have the luxury of Iran to put off making difficult choice.

On paper, the munitions shortage process a media problem, in practice, however, it is a strategic one. The defence budget and supplemental funding in that process are apparently to point back to a path of prioritisation. However, without acceptance of both strategic limitations and higher guardrails around critical munitions,

the US is doomed to repeat the cycle again under potentially far worse conditions.


22

FINANCIAL TIMES

Thursday 29 August 2024

Lex.

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Christine Murray

Mexico is trying once again to break its costly addiction to cash © BUSINESS INSIGHT

Humanoid robots haven't earned their valuations

A 1-knot robots don't need to be told to calm down, increase on a more excisable bunch, so shown by the 440 per cent gain for humanoid robot maker Unitex on its market debut. The Chinese group's $50bn market capitalisation makes even 'folds, another big producer of robot potential, look cheap.

It would take a stitched increase in Unitex's robot output at current prices just to bring its enterprise value. Unitex to sales, in line with Tesla's.

Unitex cannot about $900mn in Shanghai this week. Demand among retail investors was thousands of thousands of dollars available, driven by a mix of mainstream familiarity with the Hangzhou company's trick-performing humanoid and quadruped robots, and this waning successes of other recent technology floors.

Unitex's net profits from last year selling 28,000 robots – mostly for cheaper robot dogs – will also have helped, along with a roster of Bluestone backers from Tencent to Seageluck.

Some of Unitex's rocketing price can also be attributed to Anijin's tight control of its IPO markets. Companies have raised $25bn going public in China so far this year according to 1,000, more than in all of 2023, but far short of record house years, narrowing investor opportunities.

Let even at its $6bn IPO valuation and factoring in negligible net cash, on S&P Capital IQ markets, Unitex priced at 27 times this year's sales,

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Unitex's humanoid robots are used mostly in research – the Neofinans

assuming first-half figures are doubled. Its debut gains imply it is trading on a multiple 3-year life.

Gods, however, the guilty valuations and a retail investor has been, is cutting car production to make space to build its Optimus general purpose robots. A trades on 15 times 2036 forecast sales, according to S&P Capital IQ.

Elon Musk in April said he expected

Humanoid robots are currently far too pricey for industrial viability, let alone consumers

Optimus is be 'not just Tesla's biggest product ever, but probably the biggest product ever'. He said Chinese investors are not alone in their enthusiasm total addressable market forecasts for humanoid robots are huge. Morgan country analysts last year estimated three-world for nearly 5bn in use for simple tasks by 2030. A team at 100 rockers there will be 50 bnm by

that point, creating an addressable market worth up to $1.7m.

The appeal of humanoids is their potential to do more than one task, unlike most existing robots. In theory one humanoid can, say, assemble multiple different components, manage transport around a warehouse or work shelter with various items. In some point, the machines could be destroyed enough to support moving cars or manage household tasks.

Also humanoids are not about to track the dislocation. They are currently far too pricey for industrial viability, let alone consumers, and they can usually only manage a couple of hours between charges. Unitex is clear that the 1,201 humanoid robot is told last year were often used as platforms for research and development.

The company is not short of attention, this went accusing a topic it has dubbed 'happiness'. But just including investor collection is not really is truly a superhuman task.

The UK power system is stuck between a rock and a hard place

It is a familiar conundrum. One could dently note all in a direction that turns out to be wrong: is it better to pressure and try to make the best of the chosen route, or to write off the time and money and turn back?

In the UK, energy costs are high and rising, with household bills reported to hit three year peaks. International gas prices are mostly to bilans, but the structure of the market does not help.

Almost exactly a year ago, the UK reported small pricing, a market system in which electricity costs in a particular area reflect local supply and demand, in favour of a single national price. That looks increasingly misguided.

Local prices are the preferred system in much of the UK and European countries including Italy, Sweden and Norway because they provide a market signal. By depressing electricity costs in areas where there is excess renewable generation, they become too consumers to more there and new work and solar plants to stir themselves elsewhere.

By sticking to a national price, the UK in honour but that support prices would not diverge enough to make it worthwhile: plucking lots of turbines in the south rather than in woody Scotland, or for energy-intensive industry to up-sticks and move closer to the power generators. The shape of the ideal system was in essence art, and a national price would give renewable developers more certainty, lowering their cost of capital and speeding up construction.

But markets move in unexpected ways. At has created lots of potential demand that can be relatively flexible on location. Give tech entrepreneurs low enough power prices in Scotland, say, and they may well come up with solutions that shuts central planners.

The current policy does not just potentially lead to multi-optimal destinations: the route is also circulation. Renewables are being built faster than the power lines that transmit their output, so the country is setting large changes to pay for what that got easier to the north while gas fired plants kick in excess bottlenecks in the south.

Yet for all that, it is probably too late to turn back. The UK has gone a long

Off balance

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way down its chosen route area, given the amounts of renewables it has bought and sited and the giant network upgrades already under way. Having to honour its commitments would reduce the benefits from switching directions. Instead, it is getting to place patches to minimize the cost of sticking with national pricing, including discounts on power prices in designated AI growth zones in renewable rock areas. But if it is too late to track the right road, the best the UK can drive progress down its existing one faster.

High-end hotels can keep lifting prices amid rise in luxury clients

As AI has misted new fortunes, a ban created a growing class of luxury consumers. Whether it's private jets, yachts, cars or cruises, companies serving wealthy travellers are reaping the benefits, high-end hotels, in particular, have attracted wealth of investment, including McKenny in loans from Sir Christopher Butler's bridge fund TCI.

It makes sense. Across the travel industry the expensive option is a subject to using the ordinary rent. Since 2019, luxury travel rates in the UK have risen almost twice as much as the total hotel market. In Europe, the UK's criminal abuse to pay cost more than the market, according to Colfax.

Higher prices translate into fairer margins. Ultra-luxury hotels are generating 63 per cent more operating

profit before property expenses per available room than in 2018, while undecade hotels are roughly 50x, says hotel analysis provider StarBots.

Investors are paying up less. On S&P Capital IQ price to earnings estimates, hotel group Hyatt – which has roughly 70 per cent of its rooms in luxury hotels, according to investors research – trades at a premium of over a third to Hilton, which has only 5 per cent of its rooms in luxury hotels. In cruises, luxury places Viking trades at almost double the multiple of mainstream operator Royal Caribbean.

Given the demand for business experiences, supply should respond, eventually sending prices. Indeed, US airlines have increased the number of premium seats much faster than economy seats. The luxury cruise segment – granted, a show of the overall cruise market – is likewise set to give capacity much faster than mainstream counterparts.

In the supply of luxury hotels is more constrained. For starters, the best of the best need to be sited in the best locations, which are naturally limited to number. And, for another, it takes a long time to get those requisite starters in. Indeed, Colfax estimates that building a luxury hotel takes roughly twice as long as the economy version.

Luxury travel services have originated one demand and constrained capacity to lift prices. In most segments, there will eventually necessitate. But hotels look best placed to make their pricing power fast. For well-off travellers, that means eye-watching issues rates may well be the new normal.

Privacy safes

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HINWEI AGIA The case of the Asian cancer

CROSSWORD No 18,457 by GURNEY

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ACROSS

  1. Using images, sadly proclaim hate (12)
  2. Find from an alternative to vegetable (7)
  3. After return, no sparing for difficult colonial hate (7)
  4. Research outside team is trimmed (5)
  5. To natural, this possibly imitates one ultimately (5)
  6. Trouble in my glance! (10)
  7. Worse course after reflection (6)
  8. Lean piece of end is tempting (6)
  9. Difficult situation – island, extremely tense, emotional (10)
  10. Part of Normal arch t cite as following no case (8)
  11. Country promises finally self-ventilated, written about (5)
  12. Innovative ideal! Ayres, ridles actually at the outset (7)
  13. Did talk about a new art? (7)
  14. Attempt to include large wager by imaginable guy – let's seen many places (12)

SCORE

  1. Captivate attention of number coming up, welcoming tea (7)
  2. After first-class exploit, move carefully forward: 7 necessary (1,12)
  3. The man gathering papers, obscurs (4)
  4. Daughter introduced to complicated dress, can with no clear aim (10)
  5. Urgently need word of warning about friends! (5)
  6. One quarter seems church figure, American friend is brief (7)
  7. Regularly-uncased complaint with exchange of letters, explores a refusal to budge (5)
  8. One year the night referring to sweetener! (5,12)
  9. Discredit stressful vigilante ad, no good (10)
  10. Local comment missing outside of Twitter! (8)
  11. On visit for while, give information about vice (7)
  12. Firm in the up in broadcast row! (7)
  13. Clubs have another go at set of principles (5)
  14. Leader at first taking serious action rapidly (4)

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Get the business insights you need to succeed in Asia Visit asia.nikkei.com

🔍 解读视角:本篇基于现象学本质直观、法兰克福学派批判理论(阿多诺/哈贝马斯)与批判话语分析(CDA)传统展开。

制度与权力批判深度研判:Financial Times (2026-08-20)

▌ 本日全报思想与文化深思雷达 (Intellectual & Cultural Significance Radar)

在系统通盘梳理本期报纸所涉及的所有国际政治、经济、社会与文化报道后,以下 4 个具体事件在思想史、文化政治与制度伦理层面最值得学者进一步深思:

  1. 【定制化癌症疫苗的商业化突破】 [F2_3, F2_4]

    • 事件简述:Moderna定制化皮肤癌疫苗取得成功,相关研究被视为黑色素瘤治疗的里程碑,导致公司股价翻倍。
    • 思想文化深思切入点:生物技术从“通用医疗”向“个体定制”的转向,触动了生命政治(Biopolitics)中关于“身体数据化”与“生命价值定价”的深层张力。
  2. 【伊朗对欧洲境内美国军事目标的战略威胁】 [F15_29, F16_31]

    • 事件简述:内部人士透露伊朗军队正引导攻击欧洲境内的美国军事目标,旨在向欧洲发出信号,使其在战争立场上做出调整。
    • 思想文化深思切入点:主权国家在“不对称战争”中如何通过将第三方领土“功能化”来实施地缘政治勒索,揭示了全球安全架构中“主权完整”与“战略前哨”之间的伦理断裂。
  3. 【美国财政部干预长期国债抛售】 [F4_7, F4_8]

    • 事件简述:美国财政部宣布将长期政府债务的购买量翻倍,以遏制导致借贷成本上升的抛售行为。
    • 思想文化深思切入点:国家权力通过行政手段强行干预市场定价机制,体现了“技术理性”在面对系统性信用危机时的自我救赎尝试,以及金融资本对国家信用之“信仰”的脆弱性。
  4. 【乌克兰高层反腐与权力调整】 [F14_28 🔍]

    • 事件简述:泽连斯基因腐败调查解雇助手。
    • 思想文化深思切入点:在“例外状态”(State of Exception)下的战争体制中,反腐败行动如何被赋予道德合法性,并成为权力内部重新洗牌与强化集权的话语工具。

▌ 精选核心专题深度思想论证 (In-Depth Dialectical Monograph)

专题一:生命政治的精准化殖民:从“通用疫苗”到“定制化疗法”的伦理异化

在Moderna公布的定制化皮肤癌疫苗突破中 [F2_3 🔍],我们目睹了医学史上一个极具象征意义的转折:治疗不再是针对某种“疾病类别”的普适性干预,而是基于个体肿瘤信息的“定制化”方案 [F2_4 🔍]。这种技术跃迁在临床上被乔治娜·隆(Georgina Long)教授誉为“里程碑时刻” [F2_4 🔍],但在制度伦理层面,它标志着生命政治进入了一个更为深层的“精准殖民”阶段。现实的困境在于,这种高度个体化的医疗方案必然导致医疗成本的指数级增长,从而在生物学意义上将人群划分为“可被定制救赎的精英”与“只能接受通用疗法的底层”。当Moderna的股价因这一突破而翻倍时 [F2_3 🔍],资本市场实际上是在为一种“对个体生命编码的所有权与定价权”进行估值。

从话语策略来看,将此描述为治疗的“里程碑” [F2_4 🔍],通过使用“定制”等积极词汇,掩盖了技术背后潜藏的生物决定论色彩。这种修辞将复杂的生命伦理问题简化为技术效率问题,使公众忽略了:当医疗方案与个体基因序列深度绑定时,个体的生物信息实际上成为了药企的资产。

引入阿多诺(Theodor Adorno)关于“同一性”的批判,我们可以发现,这种定制化疗法看似是对个体差异的尊重,实则是将个体差异“量化”并纳入资本逻辑的同一性之中。个体不再是具有主体性的生命,而是一组可被分析、可被编程的数据。这种“精准”并非为了解放生命,而是为了更高效地将生命过程转化为可交易的金融产品。

然而,当下的生物技术现实也对古典批判理论提出了质询。在mRNA技术的共振下,这种“定制化”是否可能通过规模化生产降低成本,从而实现某种形式的“生物民主化”?目前的现实是,资本的逻辑依然占据主导,定制化疗法在短期内将加剧生物学意义上的阶级分化。结论是,如果缺乏一种超越市场逻辑的全球生物伦理框架,定制化医疗将成为一种新型的权力机制,它不仅控制个体的生存,更通过对基因信息的垄断,定义了谁拥有“高质量生存”的权利。

专题二:主权之盾与地缘之矛:不对称威慑下的“领土功能化”悖论

伊朗评估打击欧洲境内美国军事目标的战略意图 [F15_29 🔍],揭示了当代地缘政治中一个极其残酷的逻辑:在强权博弈中,中小型主权国家的领土被剥离了政治主体性,而被简化为某种“功能性空间”或“战略筹码”。当伊朗军队引导攻击其他目标,并将其作为给欧洲的“信号”时 [F15_30, F16_31],欧洲领土在战略功能上成为了伊朗眼中可被攻击的“美国目标”。这种现实困境在于,主权国家在寻求大国保护的同时,不可避免地将自身置于敌对大国攻击半径之内的伦理风险之中。

在《金融时报》的报道中,内部人士指出,这种威胁旨在让欧洲“清楚自己在这次战争中应该站在什么位置” [F16_31 🔍]。这里存在一种精巧的话语操纵:伊朗通过将攻击目标设定在欧洲领土上,试图将“美国的问题”转化为“欧洲的危机”。这种策略将领土的物理存在转化为一种心理威慑的媒介,使主权领土在战争逻辑中被“去主体化”。

从黑格尔(G.W.F. Hegel)的“主奴辩证法”来看,这种不对称威慑实际上是一场关于“承认”的斗争。伊朗通过威胁攻击非核心但具有象征意义的目标,试图在权力等级中强行获得某种“对等地位”的承认。然而,这种承认是通过将第三方领土的安全作为祭品来换取的。这触及了康德(Immanuel Kant)关于“人(或国家)应作为目的而非手段”的绝对命令之反面:在当前的全球安全架构中,小国被彻底地作为大国博弈的“手段”而存在。

当代地缘条件的复杂性——尤其是远程打击技术的普及 [F16_31 🔍]——使得古典的主权概念(Westphalian Sovereignty)面临挑战。领土不再是绝对的屏障,而变成了可被远程激活的“触发点”。这种现实反向质询了我们对“国家安全”的认知:在相互依赖且高度不稳定的全球网络中,绝对的安全是不存在的,所谓的“安全协议”往往只是将风险在不同空间维度上进行重新分配。最终的认知结论是,主权在当代已演变为一种“分层结构”:顶层是定义规则的霸权,底层是提供空间的功能区,而中间地带则在不断的威慑与反威慑中经历着主权实体的空心化。


▌ 面向学者的开放性思想追问与研究路标 (Open Horizons for Scholarly Inquiry)

  1. 【关于生物资本主义的制度追问】:当医疗干预从“群体通用”转向“个体定制”时,现有的医疗保险制度与公共卫生伦理如何应对这种由技术驱动的、不可避免的生物学阶级分化?我们是否需要建立一种“基因信息公共信托”制度,以防止生命编码被私人资本彻底垄断?
  2. 【关于主权解构的理论追问】:在“领土功能化”成为地缘博弈常态的背景下,传统的“主权完整”概念是否已成为一种意识形态的掩饰?在未来的全球治理中,是否会出现一种基于“功能区域”而非“政治边界”的新型安全共识,以替代失效的威斯特伐利亚体系?
🔍 解读视角:本篇基于制度理性架构(Logos)与生活世界集体情感(Pathos)内在辩证机制展开。

理性与情感辩证深度研判:Financial Times (2026-08-20)

▌ 本日全报生活世界痛感与情感政治深思雷达 (Lifeworld & Affective Significance Radar)

在系统通盘梳理本期报纸所涉及的所有报道后,以下 3 个具体事件在生活世界痛感、情感政治动员与制度理性冲突层面最值得学者进一步深思:

  1. 【Moderna 定制化癌症疫苗突破】 [F2_3, F2_4]

    • 事件简述:Moderna 定制化皮肤癌疫苗取得成功,股价随之翻倍。研究员乔治娜·隆(Georgina Long)教授将其定义为黑色素瘤治疗的“里程碑时刻”。
    • 情感政治与伦理深思切入点:分析“定制化医疗”这一技术理性如何将个体肉身的绝望转化为资本市场的量化指标,以及医学修辞中的“里程碑”与患者个体生存渴求之间的张力。
  2. 【伊朗对欧洲目标的潜在威胁】 [F15_29, F16_31, F16_32]

    • 事件简述:内部人士透露伊朗军队可能瞄准欧洲境内的美国军事目标,旨在向欧洲发出信号,使其在战争中明确立场。此前美国与伊朗的谅解备忘录已破裂。
    • 情感政治与伦理深思切入点:研究地缘政治中的“信号传递”理性如何将平民生存空间转化为战略筹码,分析这种“受控的威胁”如何制造一种弥散性的集体不安全感。
  3. 【英国政治精英的治理失效与内部批判】 [F7_13, F7_14, F8_15, F8_16]

    • 事件简述:前幕僚长苏·格雷(Sue Gray)批评前首相缺乏“愿景”且未能聘请经验丰富的人才;工党人士则认为斯塔默(Starmer)因缺乏就职前 100 天计划而成为任期最短的首相之一。
    • 情感政治与伦理深思切入点:剖析制度内部的“能力理性”缺失如何导致治理失效,以及这种失效在政治精英层面的相互指责如何映射出公众对制度稳定性的深层焦虑。

▌ 精选核心专题理性与情感辩证论证 (The Dialectic of Logos and Pathos Monograph)

专题一:生物技术资本化逻辑与肉身生存绝望的共生性异化

Moderna 定制化皮肤癌疫苗的突破 [F2_3 🔍] 提供了一个极佳的样本,用以剖析当代生物医学理性如何将人类最深层的生存痛感转化为资本市场的量化指标。在制度理性架构中,Moderna 的研发遵循的是一种典型的“精准医疗”逻辑:通过定制化手段针对黑色素瘤进行治疗。在这种话语体系中,医学突破被量化为“统计学意义上的改善”,其最终的制度验证则直接体现为股价的翻倍 [F2_3 🔍]。

然而,在这一套精密的资本-技术逻辑背后,是黑色素瘤患者真实的肉身痛感与对死亡的极度恐惧。乔治娜·隆教授所称的“里程碑时刻” [F2_4 🔍],对于个体患者而言,意味着在绝望边缘的一次生存博弈。这里存在一个残酷的辩证法:技术理性越是追求“定制化”,其生产成本与技术门槛可能越高,从而导致这种救命的“理性”在资本逻辑下变得极其昂贵。当 Moderna 的股价在市场中飙升时,这种资本的狂欢实际上是对患者生存焦虑的一种“金融化”映射。

在这种 Logos 与 Pathos 的摩擦中,我们发现了一种深层的异化:患者的生存希望被符号化为投资者的获利预期。制度端的语言是冷色调的、充满技术自信的(如“里程碑时刻” [F2_4 🔍]),而生活世界的底色则是热色调的、充满不确定性的生存挣扎。这种话语温度差揭示了当代医疗工业的伦理困境——当生物技术能够精准地定位癌细胞时,它却无法在制度层面解决分配正义问题,使医疗突破在赋予希望的同时,可能通过资本壁垒将部分患者排除在“里程碑”之外。

专题二:地缘政治的“信号理性”与平民生存空间的工具化

伊朗瞄准欧洲境内美国军事目标的战略评估 [F15_29, F16_31] 揭示了地缘政治中一种极端的“信号传递”理性(Signaling Logos)。从战略理性来看,德黑兰的逻辑是将欧洲境内目标作为筹码,通过制造潜在的导弹威胁,迫使欧洲国家在战争立场上做出调整 [F16_31 🔍]。在这种逻辑中,地理空间被简化为战略坐标,军事目标被视为传递政治意图的“信号灯”。

然而,这种冷峻的战略理性在触及生活世界时,立即转化为一种深刻的集体不安全感(Collective Pathos)。内部人士明确指出,一个“严重的错误”可能会使战争波及欧洲 [F16_31 🔍]。这意味着,平民的生存空间被制度性地转化为一种“可接受的风险”或“战略筹码”。当美国与伊朗的谅解备忘录破裂 [F16_32 🔍],双方陷入互相指责与打击的循环时,这种理性层面的协议失效直接导致了物理层面的威胁升级。

这种 Logos 与 Pathos 的摩擦揭示了权力政治的一种傲慢:它将“信号”的有效性置于“生存”的确定性之上。制度端的语言是关于“立场”、“信号”和“协议”的(如“明确自己在战争中应该站在什么位置” [F16_31 🔍]),而生活端的感受则是关于“被正面击中”的恐惧。这种温度差预示着,当地缘政治的理性博弈完全脱离了对个体生命权的伦理考量,这种“受控的威胁”极易在一次偶然的误判中演变为不可控的灾难,使整个区域陷入深层的生存焦虑之中。


▌ 面向学者的伦理与社会心理开放性追问与研究路标 (Open Horizons for Ethical & Sociological Inquiry)

  1. 【关于生物资本主义与生命伦理的追问】:当定制化医疗将个体生物信息转化为可交易的资本资产(如股价波动)时,人类的“生命权”在多大程度上被“资产化”了?这种异化如何重构我们对医疗正义的认知?
  2. 【关于战略理性与生存权的追问】:在地缘政治的“信号传递”模型中,如何建立一种伦理约束机制,以防止平民生存空间被完全工具化为大国博弈的筹码?
  3. 【关于治理能力与制度信任的追问】:结合英国政治精英对“愿景”与“计划”的缺失之批判 [F7_14, F8_16],研究制度内部的“能力理性”崩溃如何通过政治话语的内耗,进一步侵蚀公众对民主治理的信任?